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Macroeconomic Analysis.Shanghai Index and Hang Seng Index’s Performance and Outlook
In 2019, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 22.3%, while the Hang Seng Index gained 9.1%. Meanwhile, India’s Nifty 50 rose 12%.
Company & Industry Overviews.Apple Stock: JPM and Piper Jaffray Raised Its Target Price
Apple stock is trading 0.5% higher in pre-market trading today. On Friday, two investment banks raised Apple’s target price.
Earnings Report.JD.com Stock Gains after a Stellar Quarter
JD.com (JD) shares are trading close to 3% higher in early market trading. The company announced its third-quarter results today.
Consumer.Shanghai Composite Rises on Trade Deal Optimism
Both the Shanghai Composite Index and the Hang Seng Index closed with gains today. Also, Asian markets were in the green from the recent momentum.
Financials.China PMI: Strong Data Boosts Shanghai Index
China’s PMI increased to 51.7 in October from 51.4 in September. The Caixin China General Manufacturing PMI rose to the highest level since February 2017.
Company & Industry Overviews.Cowen: Apple Sales Might Reach $90 Billion in Q1
According to an Apple Insider report, investment bank Cowen expects Apple to post sales of $90 billion in the first quarter of fiscal 2020.
Consumer.China’s Slowdown Gets Worse, Industrial Profits Fall
The US-China trade war has amplified China’s slowdown. Over the weekend, China released its September industrial profits data.
Consumer.Shanghai Composite: Does a Death Cross Await?
On October 23, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index was down 0.4%. Among the major sectors, technology and utilities were in the green.
Consumer.China Slowdown Fears Intensify after Flurry of Weak Data
China’s slowdown concerns have intensified amid a flurry of soft data points. On October 15, China released its September producer price inflation data.
Macroeconomic Analysis.China September Trade Data: Trump’s Tariffs Are Hurting
Today, China released its September trade data. The exports and imports were weaker than expected. President Trump’s tariffs have hit China’s exports.
Company & Industry Overviews.China’s Auto Market Slowdown Deepens—Ford, GM Reel
China, the world’s largest auto market, is faltering like never before. September was the 15th month of annual car sales decline for the company.
Financials.Apple Stock: Nomura Instinet Increased Its Target Price
Apple (APPL) stock received another target price upgrade today. Investment firm Nomura Instinet increased the stock’s target price from $185 to $205.
Consumer.Gundlach: How Trump Could Improve Reelection Chances
On September 30, Jeffrey Gundlach talked to Fox Business and shared his views on the US economy, the 2020 presidential election, and the recession outlook.
Macroeconomic Analysis.China Manufacturing PMI Rose: Is the Slowdown Over?
Today, China released its manufacturing PMI data. The official and private Caixin/Markit surveys were better than expected.
Financials.China Investments: A New US Target in the Trade War?
Bloomberg reported today that Trump administration officials were discussing putting controls on China investments by US companies and funds.
Consumer.Trade War on Hold as China Celebrates Mid-Autumn Fest
September 13 was China’s Mid-Autumn Festival. Some investors may be expressing gratitude for the recent trade war decisions made by Jinping and Trump.
Basic Materials.China: De-Dollarization Bid Continues amid Trade War
As the trade war rages on, China’s de-dollarization bid continues. The trade war is taking a toll on the US and Chinese economies.
Consumer.China Auto Sales: Trade War Stings, Clobbers Automakers
China, the world’s largest automotive market, has more bad news for automakers. The slump in China’s auto sales refuses to die down.
Consumer.Is Mnuchin’s Optimism on Trade Talks Justified?
While talking to Fox Business News today, Treasury secretary Steven Mnuchin presented his views on the upcoming US-China trade talks.
Consumer.Three Tech Stocks to Buy for 2020
Tech stocks have been massive wealth creators over the years. For 2020, you should look to Amazon, Alibaba, and Autodesk. Here’s why.
