Intrepid Potash Inc
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Sales Drivers and What to Expect for Fertilizer Companies
The world has a problem that’s actually good for the fertilizer industry. This is the world’s population, which is ever-growing, as is food consumption.
Potash Prices Were Flat to Positive Last Week
In the Cornbelt region of the US, the potash prices rose by 31 basis points to $289 per metric ton from $288 per metric ton.
Fertilizer Prices for the Week Ending November 2
The week ending November 2 was broadly positive for the agribusiness sector. The VanEck Vectors Agribusiness ETF (MOO) rose ~4.5%.
How Fertilizer Affordability Trended Last Week
Fertilizer affordability is an important indicator when it comes to fertilizer demand.
How Urea Prices Performed Last Week
In the week ending October 26, overall urea prices were broadly negative.
How Fertilizer Stocks and Prices Moved Last Week
Last week, the overall agribusiness sector was broadly negative. The VanEck Vectors Agribusiness ETF (MOO) fell ~4.9%.
Potash Prices Continued to Rise Last Week
In the Cornbelt region of the US, the potash prices rose as much as 3.3% week-over-week to $284 per metric ton.
Fertilizer Affordability Still Largely Unchanged Last Week
Last week, which ended October 12, fertilizer affordability was unchanged week-over-week.
Why Fertilizer Stocks Fell in Week Ended October 12
Last week was a big negative for the overall market and the agribusiness sector. The VanEck Vectors Agribusiness ETF (MOO) fell 3.5%.
Fertilizer Stocks See Sell-Off amid Negative Market Sentiment
On October 10, the VanEck Vectors Agribusiness ETF (MOO), which represents the broader agribusiness sector, fell about 2.9%.
Fertilizer Affordability Index Remained Elevated Last Week
The fertilizer affordability index remained elevated last week relative to levels observed since January 2016.
Potash Prices Recorded Strong Gains Last Week
Potash prices in Brazil rose the most last week with a rise of 2.3% to $357 per metric ton from $349 per metric ton.
How Fertilizer Prices and Stocks Performed Last Week
The VanEck Vector Agribusiness ETF (MOO) fell 14 basis points between its closing on September 28 and its closing on October 5.
Potash Prices: Broadly Higher in the Week Ending September 28
In the week ending September 28, granular potash prices were broadly higher, while standard potash prices were flat week-over-week.
Fertilizer Affordability Pressure Eased Last Week
While the Fertilizer Affordability Index was below one, it’s still higher compared to the average levels observed since January 2016.
Are Fertilizers Becoming Less Affordable?
Fertilizer affordability affects sales volume for fertilizer companies (NANR) such as Mosaic (MOS), Nutrien (NTR), CF Industries (CF), and Intrepid Potash (IPI).
Are DAP Prices Outside the US Reversing?
DAP (diammonium phosphate) prices have been rising lately.
How Fertilizer Stocks and Prices Fared Last Week
The week ending September 14 was broadly positive for the agribusiness sector.
Fertilizer Prices and Stocks Are on Pause: What’s Going On?
Last week, which ended September 7, the VanEck Vectors Agribusiness ETF (MOO) fell 1.8%, while the S&P 500 Index fell 1%.
Are Fertilizers Becoming Less Affordable?
Fertilizer affordability has been negatively impacted by the direction in which fertilizer prices have been moving.
Potash Prices for Week Ended August 31
Potash prices, similar to the prices of nitrogen and phosphate, continued to gain momentum in the week ended August 31.
DAP Phosphate Prices Losing Steam outside the United States
The price for DAP in the NOLA (New Orleans) region of the United States was the only one to gain last week, rising 97 basis points to $377 per metric ton.
Fertilizer Affordability Uncomfortably Lower amid Higher Prices
The Fertilizer Affordability Index issued by Mosaic (MOS) rose to 0.83x from 0.78x in the week ended August 17.
Potash Prices at All-Time High in Week Ended August 24
Potash prices last week, which ended on August 24, remained at an all-time high compared to levels for January 2016.
How Higher Energy Costs outside the US Benefited CF Industries
In Europe, the cost of natural gas rose by 53% year-over-year as of June 2018.
