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Enbridge and TransCanada Have Fallen 20% in 2018

Rekha Khandelwal, CFA - Author
By

Nov. 6 2018, Published 8:03 a.m. ET

YTD fall

So far, Canadian midstream giants TransCanada (TRP) and Enbridge (ENB) have each fallen ~20% in 2018. The stocks have underperformed the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), which has fallen ~6% during the same period. In comparison, Kinder Morgan (KMI) has fallen ~8%, while ONEOK (OKE) has risen 14% YTD (year-to-date). WTI crude oil prices have risen ~5% YTD.

Depressed Western Canadian Select prices compared to WTI or Brent prices, driven largely by takeaway capacity constraints, have impacted Canadian energy companies. Quite a few pipeline projects are in various development stages to provide the much-needed takeaway capacity in the region. To learn more, read KMI, ENB, TRP: Key Projects Planned to Move Oil out of Alberta.

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Moving averages

Currently, Enbridge’s 50-day moving average is close to its 200-day average. The stock is trading below the two averages. Enbridge’s 50-day and 200-day average levels might act as a resistance for the stock in the near term.

TransCanada stock is also trading below its 50-day and 200-day averages. The stock might trade weak until it crosses above these key levels.

Yields

TransCanada and Enbridge are trading at attractive yields of 5.4% and 6.3%, respectively. Enbridge expects 10% compound annual growth in its dividends through 2020. TransCanada expects an annual dividend growth of 8%–10% through 2021. Kinder Morgan is trading at a yield of ~4.6%, while ONEOK is trading at a yield of ~5.3%.

Next, we’ll discuss Enbridge and TransCanada’s recent operational performance.

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