Macroeconomic Analysis.China’s PMIs Diverge: What’s Really Happening?
China’s August manufacturing PMIs have diverged. While Caixin/Markit data shows expansion, the official PMI shows contraction has continued.
Industrials.Amid China’s ‘Calm’ Comments, US Markets Soar Today
The US (SPY) stock index futures rose on Thursday after China’s (MCHI) (FXI) positive comments about resolving the trade war.
Consumer.China Mulls Relaxing Auto Sales Curbs: Who Benefits?
China’s economy is slowing considerably, which isn’t news. Every new data point coming out of the country corroborates this slowdown.
Macroeconomic Analysis.China Admits to Slowdown—Albeit Grudgingly
China’s slowdown is becoming more apparent in its latest economic data. Previously, Chinese authorities disputed that the trade war was hurting the economy.
Industrials.Trade Talks: Renewed Optimism Helps Stock Market Rise
The trade talks restarted after China’s top trade negotiator, Vice Premier Liu He, publicly called to de-escalate the tensions on Monday.
Company & Industry Overviews.Why Tencent Could Continue to See Strong Growth
Chinese tech giant Tencent (TCEHY) posted better-than-expected Q2 earnings. Its revenue growth accelerated in Q2 due to a rebound in its gaming segment.
Macroeconomic Analysis.US-China Trade War to End by 2020? Pompeo Thinks So
US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo expects the US-China trade war to end next year. Others think the trade war could last decades.
Earnings Report.Baidu to Report Q2 Earnings after the Bell: What to Expect
Chinese (FXI) tech company Baidu (BIDU) will be announcing its second-quarter earnings results on August 19 after the market closes.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Semiconductor Stocks Sensitive to China’s Retaliation
The market fell on August 14 when China threatened to retaliate against US tariffs. This news hit semiconductor stocks, which depend on China for revenue.
Consumer.Trump Sees Recession in China If No Trade Deal Is Made
Donald Trump foresees a recession in China if it does not forge a trade deal with the US. He has also said his tariffs are driving China’s slowdown.
Earnings Report.Tencent’s Outlook Has Changed after Its Q2 Results
Tencent reported its second-quarter earnings results today. It beat analysts’ earnings estimates, but its revenue growth was shy of estimates.
Macroeconomic Analysis.China’s Huawei and the US: To Trade or Not to Trade
Chinese telecom equipment giant Huawei is at the epicenter of a new wrinkle in the trade war. Let’s look at last week’s developments related to Huawei.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Semiconductor Stocks in Focus on China Tariff Delay
The recent delay in the tariffs on China has sent a wave of optimism throughout the tech sector—especially the semiconductor industry.
Basic Materials.Chinese Economy Feels the Heat from Trump’s Tariffs
In the second quarter, the Chinese economy expanded at the slowest pace in 27 years. On Wednesday, China released a series of weak economic data points.
Company & Industry Overviews.Can NIO Recover from Its Slump by Accelerating Deliveries?
NIO (NIO) released its July deliveries data yesterday. China’s pioneer in electric vehicles delivered just 837 vehicles in the month.
Consumer.US Economy: Is It as ‘Great’ as Trump’s Touting?
On multiple occasions, Trump has said the US economy is doing phenomenally well, calling it “the greatest economy in the HISTORY of America.”
Consumer.China’s Car Sales Fall, Compounding Slowdown Fears
China is the world’s largest automotive market. Therefore, any negative sentiment in China’s car sales echoes around the globe.
Financials.Chinese Stocks Concern JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs
On Monday, Bloomberg reported that JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Goldman Sachs (GS) are cautious about their outlook for Chinese stocks.
Basic Materials.Trade War and Currency Manipulation: Trump versus IMF
In a recent report, the IMF said that the trade war is hurting China. President Trump has echoed similar views several times.
