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Surbhi Jain

Disclosure: I am in full compliance with all ethics and other policies for Market Realist research analysts. I am not invested in securities that I cover on Market Realist.

More From Surbhi Jain

  • uploads///unemployment gap
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Labor Market Slack Impacts Prices and Wages

    If the unemployment gap is declining and the participation gap is rising, it could be due to an increase in labor market slack.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///US Retail Sales
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    US Retail Sales Flat in April on Rising Oil Prices, Yet XRT Up 1%

    Retail sales in the United States in April didn’t see any growth over March’s sales figures. But the jobless claims reading brought some positive news for the consumer sector.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Industrials

    Why the Dallas Fed report shows manufacturing continues to recover

    The Dallas Fed conducts a monthly survey of manufacturers in Texas regarding their operations in the state to come out with the production index and the business activity index.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Consumer

    Why market reactions to the China-Vietnam tensions are mixed

    Though the recent tensions in the South China Sea seem to have gathered much attention, the markets don’t seem to have factored in the conflict.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Financials

    Overview: The thin line between frontier and emerging markets

    Going to frontier markets offers more of an opportunity to discover the most overlooked companies.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///key interest rate
    Fund Managers

    Why Do Central Bankers Continue to Surprise Bill Gross?

    In his recent webcast by Janus Capital, Bill Gross expressed his surprise at the extent to which central bankers of the developed world (EFA) (VEA) have distorted the financial system.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///payroll tax
    Financials

    Will We See a Recession within the Next 2 Years?

    In a recent interview, Jim Rogers said, “I’m on record as saying that we’re going to have a recession certainly within a year or two.”

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Financials

    Assessing the currency debate surrounding the Scottish referendum

    If the Scottish referendum votes yes on September 18, it would mean that Scotland would become independent of the United Kingdom. One key issue that would arise from that would be currency. There are three lines of thought in this regard.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Financials

    Why low inflation in the US shows that resources are being wasted

    The speech took an interesting turn when Kocherlakota questioned his audience on they should care that inflation is too low.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///EIRL
    Financials

    Must-know: Investing in Ireland

    Considering the improving and strengthening economic situation in Ireland, its Finance Minister Michael Noonan has said taxpayers could save up to $500 million per year if the state was able to pay-off a share of the International Monetary Fund (or IMF) portion of the $90 billion bailout.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///Eurozone mfgn PMI
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Credit Suisse and Barclays Are Bullish on European Equity for 2016

    Credit Suisse (CS) strategists forecast 10% earnings growth in Europe versus a 6.8% growth expected from the US.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///US industrial production
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    US Industrial Production Data Disappoint Investors

    Data indicated that industrial production edged down by 0.17% in May. So far, the industrial production index has declined in four out of five months this year.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///Eurozone retail PMI
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Eurozone Retail Activity Dipped In June, HEDJ Down 2.32%

    The Eurozone’s Retail PMI (purchasing managers’ index) dipped to 50.4 in June from the 51.4 recorded in May.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///Canada overnight rate index
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why the rate cut may fuel the housing bubble in Canada

    The Bank of Canada cut its key interest rate. Although the rate cut intends to boost the economy, it’s also fueling the housing bubble.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///eurozone PMI
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Germany Helps Eurozone Business Activity Rise in August

    Both the manufacturing and service sector contributed positively to business activity growth in Germany in August.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Financials

    US and China avoid contentious issues at the APEC meeting

    Both China and the US decided to steer clear of more contentious issues at the meeting. Accordingly, the disputes over Hong Kong and cyber space were not even brought up.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///WTI crude oil price
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Declining commodity prices drag the loonie down

    Declining commodity prices directly impact export revenues and affect the top line for Canadian firms operating in the energy sector.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///russia external debt
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    A declining ruble exacerbates Russia’s banking woes

    Limited access to international capital and inflating external debts are just some of Russia’s banking woes.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Consumer

    The Redbook shows strength in retail sales due to a late Easter

    The Redbook showed some strength in same-store sales during the April 19 week by recording a year-on-year rate of +3.7%.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Financials

    Why Scotland wants independence despite the advantages of the UK

    The United Kingdom (or UK) has sunk an awfully long way since the 19th century. But it remains the world’s sixth-largest economy and the second-largest in Europe behind Germany.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///dollar and oil
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Global and Equity Market Risks Are Hovering over 2016

    In 2015 many firms in the US (IWM) inflated their earnings and assets, as cheap credit was available.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///Retail Sales
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    June Oil Price Rebound Affects Auto Companies and Retail Sales