How CF Industries Fared in the Second Quarter
CF Industries reported sales growth of 16% year-over-year in the second quarter due to the increase in realized fertilizer prices across its five segments.
Potash Prices Unchanged Last Week, Strong Year-over-Year
In NOLA, potash prices were flat at $239 per metric ton. In the US Cornbelt, they were flat at $288 per metric ton.
Fertilizer Prices Take a Pause: Weekly Update
The fertilizer sector remained under pressure between August 3 and August 13, with the benchmark VanEck Vectors Agribusiness ETF (MOO) declining 2.4%
Potash Prices and the Fertilizer Sector’s Outlook
The overall picture for nitrogen, phosphorous, and potassium prices remains upbeat even though trade tensions might impact agricultural commodities.
Expectations for Global Potash Fertilizer Demand
The potash market was no different than nitrogen and phosphate. Potash prices were depressed due to oversupply.
Intrepid Potash Reported Its Q2 2018 Earnings, Stock Fell 22%
Intrepid Potash reported its earnings on August 2. After the earnings release, Intrepid Potash stock fell almost 22.2% and settled at $3.26 per share.
Nutrien Pops on Second-Quarter Earnings
Nutrien (NTR) reported its second-quarter earnings on August 1 after the market closed.
Mosaic Expected to Report 31% EPS Growth
For the second quarter, Wall Street analysts are estimating that Mosaic will report EPS of $0.38, which would be a 31% growth YoY.
Can Mosaic Beat Analysts’ Sales Estimate Again This Quarter?
For the upcoming Q2 results, analysts estimate that Mosaic will report sales of $2.2 billion, a 27% YoY growth.
Mosaic to Report Second-Quarter Earnings: What to Expect
Mosaic (MOS) is scheduled to release its earnings on August 6 after the market closes. It has had a terrific run so far this year.
Fertilizer Affordability Improved Last Week
Fertilizer affordability last week continued to improve after the Fertilizer Affordability Index reached a peak this year on July 12.
Potash Prices Remained at Peak in Week Ending July 27
Potash fertilizer prices were broadly unchanged last week at the four locations discussed below.
MAP Prices Made New Highs Last Week
MAP (monoammonium phosphate) prices continued to inch higher last week and hit new highs.
Digging into CF Industries’ Profitability Expectations
For many seasoned investors, EBITDA represent companies’ core profitability.
Is This Why CF’s Stock Has Rallied?
Like CF Industries’ (CF) sales, its margins are also expected to expand YoY (year-over-year) in Q2 2018 and the next four quarters.
Potash Prices Hit New Highs Last Week
Last week, potash prices in the Cornbelt region of the US (MOO) rose 1.8% week-over-week to $238 per metric ton from $235 per metric ton a week ago.
How Fertilizer Prices Fared Last Week
Last week was broadly positive for the agribusiness sector.
Intrepid Potash: Earnings Estimate, Analyst Ratings before 2Q
With a growth in margins, Intrepid Potash (IPI) is expected to deliver an improvement in earnings.
Analysts Expect Intrepid Potash’s Margins to Expand
In the upcoming second quarter, Wall Street analysts are estimating that Intrepid Potash will report gross income of $14 million.
Intrepid Potash’s Second-Quarter Sales Estimate
In the near term, analysts’ estimates for Intrepid Potash’s (IPI) sales fail to show a positive momentum.
What to Expect from Intrepid Potash’s Second-Quarter Earnings
Intrepid Potash (IPI) is set to release its second quarter 2018 earnings on August 1. Analysts are estimating EPS of $0.04.
Agrible, Nutrien’s Latest Acquisition: Customers and Pricing
According to a Nutrien press release, Agrible had 17,000 customers at the time of the acquisition, which represented about 11 million acres.
Nutrien’s Retail Business and Agrible’s Technology Platform
Agrible’s technology gives a digital dimension to farming activity by driving efficiency in decision-making.
Fertilizer Affordability Update for Week Ended July 13
In recent weeks, fertilizer affordability has weakened for farmers, partly due to rising fertilizer prices and falling commodity prices for crops.