Company & Industry Overviews.Intel Stock: Analyzing Growth and Valuation
Intel (INTC) shares have returned just -0.1% year-to-date, and Intel stock has grossly underperformed in the broader market.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Chinese Economic Slowdown Gets Worse with Trade War
The Chinese economic slowdown is getting worse due to the trade war. President Trump’s tariffs will likely broaden the problem.
Company & Industry Overviews.Tesla Might Raise Prices in China Due to Yuan Uncertainty
On Wednesday, Reuters reported that Tesla (TSLA) might raise prices in China. The company might raise prices in September due to “yuan-related uncertainty.”
Macroeconomic Analysis.Chinese Yuan Slides More, Trade War Could Escalate
The Chinese yuan fell more on Thursday. President Trump sees the Chinese yuan’s depreciation as a ploy to gain an unfair trade advantage.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Is the Chinese Economy Crumbling? Trump’s Advisor Says So
President Trump’s economic advisor, Larry Kudlow, said in an interview with CNBC today that the Chinese economy is “crumbling.”
Tech & Comm Services.Semiconductor ETFs Fall on Trump’s New Tariff Tweet
President Trump is back with another threat of tariffs on Chinese imports just a month after the US and China agreed to resume trade talks.
Financials.Cooperman Thinks Trump Is Pulling Stock Gains Forward
Billionaire investor Leon Cooperman thinks Trump is trying to pull market gains forward in a bid to boost stocks in the run-up to the 2020 election.
Industrials.Weak Manufacturing PMI Shows US Isn’t Immune to Trade Woes
Today, the Institute for Supply Management released its US Manufacturing PMI (purchasing managers’ index) data for July.
Consumer.China’s PMI Contracts Again: US Trade War Continues to Sting
The Chinese Census Statistics Bureau released the data for China’s official manufacturing PMI for July today.
Consumer.China’s Slowdown Deepens amid Trump’s Tariffs
Data released over the weekend showed a worsening slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy.
Consumer.Trump Takes Credit for China’s GDP Growth Weakness
In a series of tweets on Monday, Trump today weighed in on China’s GDP growth, which came in at a 27-year low.
Tech & Comm Services.US and China Lose, Third Countries Win in the Trade War
The trade war has depressed the manufacturing activity in China and the US. The Caixin China General Manufacturing PMI fell to 49.4 in June.
Financials.What the Pause in the US-China Trade War Means for Investors
The US-China trade war has paused as the two countries restart trade talks, but the lack of a timeline is keeping companies on their toes.
Miscellaneous.Is China Buying Up Gold in a Bid to De-Dollarize?
China added another 10.3 tons of gold to its reserves in June, marking the seventh consecutive month during which it added to its reserves.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Chinese Indexes Down as Trade Worries Return
The renewed trade worries led Chinese indexes to fall today.
Financials.Chinese Indexes Are Flat as Trade Worries Ease
Last weekend’s Trump-Xi meeting and the lifting of the ban on Huawei helped most Asian markets yesterday.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Chinese Indexes Jump as Hope of US-China Truce Rises
Today, the South China Morning Post reported that the US and China have agreed to a tentative truce to the trade war and are working on statements in this regard. The truce would delay tariffs on an additional $300 billion worth of Chinese goods entering the US.
Miscellaneous.US Ban on Chinese Supercomputing Players Slims Trade Deal Chances
The US Department of Commerce will extend its trade ban to five supercomputing companies that buy chips from US companies, such as Advanced Micro Devices, Intel, and NVIDIA, starting on June 24.
Financials.Chinese Indexes Trade Sideways: Is It the Calm Before the Storm?
Although the S&P 500 and other American indexes fell sizably yesterday on Powell’s less-dovish tone, China’s key indexes remained sideways today after opening lower and gaining in early trade. The Shanghai Composite Index dropped 0.2%, while the Shenzhen Component ended flat. The CSI300 Index lost 0.18%.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Chinese Indexes Ended Six-Day Winning Streak Today
The six-day winning streak of the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index was broken today as the index fell 0.87% to close at 2,982.07. This was the longest winning streak in over a year for the index, which has gained 19.6% so far in 2019.
