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    Dividends

    A Look at CenturyLink’s Dividend Yield and Outlook

    CenturyLink (CTL) stock was at $13.16 on December 24. This is down 0.23% from the previous session. However, CenturyLink generates robust free cash flow.

    By Ambrish Shah
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Powell Didn’t Cut Interest Rates

    The Fed left the federal funds rate unchanged at 1.5%–1.75% yesterday, as expected. Furthermore, the interest rate could remain the same in 2020.

    By Rekha Khandelwal, CFA
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    Consumer

    How Trump Could Be Affected by New Economic Data

    A couple of key data points relating to the US economy were released on October 24. These releases may not bode well for President Trump’s reelection.

    By Rekha Khandelwal, CFA
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    Consumer

    Can Investors Expect a ‘Black Monday’ Tomorrow?

    Tech and semiconductor stocks have significant exposure to China during this trade war. Investors should expect these stocks to trade lower on Monday.

    By Adam Rogers
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    Company & Industry Overviews

    Which FAANG Stock Will Sit on the Iron Throne?

    With earnings around the corner, which FAANG stock will perform the best?

    By JP Gravitt
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    Company & Industry Overviews

    You Really Want To Be Buying Apple Now?

    It’s not like Apple (AAPL) is super expensive on the face of it…

    By JP Gravitt
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    Tech & Comm Services

    Welcome (Back) To the Stock Market Clown Show

    With the major indices pushing higher and higher, we need to again look at whether any new money should be put to work here.

    By JP Gravitt
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    Consumer

    Sell or Short Deckers, Cintas, and Garmin NOW

    Don’t sell all of your stocks and head for the hills, but do add some shorts to the group or at least sell these silly stocks that lifted all boats.

    By JP Gravitt
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    Miscellaneous

    Where US Crude Oil Could Be Next Week

    On February 7, US crude oil’s implied volatility was 31.4%, which was ~10% below its 15-day average.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Have US Equity Indexes Made Oil’s Fall Sharper?

    The Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) rose 2%. XLK was the outperformer among sector-based SPDR ETFs.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Will Natural Gas Rise from Almost a Ten-Month Low?

    On February 5, natural gas March futures rose 0.1% and settled at $2.66 per MMBtu—the second-lowest closing level since April 19.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Will US Crude Oil Maintain the $54 Level on February 5?

    On February 4, US crude oil prices fell 1.3% and settled at $54.56 per barrel. US crude oil active futures made an intraday high of $55.75.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Natural Gas Is Heading for More than a Four-Month Low

    On January 30, at 6:05 AM EST, natural gas March futures fell 1.7% from the last closing level.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Oil Might Feel Pressure from US-China Trade Talks on January 28

    Between January 18 and January 25, US crude oil March futures fell 0.6% and closed at $53.69 despite a fall in the US dollar.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Natural Gas Prices: What Could Happen on January 24?

    On January 24, at 5:39 AM EST, natural gas prices have risen 1.7% from the last closing level.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Consumer

    US Oil Production Growth Might Slow Faster than Expected

    The oil rig count could keep rising until at least March. By the second quarter, US crude oil production growth might slow down.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Basic Materials

    Why Natural Gas Has Fallen 10% on January 22

    On January 22, natural gas February futures fell to an intraday low of $3.13 per MMBtu, which is ~10% below the last closing level.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    What Does the IEA Think about the Oil Market?

    On January 17, US crude oil March futures fell 0.5% and settled at $52.36 per barrel. In the trailing week, US crude oil prices fell 1%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Is the Sharp Rise in Natural Gas Sustainable?

    On January 16, at 7:37 AM EST, natural gas prices have risen by 1.7 cents from the last closing level.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    EIA Inventory Data Might Concern Oil Bulls

    In the week ending January 4, US crude oil inventories were 8% higher than their five-year average—the same as the previous week.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Oil Traders: Goldman Sachs Expects a Slowdown

    On January 14, US crude oil February futures fell 2.1% and settled at $50.51 per barrel. The Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) fell 0.2%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Where US Crude Oil Might Head Next Week

    On January 10, US crude oil’s implied volatility was 40%, which was ~25% below its 15-day average.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Broader Market Might Have Pushed Oil Higher

    On January 3–10, XLE rose 7.7%—the third-largest gainer among the SPDR ETFs that break the broad market into subsectors.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Will Natural Gas Stay above $3?

    On January 8, natural gas February futures rose 0.8% and settled at $2.96 per million British thermal units.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Falling Inventories Didn’t Help Oil’s Rise

    Since the latest EIA (U.S. Energy Information Administration) data were released on January 4, US crude oil February futures have risen 1.2%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Oil: Famous Recession Indicator Might Be a Concern

    On January 2, US crude oil active futures settled at $46.54 per barrel—2.5% higher than the last closing level due to short covering.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    What Might Spook Natural Gas in Early 2019?