Potash Price Update for Week Ended July 13
Potash prices have been higher than their levels since January 2016. Potash prices were largely unchanged last week.
Update: July 13 Fertilizer Stocks and Price Movements
Last week, which ended July 13, was broadly negative for the agribusiness sector. The broader market index was positive.
What Affected Fertilizer Affordability Last Week
Last week, fertilizer became less affordable. The Fertilizer Affordability Index, issued by The Mosaic Company (MOS), rose to 0.79x from 0.78x.
Potash Prices Stay High
In recent weeks, potash prices have been rising and hitting YTD (year-to-date) highs.
A Review of Fertilizer Prices Last Week
In this series, we’ll look at key NPK (nitrogen, phosphorous, and potassium) fertilizer prices last week.
Fertilizer Affordability Weakens with Falling Crop Prices
Last week, the Fertilizer Affordability Index rose to 0.78x from 0.74x the previous week.
Potash Prices Rose in Week Ended June 29
Last week, potash prices in the NOLA (New Orleans) region of the United States rose 1.6% week-over-week to $235 per metric ton.
How Potash Prices Fared Last Week
Last week, potash prices were also broadly positive and managed to make new highs so far year-to-date.
Fertilizer Stocks Struggled on June 25 amid the Trade War
On June 25, the stock market continued to bleed due to risks from the escalating trade. The S&P 500 Index (SPY) fell almost 1.3%.
Cowen and Company Sees a Huge Upside for CF Industries
The mean consensus price target for CF Industries is $42.80, which rose from $42.60 in May.
How CF Industries’ Forecasts Compare to Valuations
CF Industries’ valuation multiples have risen across the board since February 2016 and have broadly moved sideways since then.
What Analysts Project for CF Industries’ Margins
CF Industries’ gross, EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization), and operating margins have trended down.
What Are CF Industries’ Growth Catalysts?
With the easing of supply-side pressures and the resulting improvement in global fertilizer prices, CF Industries (CF) also saw an uptick in its realized selling price across most of its segments.
What the Future Could Hold for CF Industries Stock
CF Industries (CF), one of the major nitrogen producers in North America, has had a bumpy ride since 2015.
What Caused the Fertilizer Affordability Index to Rise Last Week?
Last week, the Fertilizer Affordability Index rose, which means that fertilizer affordability deteriorated.
Potash Price Update for the Week Ended June 1
Last week, potash prices in the Cornbelt region of the United States saw the best weekly gain compared to the other three locations.
Fertilizer Prices Are on the Rise
The fertilizer sector was broadly positive between May 29 and June 5.
Potash Prices Remained Stable Last Week
Potash prices, primarily for the granular grade of potash, were broadly flat to positive last week.
How Fertilizer Affordability Moved Last Week
Fertilizer affordability continued to improve last week as a result of broader weakness in fertilizer prices, particularly in urea and phosphates.
Weekly Update: Fertilizer Stocks Are Seeing Positive Trends
Last week was positive for the agribusiness sector. The VanEck Vectors Agribusiness ETF ended the week with a rise of 32 basis points.
Is Stephens Getting More Bullish on Intrepid Potash?
Intrepid Potash (IPI) reported its earnings on April 24 before the market opened.
How Analysts Rate Mosaic in May
Mosaic (MOS) reported its 1Q18 earnings on May 7 after the market closed.
Fertilizer Affordability Trends Last Week
Last week, the Fertilizer Affordability Index dipped further, indicating that the affordability of fertilizers such as nitrogen, phosphorous, and potassium had improved.
A Look at Fertilizer Prices Last Week
Last week (ended May 4) was broadly positive for the agribusiness sector.
What Mosaic’s Gross Margin Estimates Tell Us
Wall Street analysts are estimating gross income of $262 million for Mosaic in 1Q18, which is almost double last year’s gross income.
Why Mosaic’s Sales Could Climb in 1Q18
For 1Q18, Mosaic is estimated to post $1.8 billion in sales, which would represent a 12% increase from $1.6 in 1Q17.
