Surbhi Jain

Gross warned about deglobalization in the global economy. Trade between nations, exacerbating immigration issues, and stagnant economic growth formed his belief.

To understand how the Brexit result stands to impact your portfolio or your willingness to invest in the United Kingdom, a cost-benefit analysis is pertinent.

On Brexit, import restrictions and tariff quotas currently applicable to importers in the UK and foreign businesses that export to the UK are set to change.

Many are likening the current student debt situation in the United States to the mortgage debt situation that led to the 2009 financial meltdown in the US economy.

The rise in delinquencies on student loans in the United States (SPY) (IWM) (QQQ) can be partially attributed to the accelerated rise in college tuition and fees.

According to the White House Council of Economic Advisers, “Student debt is less likely to make a recession more severe or slow an expansion in the way that mortgage debt may have.”

If you’re a bond (BSV) (AGG) investor or fund manager, fluctuation in interest rates is one of the key risk drivers for the returns you get from your portfolio.

Jeffrey Gundlach seems quite bearish in his views about the US economy (IWM) (QQQ).

“Risks are asymmetric on the downside” On the economy, Ray Dalio stated that “the risks are asymmetric on the downside, because asset prices are comparatively high at the same time there’s not an ability to ease.” Courtesy of the current global monetary policy’s low interest rates, asset prices are artificially inflated—so much so that they’ve […]

The “three big forces” Ray Dalio believes that “three big forces” drive all economies. These are: productivity growth the short-term debt cycle the long-term debt cycle An economy has to go through upturns and downturns Central bankers need to study the determinants of productivity for their economy. The determinants could include the costs of education, […]

While developed markets have been caught in a lull, we’ve seen emerging markets grab the spotlight. Emerging markets have been leading stock market returns so far in 2016.

“Industrials, materials, and financials are the sectors. . .you want to be invested in,” said Jeffrey Gundlach recently in a CNBC interview.

Inflation is moving up towards its target, but it still has a ways to go before it gets there. Paul Krugman believes raising rates could keep inflation from reaching that target.

Trade has been a key focus with respect to the US elections lately.

Although the industrial sector accounts for less than 20% of GDP, it creates much of the cyclical variability in the economy.

Last week’s Treasury auctions included $13 billion two-year Treasury FRNs auctioned on May 28. The FRNs were indexed to the May 19 13-week Treasury bill auction high rate,.

Investors continue to flock to secure their funds in exchange-traded funds (or ETFs) tracking Asian securities like the VanEck Vectors Russia ETF (RSX).

Spain’s potential rating upgrade rests largely on its debt ratio being brought to a declining trend within the forecast period, which ends in 2015. According to an export performance Organization of Economic Co-operation and Development (or OECD) indicator, Spain has gained market share for the past 20 years.

QE is an unconventional form of monetary easing—the Fed’s way of putting in more money into circulation in the economy.

Studied in conjunction, stock market and economic conditions give clear indications of the business cycle phase we are in.

We’ve moved from a phase in the business cycle where defensive stocks do well to the phase where utilities outperform.

Style investing involves selecting a particular asset class that should outperform during a business cycle phase and positioning your portfolio accordingly.

In his “Economic Principles at Work” template, Ray Dalio identifies four ways any world (ACWI)(VTI)(VEU) economy can deleverage. Find out why this matters.

According to Ray Dalio, the Fed needs to study the long-term debt cycle in order to understand the huge downside risks that currently face the US economy.

The Barclay CTA Index, which serves as a benchmark of the representative performance of CTAs (commodity trading advisors), has risen 2.0%, as of March 31.

The equity short bias strategy has largely outperformed all other hedge fund strategies so far in 2016. The Barclay Equity Short Bias Index returned 9.0% in 1Q16.

This year, the healthcare sector seems to be receding, and the utilities sector seems to be in good gear. This is a sign that the early bear phase is over.

Mexico is known for its industrial base. In 2015, vehicles constituted about 23.7% of Mexican exports, followed by electronic equipment at 21.3% of exports.

The unemployment rate doesn’t help us gauge the extent of labor market slack. The actual employment gap that exists also consists of a slack component.

Soros Fund Management’s 13F filing for 4Q15 reveals that George Soros has been shorting the S&P 500. His top buys in the last quarter include puts on the PowerShares QQQ ETF (QQQ).

A Janus Capital (JNS) report for 2015 outlook by Bill Gross stated, “We like Japanese and European equities due to cheap valuations and monetary boosters.”

Reviewing Ray Dalio’s economic principles template is helpful to understand the situation in Japan. It’s important to understand Japan’s challenges.

The ECB’s (European Central Bank) monetary stimulus package seems to be working well for most Eurozone economies, especially Italy.

August 11 saw the release of a number of key indicator around the world. Wholesale inventory data was the most eagerly awaited in the United States.

Japan needs to work on reducing the regulatory, political, and social barriers that hinder productivity and profitability in its economy.

The Markit PMI report serves as a business activity scorecard for the economy under survey. It provides insight into the private sector economy.

In the US, consumer sentiment rose in June. The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) has gained about 1.22% over the past month.

Looking at the US economy for the last three years might help us understand which phase of the business cycle the US economy is in right now.

As the US economy expands, innovation seems to be the tide that is lifting all boats. Innovation is being driven by technology.

Certain industries typically outperform at various phases of business cycles. This provides important clues to investors and helps them manage their portfolios.

The business cycle, which reflects fluctuations of activity in an economy, can be a critical determinant of equity sector performance over the intermediate term.

For those investors who believe that a rising tide lifts all boats, as John F. Kennedy once said, understanding business cycle investing is a must.

On Tuesday, April 14, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its PPI (Producer Price Index) figures for February. The PPI gained 0.2% in March.

Japan is a classic case of how depreciating currency can boost economic growth. The stimulus package, launched in October 2010, worked over the short term.

When a country depreciates its currency, its major trading partners depreciate their own currencies. They do this to save their economies from entering into deflation.

The availability of easy money leads to currency depreciation, which benefits exporters, but is counterproductive for importers.

The key interest rate and the prime rate are central to the Canadian financial system. They key interest drives lending rates at the big banks.

Canada’s inverted sovereign yield curve could be an indication of an upcoming recession. US yields exhibited similar curves prior to the 2008 recession.

One of the challenges facing the Canadian economy is a lack diversification. More than 70% of the TSX Composite Index is made up of only three sectors.

Russia’s sovereign credit rating now stands on par with countries such as Turkey and Indonesia. The oil price crisis isn’t helping matters.