    On December 31, natural gas February futures fell 11% and settled at $2.94 per million British thermal units.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    A Large Fall in EIA Data Might Help Oil Prices to Rise

    In the week ending on December 21, US crude oil inventories were 7% higher than their five-year average—unchanged from the previous week.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Oil: 2018 Might Be the Worst Year since 2016

    So far in 2018, US crude oil prices have fallen 25%. Crude oil prices are in the red on a year-to-date basis for the first time since 2016.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    What’s Hindering Natural Gas’s Rise?

    On December 24, natural gas February futures fell 8.7% and settled at $3.42 per million British thermal units.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Will the Rebound in Oil Prices Be Short-Lived?

    On December 26, US crude oil active futures settled at $46.22 per barrel—8.7% higher than the lowest closing level since June 21, 2017.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Oil’s Disaster: What Can Investors Expect?

    On December 20, US crude oil February futures fell 4.8% and settled at $45.88 per barrel—the smallest closing level since July 21, 2017.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Analyzing the Energy Sector Last Week

    On December 7–14, US equity indexes ended in the red. Last week, IVOO, SPY, and DIA fell 2.7%, 1.3%, and 1.2%, respectively.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    US Equity Indexes and Oil Diverged

    On December 6–13, XLE fell 1.4%—the fourth-lowest decline among the SPDR ETFs that break the broad market into subsectors.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    China’s Economic Data Might Drag Oil Prices

    On December 14, China reported the November industrial output growth at 5.4% on a year-over-year basis—the lowest growth since early 2016.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Will Trade Based on Buying Natural Gas and Selling Oil Unwind?

    On December 11, natural gas January futures fell 3% and settled at $4.41 per million British thermal units.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Bank of America Eyes Oil at $70 in 2019

    Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BAC) expects Brent crude oil to average ~$70 per barrel in 2019, according to a CNBC report.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Are the Cuts by OPEC and Non-OPEC Countries Failing to Boost Oil?

    On December 10, US crude oil January futures fell 3.1% and settled at $51 per barrel.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Why Are Oil and Equity Indexes Diverging?

    Last week, the S&P Mid-Cap 400 (IVOO), the S&P 500 (SPY), and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) fell 5.2%, 4.6%, and 4.5%, respectively.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Key Price Points for US Crude Oil after OPEC’s Decision

    On December 6, US crude oil’s implied volatility was 48.1%, which was 1.5% above its 15-day average.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    OPEC’s Cut: How Long Oil’s U-Turn Might Continue

    On December 6, US crude oil January futures fell 2.6% and settled at $51.49 per barrel. OPEC is waiting for Russia’s nod.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Which Oil-Weighted Stocks Might Be Most Affected by OPEC Meeting?

    On December 5, US crude oil January futures fell 0.7% and closed at $52.89 per barrel.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Russia’s Production Cut Decision Could Make or Break Oil Prices

    OPEC members have provisionally decided to implement production cuts but are waiting for Russia to agree to a cut.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    What Caused the Upside in Natural Gas Prices?

    On December 4, natural gas January futures rose 2.7% and settled at $4.457 per million British thermal units.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Goldman Sachs: Oil Looks Extremely Attractive

    According to a CNBC report on November 26, analysts at Goldman Sachs (GS) think oil is extremely attractive at the current levels.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Why Oil Might Be Troubling Wall Street

    On November 15–21, US equity indexes had the following correlations with US crude oil January futures.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Top Investment Banks Staying Cautious on Oil: Your Move?

    According to J.P. Morgan (JPM), Brent crude oil might average $10.5 per barrel less than its earlier forecast of $83.50 per barrel in 2019.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Mark Fisher: Oil’s Fall Is Over

    In an interview with CNBC on November 14, Mark Fisher, a famous energy trader, said that the “worst is over” for crude oil.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    US Crude Oil below $60 Might Harm Oil-Weighted Stocks

    On November 14, US crude oil December futures rose 1% and closed at $56.25 per barrel.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Natural Gas’s Multiyear Rise Might Not Be Stoppable

    On November 13, natural gas December futures rose 8.3% and settled at $4.10 per MMBtu—the highest closing level since November 26, 2014.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Rising Inventories Spread Might Drag Oil Prices

    In the week ending on November 2, US crude oil inventories were 3% above their five-year average.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Basic Materials

    Election Over, Market Still Undecided

    We know the nation is politically divided, and now the market is showing us its split personality as well.

