Vanguard Short-Term Infl-Prot Secs ETF
Latest Vanguard Short-Term Infl-Prot Secs ETF News and Updates
Macroeconomic Analysis FOMC’s Review of Economic Situation Signals Strong US Economy
As per the FOMC staff report, inflation (TIP) in the US remained below the 2% target.Macroeconomic Analysis Why Did the Consumer Price Index Rise in December?
According to the December CPI report released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on January 12, consumer prices in December increased 0.1%.Macroeconomic Analysis Analyzing the Yield Curve’s Ongoing Flatness
A December rate hike and a flattening yield curve The Fed rolled out another rate hike at its final meeting of 2017. The target range for the federal funds rate was increased by 0.25% to 1.25%–1.50%, and the Fed has signaled three more rate hikes in 2018. Two members dissented to the rate hike due to lower […]Macroeconomic Analysis The Curious Case of Low Inflation in 2017
The last statement from the US Fed, which was released with its recent rate hike decision, cited lower levels of inflation but hopes that the inflation target could be achieved in 2018.Macroeconomic Analysis Will US Unemployment Rate Fall below 4% in 2017?
A lower unemployment rate is one of the key objectives of the Fed. In 2017, the unemployment rate fell, reaching 4.1% in its latest November reading.Macroeconomic Analysis A Double Dose of Tightening from the Fed in 2017
In its December monetary policy statement, the Fed projected three interest rate hikes in 2018 and three in 2019, depending on the incoming economic data.Macroeconomic Analysis The Primary Cause of Yield Curve Flattening
Interest rates and inflation The pace of interest rate hikes and inflation rate growth have a profound influence on the US yield curve. The US Fed has been communicating its intent to increase interest rates from the current ultra-low level to a target rate of 2.5% over the next few years. The conditions required for […]Macroeconomic Analysis Tax Cuts and Rate Hikes Could Impact the Fed
The proposed tax cuts and the resulting increase in the federal deficit are expected to impact bond markets. It’s important to consider the Fed’s stance.Macroeconomic Analysis Fed’s November Beige Book and Restrained Hiring Plans
The inability of employers to find suitable workers is leading to wage increases, especially in the professional, technical (XLK), and production (XLI) sectors.Macroeconomic Analysis Why Decreasing Credit Spreads Are a Cause for Concern
The November Conference Board report, which takes October data into account, reported the credit spread at ~1.2—an improvement from the September reading of ~1.1.Macroeconomic Analysis The FOMC’s Outlook for the US Economy
As per economic projections prepared by the FOMC, US real GDP is expected to improve in the final quarter of this year.Macroeconomic Analysis The FOMC’s View on the US Economy
At the November meeting, the FOMC staff review indicated that US labor market conditions continued to strengthen and that the US economy continued to expand at a solid pace.Macroeconomic Analysis The November FOMC Meeting Minutes: Must-Knows
The last Federal Open Market Committee (or FOMC) meeting took place on October 31–November 1. The target range for the federal funds rate stayed unchanged at 1%–1.25%.Macroeconomic Analysis Reading the Trends in Capacity Utilization across US Industries in October
Among the key macroeconomic indicators published by the Fed, capacity utilization in US industries helps investors forecast business cycle changes.Macroeconomic Analysis Chart in Focus: The Consumer Price Index Rose in October
The Fed is expected to increase the target funds rate by 0.25% at its December meeting.Macroeconomic Analysis Here’s What Drove Consumer Expectations Lower in November
The University of Michigan Preliminary Consumer Sentiment for November was reported at 97.8, which was 2.9 lower than the final October reading of 100.7.Healthcare IMF: Why US Economic Growth Could Slow
The International Monetary Fund (or IMF), in its “World Economic Outlook” (or WEO) released in October, upgraded the economic forecast for the United Statess for 2017.Macroeconomic Analysis Why a December Rate Hike Shouldn’t Be Taken for Granted
Not all members of the FOMC, according to the minutes of the meeting, were on the same page with respect to a December interest rate hike.Macroeconomic Analysis Why FOMC’s Raphael Bostic Is Not Happy with Low Inflation Explanations
Bostic dealt with various reasons that have been cited as reasons for the lower level of inflation—even questioning the common ones.Macroeconomic Analysis FOMC’s James Bullard Has Three Questions for US Monetary Policy
Bullard said that the current growth rate in the US economy is likely to remain consistent with recent quarterly growth—near the 2% mark.Macroeconomic Analysis Would Markets Be Prepared for a Central Bank Surprise?
Three central banks on a path to tightening After years of ultra-loose monetary policy, global markets are beginning to realize they may have to wave goodbye to easy money. In their efforts to save the global system from the 2007 financial crisis, and to revive economic growth, US, EU, UK, and Japanese central banks resorted […]Macroeconomic Analysis Do Markets Agree with Janet Yellen on Low Inflation?