    The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) shed 0.42% on July 14 as retail sales figures in the United States came in way below expectations.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Energy & Utilities

    Why monetary policy’s still abnormal as the FOMC nears its target

    While addressing the Tennessee Bankers Association’s annual meeting in Palm Beach, Florida, on June 9, 2014, James Bullard explained how the FOMC is moving closer to its target while monetary policy still maintains a distance from its objective.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Financials

    Why Brazil’s central bank is making a hawkish move on the Selic

    On October 29, the central bank’s monetary policy committee in Brazil raised the benchmark Selic interest rate by 25 basis points to 11.25%. The increase was an attempt to fight inflation.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///geroge soros  million
    Financials

    Once Again, Soros Makes Money off the UK’s Woes

    Four days before the UK (EWU) decided to leave the European Union (VGK), Soros warned the markets of a “Black Friday” and a crash in the pound.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///Abenomics
    Financials

    Overview: Shinzo Abe’s Abenomics

    Abenomics is an effort to pull the world’s third biggest economy, Japan, out of two decades of stagnation by expanding the money supply, freeing up regulations, and encouraging the yen to fall.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Energy & Utilities

    Must-know: Investor expectations and key jobs reports

    On Friday, April 4, the U.S. Labor Department released its Employment Situation Summary report for March. The Consensus forecast for Friday’s jobs number was 206,000.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///russian reserves
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Russian banks try to recapitalize due to low international reserves

    The Bank of Russia has been digging into reserves in an attempt to defend the depreciating currency. These reserves shrunk by about 20% this year.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///russia ukraine map
    Miscellaneous

    Crimea, annexed – Is Mariupol next for Russia?

    The artillery barrage in Mariupol could mean Russia is preparing to launch an offensive that would secure its hold on Crimea.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///negative interest rates
    Fund Managers

    Where Are Interest Rates Going? Ray Dalio Weighs In

    Ray Dalio, and Marketplace Morning Report host David Brancaccio discussed the future of the economy and the next recession. Here’s what you need to know.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///market impact
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Saudi Arabia Enters International Bond Market, Raises $17.5 Billion

    On October 20, the government of Saudi Arabia raised about $17.5 billion in an international bond issuance, marking the emerging market’s first foray into the international bond market.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///Tracking error in the VNQ ETF tracking the RMZ Index
    Healthcare

    Comparing ETNs with ETFs: The must-know pros of ETNs

    ETNs are free of tracking errors, and investors can defer taxation until they mature or are sold.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///yuan exchange rate
    Miscellaneous

    Chinese Yuan Will Benefit from Being a Reserve Currency

    The monetary authority in China (FXI) (YINN) worked to get greater international recognition for the yuan. There are benefits to being a reserve currency.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Financials

    Must-know: Dividends as a hedge against stock market bubbles

    Dividends pay returns even during market recovery. Major market indices like the S&P 500 (SPY), Dow Jones (DIA) and NASDAQ (QQQ) can be seen surging to record highs during a bubble.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///SP  profitability
    Fund Managers

    Why the S&P 500 Net Profit Margin May Predict a US Recession

    Over a good four decades, the S&P 500’s net profit margin has fallen notably when the economy was on the verge of, or already into, a recession.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///Japan PMI report summary
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Japan Outperforms While Manufacturing Growth Is Muted

    The flash reading for the Japan Manufacturing PMI deteriorated slightly in June. The index came in at 49.9 for June against May’s 50.9.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///japan outperforming
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Abe’s ‘Third Arrow’ to Benefit Investors in Japanese Equity

    Quantitative easing measures in Japan are making Japanese equity attractive. Abe’s third arrow of Abenomics should boost corporate profitability and, consequently, Japanese equity.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Industrials

    Why China’s slowing consumption demand is an important threat

    Real estate and construction are the two important drivers of China’s economic growth. They account for more than 20% of China’s gross domestic product (or GDP) when you also factor in cement, steel, chemicals, furniture and other related industries.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Consumer

    Must-know: Why investing in Asia requires due diligence

    Asia has often been referred to as a land of opportunity. With its array of emerging and developing markets, the continent holds a lot of hope and promise for investors.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///eurozone deflation
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Deflation Continues in the Eurozone: VGK Down 1.43%

    Consumer prices in the Eurozone remain in negative territory. Inflation was reported to be -0.1% in March. So, the Eurozone remains in a state of deflation.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///CTAs performed when equities slumped
    Miscellaneous

    Why Commodity Trading Advisors Fare Well When Nothing Else Works

    CTAs (commodity trading advisors) offer diversification benefits (commodity exposure when the equity markets are down), along with liquidity.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///unemployment us vs eu
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How the US employment situation compares with the Eurozone

    For some large firms, and your investments in ETFs that track these firms, the employment situation in the Eurozone makes a difference.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///systematic macro funds have gained
    Miscellaneous

    What Funds Have Risen despite Heightened Market Uncertainty?