    By JP Gravitt
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    Energy & Utilities

    Natural Gas Is near a Nine-Month High: What’s Next?

    On November 6, natural gas December futures fell 0.3% from a nine-month high and settled at $3.56 per MMBtu.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    US Crude Oil Is 3.1% Away from a Bear Market

    On November 5, US crude oil December futures fell 0.1% and settled at $63.1 per barrel—the lowest closing level since April 6.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Why Are Energy ETFs Bleeding

    On October 19–26, US equity indexes ended in the red. Last week, DIA, SPY, and IVOO fell 3%, 3.9%, and 4.1%, respectively.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Saudi Arabia: US Crude Oil Might Drift Lower

    On October 23, Saudi Arabia announced that it will keep fulfilling customers’ oil demand, which might have opened the way for lower oil prices.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Geopolitical Turmoil: US Crude Oil Might Stay near to $70

    On October 12–19, US crude oil December futures fell 2.7% and closed at $69.28 per barrel on October 19.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Oil-Weighted Stocks at Maximum Risk, Oil Declines

    On October 17, US crude oil November futures fell 3% and closed at $69.75 per barrel—below $70 for the first time since September 18.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Oil Prices Might Stay Range Bound

    According to the EIA’s report, US crude oil production from major US shale regions could reach 7.7 MMbpd in November.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Will US Crude Oil Erase Last Week’s Losses?

    On October 5–12, US crude oil November futures fell 4% and closed at $71.34 per barrel on October 12.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Gold, Miners Have Surged on the Market Rout—What’s the Upside?

    Gold prices have failed to draw a bid in 2018 despite many market uncertainties, including trade tensions and other geopolitical concerns.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Miscellaneous

    Oil Might Have Impacted the Fall in Equity Indexes

    In the trailing week, the Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLU) rose 0.4%—the only gainer on our list.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Oil Prices: Analyzing the IEA’s Oil Market Report

    On October 12, the IEA released its Oil Market Report. In the report, the IEA cut oil’s demand growth forecast.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    CPI Underwhelms Today: Will the Market Heave a Sigh of Relief?

    The US consumer price index (or CPI) for September was released today at 8:30 AM EST. Inflation numbers were weaker-than-expected.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Consumer

    Does the Sell-Off Imply Market Repositioning for Lower Growth?

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index tumbled more than 800 points yesterday as Treasury yields continued their upward march.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Consumer

    Market Might Be Setting the Stage for a Bigger Crash

    Avoid the market trap In the previous part of this series, we discussed why investors shouldn’t fall prey to a minor market bounce back and enter long positions. Investors should remember that market rallies often witness downside corrections followed by a rally extension. In similar fashion, the market sell-off could be followed by a minor bounce […]

    By Jitendra Parashar
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    Miscellaneous

    Minor Market Rebounds Could Be a Trap

    In the auto industry, Ferrari (RACE) and Fiat Chrysler (FCAU) fell 8.8% and 5.3%, respectively, on October 10.

    By Jitendra Parashar
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    Miscellaneous

    Tech ETFs Saw Major Impact on October 10

    On October 10, Wall Street had its worst day in eight months. The sell-off was driven by investor concerns about rising interest rates.

    By Adam Rogers
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    Consumer

    US Equities Down on Rising Rate Fears: Watch Out for CPI Next

    Increasing interest rates spooked investors again today as US stocks dropped sharply amid rising Treasury yields.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Consumer

    Support Levels to Watch in the S&P 500 as the Sell-Off Continues

    As of 12:30 PM EDT on October 10, the S&P 500 Index has fallen 1.4%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has fallen 1.4%.

    By Jitendra Parashar
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    Miscellaneous

    Will Equity Valuations Pass the Stress Test of Rising Bond Yields?

    For the last few days, the bond markets have seen sell-offs due to stronger-than-expected economic data and hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Miscellaneous

    Dalio Predicts Weaker Dollar due to Budget Deficit Financing

    The White House has acknowledged that the deficit is growing faster than it had expected.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Energy & Utilities

    Are Natural Gas Bulls Betting on Hurricane Michael?

    On October 9, natural gas November futures were almost unchanged and settled at $3.27 per MMBtu.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    IMF Cuts Global Growth Forecast: Will Oil Prices Fall?

    The downward revision of the global economic growth forecast could impact oil prices negatively, as oil is a growth-driven asset.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Will the Sharp Sell-Off in Europe and China Impact Oil Prices?

    On September 28–October 5, US crude oil November futures rose 1.5% and closed at $74.34 per barrel on October 5.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Is the Current Sell-Off a Blip—or the Start of a Downtrend?