In her post-meeting press conference, US Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen seemed less worried than expected about the current state of US inflation.Macroeconomic Analysis Is the Uptick in August Inflation Enough for a Fed Hike in December?
Slow US inflation growth has been a concern for the US Fed and was one of the key reasons that the Fed raised interest rates only twice in 2017.Macroeconomic Analysis How Has the US Economy Fared since the Last FOMC Meeting?
Since the last FOMC meeting in July, economic conditions in the US have continued to improve.Macroeconomic Analysis Will Inflation and Unemployment Push the BOE to Raise Rates?
Inflation in the United Kingdom has been on a higher trajectory with consumer prices in the United Kingdom rising 2.9% in August year-over-year.Macroeconomic Analysis Will the Sudden Rise in Inflation Change the US Fed’s Outlook?
The consumer price inflation (CPI) data reported on Thursday indicated an increase of 0.4% in August. The year-over-year rate improved from 1.7% to 1.9% for August.Macroeconomic Analysis Here’s Why the US Inflation Rate Is Troubling the Fed
In its latest monetary policy statement, the Fed admitted it would take longer than expected for inflation to reach its 2.0% target.Macroeconomic Analysis Why Improving Economic Conditions Aren’t Enough for the FED
In the last few months, the performance of the US economy has been impressive. The unemployment rate fell to 4.3% in August.Macroeconomic Analysis Will the Fed Repeat Its Taper Tantrum Mistakes?
In this cycle of expansion after the great recession, the Fed has started the process of monetary tightening.Macroeconomic Analysis Why Inflation Remains a Huge Concern for FOMC Members
Members of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) attributed the recent slowdown in inflation growth to idiosyncratic factors.Macroeconomic Analysis New York Fed President William Dudley Discussed Inflation
In his speech on August 10, New York Fed President William Dudley joined the group of FOMC members to ease concerns about slowing inflation (TIP).Macroeconomic Analysis Can There Really Be a Bubble in the Bond Market?
Fundamentally, bonds (AGG) are a discount instrument and are generally never expected to be in a bubble. Let’s see why that’s the case.Macroeconomic Analysis US Unemployment: The Fed’s Favorite Metric Continues to Improve
In a statement following the conclusion of its two-day monetary policy meeting, the FOMC stated that US labor market growth was solid.Macroeconomic Analysis Why the US Dollar Took a Hit after the FOMC’s July Statement
Most of the statement released by the Federal Open Market Committee (or FOMC) following its two-day monetary policy meeting was in line with the market’s expectations.Macroeconomic Analysis Why the Fed Isn’t Satisfied with Labor Market Conditions
Despite the strong growth in employment numbers, the Fed’s latest monetary policy report had some comments about slow wage growth.Macroeconomic Analysis Why Minneapolis’s Fed President Voted Against a Rate Hike
In an essay published by Minneapolis’s Federal Reserve president, Neel Kashkari, after he voted against a rate hike in the Federal Open Market Committee’s (or FOMC) June 2017 meeting, he explained why he dissented.Macroeconomic Analysis Why Philadelphia’s Fed President Supports Another Rate Hike
In a recent interview with The Financial Times, the hawkish president of the Philadelphia Federal Reserve said that the Fed’s balance sheet’s unwinding could begin in September 2017.Macroeconomic Analysis Why Chicago’s Evans Sees Moderate Risks to Financial Stability
Chicago’s Federal Reserve president, Charles L. Evans, recently spoke at a Money Marketeers of New York University event about monetary policy challenges in a new inflation environment.Macroeconomic Analysis St. Louis’s Bullard Thinks Rebalancing Will Take 5 Years
At the Illinois Bankers Association’s annual conference in Nashville, organized on June 23, 2017, St. Louis’s Federal Reserve president, James Bullard, sounded dovish about the US economy.Macroeconomic Analysis Why Cleveland’s Fed President Worries about Another Recession
Loretta J. Mester, the president and CEO of the Cleveland Federal Reserve, spoke at the 2017 Policy Summit on Housing, Human Capital, and Inequality held on June 23, 2017.Macroeconomic Analysis Why Charles Evans Thinks It’s Important to Reach Inflation Goals
Charles L. Evans, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, said it’s extremely important that the Fed reach its inflation (VTIP) goal.Macroeconomic Analysis Will the FOMC Remain Hawkish?
In its last meeting in March, the Fed increased interest rates (SCHZ) by 0.25% and sounded hawkish about the US economy.Miscellaneous Will Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities Be a Game-Changer?
According to Bloomberg, Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (or TIPS) have generated a year-to-date return of 6.3% compared to 4.7% by the broad Treasury market.Macroeconomic Analysis What Does the Break-Even Rate Suggest?
The break-even rate is the difference between the yields of ten-year Treasuries (IEF) (TLH) and ten-year TIPS (VTIP).