    The CBOE Volatility Index, a popular measure of the implied volatility of S&P 500 Index options, breached the 40 level on August 24, 2015.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Financials

    How the Fed funds rates and inflation affect interest rates

    As the economy expands creating inflationary pressures, the Fed raises the Fed funds rate to control inflation.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///russia inflation rate
    Miscellaneous

    Sanctions Imposed by the West Have Fueled Inflation in Russia

    The depreciating ruble, along with Western sanctions, has been fueling inflation in Russia. Russia imports large amounts of food, high-tech equipment, and cars.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///taiwan unemployment rate
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    EWT Rises 1.78%, Taiwan’s Unemployment Rate Holds Steady at 3.75%

    On June 22, the National Statistics Office of the Republic of China reported unemployment figures for the economy of Taiwan.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Energy & Utilities

    Credit spreads: A fixed income investor’s must-know guide

    Credit spreads are the difference in yield between U.S. Treasuries and corporate bonds of the same maturity. Corporate bonds yield more than Treasury bonds, as they carry a risk of default.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///Brazil top exports
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Are Commodities a Boon or a Bane for Brazil?

    Brazil (EWZ) is rich in commodities. It’s among the top producers and exporters of iron ore, crude petroleum, soybeans, sugar, and meat.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///Abenomics
    Company & Industry Overviews

    What Paul Krugman Thinks about Japan’s Yield Curve Control Policy

    In its latest policy move, the Bank of Japan left rates unchanged and delayed inflation target timings for the Japanese economy (EWJ) (HEWJ) (DXJ).

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///negative interest rates
    Financials

    Will the Fed Have to Use More Unconventional Measures?

    Global monetary policy is unconventional. From an era of lowering interest rates to boost economic growth, central bankers are taking rates into negative territory.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Energy & Utilities

    How yields, credit spreads, and interest rates are interacting

    Rates have risen only modestly until now and are expected to rise gradually even after the Fed’s asset purchase program ends.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///the new normal
    Financials

    Bill Gross’s Views on Growth and Inflation

    Gross believes that money has stopped generating growth and inflation. Equity prices are artificially elevated, and negative yields are guaranteeing capital losses.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///Germany inflation rate
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    VGK and EFA up on Good Inflation News from Germany and France

    Rising wages in Germany have been a boon for private consumption. The weaker euro helped German exports. France also reported a revival in its inflation rate.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Financials

    Why Kocherlakota says price targeting beats inflation targeting

    Along with the two suggestions mentioned in Part 6 of this series, Narayana Kocherlakota also dropped in two additional suggestions for improving the FOMC framework statement.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///beggar thy neighbor situation
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Currency warfare: A ‘beggar-thy-neighbor’ situation

    In a currency war, the “beggar-thy-neighbor” strategy is about increasing the demand for a nation’s exports at the expense of other countries’ export share.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///eccdeadbcedcb
    Fund Managers

    The ‘Icahn Lift’: What Companies Have Gained from It?

    Market commentators have noticed that when Icahn starts buying into a company, its stock prices rise. This trend has been called the “Icahn Lift.”

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///latin america price performance
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Investing in Latin America Can Bear Fruit, but Should We?

    With commodity prices recovering and major developed markets (EFA) (VEA) caught in the lull, Latin America should see sunnier days ahead.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///GREK
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Eurozone grants bailout extension to Greece

    Europe-tracking ETFs gained significantly from February 19 to February 24, when the bailout extension to Greece was approved.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///Price performance of major ETFs ETNs
    Real Estate

    A head-to-head comparison: What are ETFs and ETNs?

    ETFs and ETNs are very similar—both trade on an exchange like a stock, follow an underlying product, and are easily accessible to investors.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///FF futures
    Financials

    Ray Dalio: The Next Downturn May Be a Difficult One to Reverse

    “The next downturn may be a difficult one for central banks to reverse,” warned Ray Dalio, CEO of the world’s largest hedge fund.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///brexit dev vs emerging
    Financials

    Investors Shift Their Focus to the UK—What Lies Ahead?