    Whether the recent sell-off in the bond and stock markets is just a blip or the beginning of a sustained downward rally will depend on the upcoming US economic data.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Is the Market Worried about an Overheating US Economy?

    Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech did little to assuage investors’ concerns regarding the overheating of the US economy.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Sell-Off in US Stocks as US Treasury Yields Soar

    On October 3, US bond yields (BND) soared due to a bond sell-off. The sell-off continued on October 4, though at a slower pace.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    US Unemployment at 49-Year Low: How Did the Markets React?

    The US jobs report for September was released on October 5. September’s unemployment rate is the lowest level in the last 49 years.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Consumer

    Amazon’s Hike Could Increase the US Economy’s Wage Growth

    Amazon (AMZN) announced that it will increase the minimum wage for its US workers to $15 per hour starting next month.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Healthcare

    Look for These Clues in the September Jobs Report

    The Department of Labor is scheduled to release the September figures for the US (VTI) employment situation on October 5.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Miscellaneous

    EIA Data: Will Oil Bulls Lose Hope for Another Multiyear High?

    The EIA reported a rise of 8 MMbbls (million barrels) in US crude oil inventories to 404 MMbbls for the week ended September 28.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Basic Materials

    Alunorte Shutdown: Norsk Hydro’s Pain Is Alcoa’s Gain

    Norsk Hydro (NHYDY) has announced a production halt at its Alunorte alumina refinery in Brazil.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Investors Should Brace for a Protracted Trade War

    The US-China trade war has reached the next level. The US tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods went into effect on September 24.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Energy & Utilities

    Citi: Emerging Market Might Alarm Oil’s Demand Growth

    Edward Morse, Citi Research’s global head of commodities, said that oil’s demand growth could decrease by 100,000 barrels per day in 2019.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Healthcare

    When Will Fed Tightening Start to Hurt the US Economy?

    Fed chair Jerome Powell said US companies are becoming more worried about the impact of tariffs and trade wars.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why the US Markets Fell after Fed Chair Powell’s Speech

    The US stock markets turned negative before the market closed yesterday after fully assessing Fed chair Jerome Powell’s speech.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Fed Raises Interest Rates, Hints at Three Hikes in 2019

    As widely expected, the Federal Reserve increased the interest rate (TLT) yesterday by 25 basis points to 2%–2.25%.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Energy & Utilities

    Natural Gas Reached an Eight-Month High: What’s Next?

    On September 25, natural gas active futures were 6.9%, 7.1%, 6.7%, and 8% above their 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    How US Crude Oil Inventory Data Affects Oil Prices

    In the week ended September 14, US crude oil inventories were 3% below their five-year average and flat from the week prior.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Basic Materials

    Everyone Wants a Piece of the Thriving Steel Industry Pie

    The US steel industry has seen an increase in profitability this year as President Trump’s Section 232 tariffs have raised US steel prices.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Energy & Utilities

    The Big Push for Oil this Year

    Between September 14 and 21, US crude oil November futures rose 2.9% and closed at $70.78 per barrel. Let’s take a closer look.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Is Oil Pushing Wall Street Higher?

    On September 13–20, XLE rose 1.7%—the third-highest gainer among the SPDR ETFs that break the broad market into subsectors.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Industrials

    How Analysts View Boeing after Its August Order Boom

    Boeing’s consensus-12-month target price is $412.6, which indicates a 15.9% return potential as of the September 17 closing of $356.

    By Ally Schmidt
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    Energy & Utilities

    Natural Gas Bears Might Enjoy a Short Position from This High

    On September 18, natural gas October futures rose 4.2% and settled at $2.933 per MMBtu (million British thermal units).

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Consumer

    Investors Can’t Get Enough of FAANG+BAT, the Most-Crowded Trade

    It seems like fund managers can’t get enough of technology stocks. They continue to invest in the so-called FAANG+BAT stocks.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Miscellaneous

    Is the Yield Spread Signaling Trouble for the Oil Market?

    On September 17, US crude oil October futures fell just 0.1% and settled at $68.91 per barrel.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Is Oil Boosting Equity Indexes?

    Between September 7 and 14, US equity indexes rose.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Could Trade Tension Support the US Dollar Again?

    The US dollar (UUP) made a comeback on September 14 after reports suggested that Donald Trump is planning to impose tariffs on Chinese goods worth $200 billion, despite trade talks.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Could China Disrupt US Supply Chains in Retaliation?

    Amid the US-China (MCHI) trade tension, investors should note that bilateral trade between the countries is lopsided—China imports far fewer goods from the United States than it exports.

    By Anuradha Garg
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