Snapshot: CF Industries Reports Its 1Q18 Earnings
CF Industries (CF) reported its 1Q18 earnings on May 2, after the market closed.
Fertilizer Affordability Index Update: Week Ending April 27
Higher fertilizer affordability benefits Nutrien (NTR), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Potash (IPI), and Israel Chemicals (ICL).
How Did Potash Prices Perform Last Week?
While nitrogen and phosphate prices at some locations experienced a weekly increase, potash prices were broadly flat to negative week-over-week.
Will CF Industries See Operating Margin Growth in 1Q18?
For 1Q18, CF Industries’ EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) are estimated to grow year-over-year by 22% to $333 million from $272 million a year ago.
CF Industries’ Gross Margin Is Expected to Expand in 1Q18
In 1Q18, CF Industries’ gross income is estimated to almost double year-over-year to $205 million from $106 million in 1Q17.
What to Expect from CF Industries’ Sales
In 1Q18, the median analyst estimate for CF Industries’ sales stood at $1.07 billion.
What to Expect from CF Industries’ 1Q18 Earnings
CF Industries (CF) is expected to announce its earnings on May 2.
A Look at the Fertilizer Affordability Index Last Week
Last week, the Fertilizer Affordability Index rose week-over-week to 0.64 from 0.63 the previous week.
Potash Prices: Unchanged Last Week
Potash prices have remained strong so far in 2018, which is a relief for potash producers.
Fertilizer Price Movements for the Week Ended April 20
Last week, most fertilizer stocks ended in positive territory. Intrepid Potash (IPI) was the biggest gainer, rising 4.3% to $4.20.
Potash’s Price Movements in the Week Ended April 13
Last week, potash prices remained strong with overall flat to positive movement. Prices in Brazil and Southeast Asia remained particularly strong week-over-week.
Fertilizer Prices Were Lower in the Week Ended April 13
Last week, the agribusiness sector was broadly positive, with the VanEck Vectors Agribusiness ETF ending at a rise of 2.5% week-over-week.
DAP Price Update for the Week Ended April 6
In the week ended April 6, DAP (diammonium phosphate) prices were broadly flat to negative.
Potash Prices Were Strong Last Week
In the week ending March 30, 2018, potash prices were broadly flat to positive. Last week, the prices were also strong YoY (year-over-year).
MAP Prices Were Mixed in the Week Ending March 30
In the week ending March 30, 2018, MAP prices in Brazil remained flat week-over-week at $426 per metric ton from a week ago.
Fertilizers Remained Affordable Last Week
The Fertilizer Affordability Index rose slightly to 0.67x last week from 0.66x a week ago. The index level stood at 0.7x a month ago and 0.61x a year ago.
How Potash Prices Performed Last Week
Potash prices have recently seen an upward trend.
Potash Selling Prices Showed Strength in 4Q17
Intrepid Potash (IPI) saw the steepest increase in prices year-over-year by ~34% to $224 per metric ton from $168 per metric ton a year ago in 4Q16.
Which Producer Saw the Highest Potash Shipments in 4Q17?
Overall shipments in 4Q17 for five companies fell ~13% year-over-year.
How Potash Prices Performed Last Week
Last week, granular potash prices in Brazil rose as much as 1% week-over-week to $294 per metric ton from $291 per metric ton a week ago.
Phosphate Prices Continued to Strengthen Last Week
Last week, phosphate prices for both DAP (diammonium phosphate) and MAP (monoammonium phosphate) continued their upward momentum.
Analysts’ Ratings for Major Agribusiness Stocks: February Update
So far this year, some major agribusiness stocks, particularly in the fertilizer sector, have performed poorly.
Analyzing Potash Fertilizer Prices for the Week Ending February 16
In the week ending February 16, potash prices were broadly flat to positive compared to a week ago.
How Potash Prices Performed Last Week
In the week ending January 26, potash prices at the locations discussed below were broadly flat to positive and remained strong compared to levels observed a year ago.
What Scotts Miracle-Gro Could Gain from Tax Cuts
SMG said it intends to pass on the benefits from tax savings to its employees by increasing salaries and through other programs.