    In this series, we’ll look at some asset managers’ perspectives on the Brexit vote and its effect on the Market. We’ll identify factors that could lead to similar votes, and we’ll discuss what lies ahead for the UK.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///Brazils trade balance
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Falling Commodity Prices Impact Brazil’s Trade Balance

    Commodity-rich Brazil happens to be one of the important emerging markets (EEM) of the world. However, declining commodity prices are impacting Brazil’s exports.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Energy & Utilities

    A must-know guide to interest rates and your investments

    With interest rates expected to rise from their record lows, investors are flocking to equities and high yield securities in search of returns.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///aabfbacd
    Fund Managers

    The European Union Is Falling Apart: George Soros

    Soros remarked, “the European Union is falling apart,” when he was interviewed by Bloomberg TV on January 22. He also sees an impending collapse in Russia.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Energy & Utilities

    Why the ISIS-Iraq conflict could affect global oil investments

    Iraq is home to the fifth-largest oil deposits in the world and currently produces about 4% of the global oil supply. Iraq is now the second-biggest producer in the OPEC exporters’ cartel, after Saudi Arabia.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///Japan outperforming
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Japan Outperforms Markets So Far this Year

    So far, Abe’s policy has worked well for Japan. Japanese stocks are up by almost 70%— local currency—since late 2012, which coincides with the election of reformist Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///dcadddcbfc
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Are You Riding China’s Stock Market Roller Coaster?

    China’s stock market performance lately has been similar to a roller coaster ride. Riders’ enthusiasm on a roller coaster builds as the ride climbs…

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///SA US treasury holding
    Company & Industry Overviews

    How Saudi Arabia’s Bond Sale Affects US Treasury Bonds

    Saudi Arabia has also been involved in the sale of US Treasuries. The country is the 15th-largest holder of US Treasury bonds in the world.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///russia industrial production
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Russia’s Industrial Production Contracts Again, RSX Falls 0.49%

    Russia’s woes have only deepened with the Federal State Statistics Service releasing industrial output figures for July.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///policy tools
    Financials

    Dalio: What Policies Are Required of Central Bankers?

    Ray Dalio: Here’s what’s required of central bankers Given the inadequacy of monetary policy measures to stimulate the economy, we may see “more direct placements of purchasing power in the hands of spenders,” believes Ray Dalio. He has outlined what central bankers should do. “Continue to make debt assets extremely unattractive for savers” For some […]

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Energy & Utilities

    Why US and EU sanctions on Russia are having a boomerang effect

    These sanctions have mainly been issued against companies in Russia’s defense industry and energy industry, as well as important Russian banks and individuals.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///russias inflation rate
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Sliding Ruble Pumps Russia’s Inflation Rate to 16.9% in March

    Russia’s inflation rate has been trending upwards since the beginning of 2014 alongside the ruble’s decline. The ruble has declined by almost 40%.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Technology & Communications

    Exposure to junk bonds: How much should you hedge?

    Junk bonds are high yield bonds issued by below–investment grade corporations. Due to the low ratings and high risk of default attached to these bonds, they’re popularly called “junk bonds.”

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///caafdeaadaa
    Financials

    Mortgages: An Alternative outside the Stock Market

    Jeffrey Gundlach thinks that in today’s environment, investors will need to find alternatives outside the stock market if they want returns.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///Stock market leading indicator
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    The Broad Market Is Tending above the GDP Curve: A Positive Sign

    Indicators change as the business cycle progresses and help define the business cycles. The industrial production curve has been with the GDP curve.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///brazil inflation and selic rate
    Fund Managers

    How Low Interest Rates Have Hurt Venezuela, Puerto Rico, and Brazil

    Low global interest rates have been catastrophic for Brazil. Growth is stagnant while inflation continues to soar.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///growth deflation
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Bill Gross Shuns the Taylor Rule and the Phillips Curve

    The Taylor rule is a backward-looking model used to determine short-term interest rates in an economy. Bill Gross prefers a corollary to Gresham’s law.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///italy inflation rate
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Italy’s Inflation Rate Rose in August: EWI Fell 0.40%

    According to the August 31 release by the ISTAT, the EU’s harmonized inflation rate in Italy rose to an impressive 0.50% in August on a YoY (year-over-year) basis.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///bbbddaeeccffefcd
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Letting Alternative Investments Hedge Your Returns against Deflation

    An alternative investment is an investment in asset classes other than stocks, bonds, and cash that seeks to provide a hedge against various market risks.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///safe haven winners of brexit
    Financials

    Has Britain Really Voted Its Way to Prosperity?

    The Brexit referendum aftermath has translated to gains for certain hedge funds, while washing away earlier gains for others.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Consumer

    Overview: What is Pipelineistan?