Macroeconomic Analysis.India Rolls Out the Red Carpet for Companies Leaving China
Today, Bloomberg reported that India is planning incentives such as a tax holiday and lower tax rates for companies moving out of China while the US and China are embroiled in their bitter trade war. But emulating China’s manufacturing prowess and ecosystem might not be easy.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen Component Diverge
While Asian markets were mixed, China’s Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.21% to end on a positive note for five days in a row. However, the tech-heavy Shenzhen Component ended in the red today.
Miscellaneous.Rio Tinto’s Production Cut Could Propel Iron Ore Prices
On June 19, Rio Tinto (RIO) announced that it’s cutting its iron ore production guidance again for 2019. Rio Tinto’s production cut could be good news for seaborne iron ore prices and iron ore miners.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Why Wilbur Ross Doesn’t See a Trade Deal with China at G20 Summit
Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross sought to tone down expectations from the proposed meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at the G20 Summit. Ross said that the G20 is not “where you’re going to negotiate a 2,500-page agreement.”
Miscellaneous.Why Iron Ore Prices Are Rising despite Disappointing Chinese Data
Iron ore prices are breaking one record after another. Today, Dalian iron ore futures reached a record of 797.5 yuan per ton (or $115.2), which is the highest level since Dalian iron ore futures started trading in 2013.
Macroeconomic Analysis.China Might Not Admit It, but Trump’s Tariffs Really Sting
On June 14, China released a flurry of economic data points. China’s economic data has received intense scrutiny this year amid the US-China trade war. US President Donald Trump has said multiple times that US tariffs are hurting China and that companies will leave the country to escape them.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Paul Tudor Jones: Trade War Has Accelerated Fed Rate Cut Need
Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones spoke to Bloomberg today ahead of JUST Capital’s event in New York.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Asian Markets Turn Bearish as China Says Its Not Afraid to Fight
China’s National Bureau of Statistics released May’s inflation numbers today.
Miscellaneous.Why Iron Ore Prices Aren’t Facing Copper and Aluminum’s Losses
Chinese (FXI) iron ore imports have remained strong in 2019 year-to-date due to strength in steel production as prices remain high.
Miscellaneous.Will May’s Lower Chinese Iron Ore Imports Support Prices?
As China consumes more than 70% of seaborne-traded iron ore, it’s imperative for iron ore investors to track the country’s demand and outlook.
Miscellaneous.Wall Street Says Baidu Stock Has Significant Upside Potential
Sina (SINA) is another Chinese company that has burnt massive investor wealth in the last 18 months.
Macroeconomic Analysis.China and Hong Kong Markets Closed for Holiday
The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) and the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) have gained 4.4% and 3.4% YTD, respectively.
Company & Industry Overviews.China Accelerates Its Semiconductor Self-Sufficiency Efforts
The US-China trade war is growing beyond tariffs. The US is threatening to block Chinese companies from accessing US technology.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Chinese Indexes Flat even as China’s Service PMI Drops
After levying tariffs, selling Treasury securities, and threatening the US with a drop in rare earth exports, China tried a new measure in the trade war yesterday.
Miscellaneous.US-China Trade War Developments Influence FXI and SPY Movements
The trade war between the United States and China started back in July 2018 when the former imposed 25% tariffs on $50 billion worth of Chinese imports.
Miscellaneous.Stock Market Falls in May amid US-China Trade War
One of the biggest losers in the US-China trade war is the technology industry.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Dow Set for Worst Month This Year: ETFs under Pressure
After a massive sell-off in the fourth quarter of 2018, key US market indexes started recovering in January.
Miscellaneous.Trade War Moves to Rare Earths, Chinese Indexes Gained
On May 29, China’s People’s Daily discussed the possibility that the US could lose access to rare earth materials due to the trade war.