    As percentages of the worlds’ total reserves, Russia holds 45% of the gas, 23% of the coal, 14% of the uranium, and 13% of the oil. Currently, Russia is the world’s largest energy supplier.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Energy & Utilities

    Why investors prefer dividends in a low interest rate environment

    The Fed’s policy of keeping the nominal interest rates at a zero lower bound leads some investors to seek higher and stabler income elsewhere. The low-interest rate regime may force risk-taking investors towards the higher-cost debt of high yield bonds.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///bonds reassigned
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Bank of Portugal Defied Pari Passu: What Does It Mean?

    By assigning five of Novo Banco’s 52 senior bonds to Banco Espirito Santo, the Bank of Portugal defied the principle of pari passu.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///Russia GDP growth rate
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Russia in Recession: Growth Contracted by 4.6% in Q2

    Russia’s annual GDP (gross domestic product) growth rate plummeted to -4.6%, according to the latest figures released from the Federal State Statistics Service.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///latam fwd eps
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Investor Sentiment Favors Peru, Chile, and Brazil

    Investor sentiment with respect to Latin American economies has definitely been changing since the beginning of the year.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///Market Vectors Russia ETF RSX price performance
    Energy & Utilities

    Ukraine and Russia at the brink of war: All major indices affected

    Russia began the Ukrainian invasion by invading Donetsk, and with the Ukrainian army trying hard to regain control, the situation seems a little short of a battle to begin.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Financials

    Why you should invest in some of the 1,500 ETFs in the US

    In this series, we’ll introduce you to the concept of exchange-traded funds (or ETFs). You’ll find out about the types of ETFs and how they can help your portfolio.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///New home sales
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    New Home Sales Fell 6.80% in June: ITB Fell 2.20%

    Existing home sales in the US recorded a 482,000 annualized figure in June—compared to 517,000 recorded in May. It failed to meet census expectations of 550,000 units.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///WTI crude
    Fund Managers

    Jeffrey Gundlach: The Junk Bond Market Needs Higher Oil Prices

    Jeffrey Gundlach also warned about the high-yield market (HYG) (JNK). He said the “clock is running out” for energy companies (IEZ) due to low oil (USO) prices.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///QE and SnP
    Financials

    Jeffrey Gundlach: The Fed Has Been Supporting the S&P 500

    Gundlach also believes it’s interesting to look at the correlation between the size of the Fed’s balance sheet and the S&P 500 (SPY) (SPXS) (SPXL) level.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///dvy vs spy
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Dividend ETFs Continue to Benefit from the Fed’s Low-Rate Policy

    Dividend investing involves looking for companies that generate steady cash flows for shareholders. They’re likely to outperform when the economy is down.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///GREK
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    A quick look into the most indebted country in Europe: Greece

    On November 14, 2014, Greece’s economy finally registered some growth and emerged from recession. The economy expanded by 1.7% in Q314, compared to 3Q13.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///brexit contagion
    Financials

    Is the Brexit Vote the Beginning of a Movement?

    Popular opinion holds that the Brexit referendum has opened the gates for other such votes in the future.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///negative interest rates
    Financials

    Gundlach: Negative Interest Rates Are the Definition of Deflation

    Gundlach has no interest in sovereign debt at negative interest rates. He said that it’s a “guaranteed loss.” Bill Gross shares this view.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///killer Ds
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Dalio: Japan Is Undergoing an ‘Ugly Deflationary Deleveraging’

    “Deleveraging” refers to reducing the debt level. With Japan’s debt burden, deleveraging the economy’s balance sheet seems more than imperative.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///russia industrial production
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Industrial Production Contracts in Russia in June, RSX Falls 1.6%

    Industrial production in Russia declined by 4.8% in June on a year-over-year basis. The Russian equity–tracking VanEck Vectors Russia ETF (RSX) was down 1.6%.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///UEJ PE
    Company & Industry Overviews

    US Equity Is Expensive, so Where Can I Look for Relative Value?

    US equity has become expensive, and its PE ratio continues to be elevated despite the fact that companies in the United States have been using the low-interest rate regime to financially lever their earnings.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///WTI crude oil
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Oil price drop wreaks havoc on Russian economy

    The continued oil price drop, coupled with the impact of Western sanctions that are fueling inflation in the economy, is wreaking havoc on Russia’s economy.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///russia inflation rate
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Russian Ruble Reversal: Inflation Rate Falls to 16.4% in April

    Russia’s inflation rate had been trending upward since the beginning of 2014, in tandem with the ruble’s decline. But the country’s central bank believes that the worst is now over for Russia.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///SPy bubble
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Are We at the End of a Business Cycle?

    An early contraction, middle bear phase seems to suggest that we are near the end of the current business cycle.

    By Surbhi Jain
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