Basic Materials.Record China Steel Production Supports Iron Ore despite Trade War
As the supply tightness in the seaborne iron ore market continues, there’s another factor supporting prices: Chinese steel demand.
Miscellaneous.Why Iron Ore Prices Are Bucking the Downtrend in Metals Prices
Iron ore supply tightness and continued demand from China have driven iron ore prices above $100 for the first time in the last five years.
Miscellaneous.Chinese Indexes Surge as US Gets Back to Work after Long Weekend
The Chinese indexes closed on a high for the third consecutive day today.
Miscellaneous.Trump Says People of India Are Lucky to Have Prime Minister Modi
India—the world’s largest democracy and second-most-populous country recently underwent its massive electoral process to choose its prime minister.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Shanghai Composite Stays Steady, Shenzhen Component Drops
Despite the disappointing PMI data for May around the world, most Asian markets ended in the green on May 24.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Chinese Indexes Drop as Xi Jinping Invokes ‘Long March’
Xi Jinping has urged citizens to embrace “the new long march” amid rising trade tensions with the United States.
Miscellaneous.Stocks and ETFs Recover as Trump Eases Up on China
Today, the US stock market was on a path of recovery after starting the week on a bearish note yesterday.
Miscellaneous.Trump in Damage Control Mode, US Eases Ban on Huawei
The US seems to have eased the trade restrictions on Huawei. On May 20, the Department of Commerce issued a three-month license to Huawei.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Chinese Indexes Advance on Easing Restrictions on Huawei
Huawei will now be authorized to purchase American equipment to maintain its existing network and provide software updates to users.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Morgan Stanley: This Move by Trump Could Trigger a Recession
On May 20, the US stock market continued to fall after ending the previous couple of weeks in negative territory.
Miscellaneous.Sina Stock Fell 8.2% on May 17
Sina (SINA) stock fell 8.2% on May 17. No relevant news drove the stock lower on the day.
Earnings Report.Chinese Stocks are Getting Crushed
In the last month the CSI 300 is down 11.5%, much more than US indices.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Chinese Indexes Fall as Trade War Worsens
China’s benchmark Shanghai Composite Index reacted sharply to the escalating trade tensions.
Tech & Comm Services.Semiconductor Stocks Fall as Trump Imposes Ban on Huawei
Semiconductor stocks fell once again as President Trump played another card in the United States’ trade war with China.
Miscellaneous.Shanghai Composite Gains as Trade War Intensifies
The trade war between the US and China is getting nastier.
Miscellaneous.Is Trump Gearing Up for a Settlement with China?
On Friday, US indexes rose after Trump’s tweet calling the talks “candid and constructive.” However, the United States and China ended two-day tariff talks on Friday without any conclusion.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Shanghai Composite Rebounds Even as Economic Data Disappoint
Markets eased today as President Donald Trump called the US-China trade war “a little squabble.”
Miscellaneous.Did the S&P 500 and China Forget about the Trade War on May 10?
The two-day trade talks between the United States and China ended on May 10 without a deal.
Miscellaneous.Chip Stocks Fall as US Prepares for a Full-Blown Trade War
The US-China (FXI) trade war has entered its second year, and things are once again heating up after a cool period.
Macroeconomic Analysis.Shanghai Composite Falls, Buddha’s Birthday Saves Hang Seng
After recovering spectacularly on May 10, the Shanghai Composite Index fell again today—its third loss in the last five trading days.
Miscellaneous.Chinese and Hong Kong Markets Surge Even as Tariffs Take Effect
This week was brutal for Chinese and Hong Kong markets until May 9. It all started with President Donald Trump’s tweets on May 5.
Miscellaneous.Trump Says China Broke the Trade Deal, Breaking China’s Market
On May 8, President Donald Trump unleashed a fresh Twitter attack on China and the US Democrats.
Macroeconomic Analysis.China and Hong Kong Fall as Exports Fall, Imports Rise in April
After recovering on May 7, China’s Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.12% to 2,893.76 on May 8.