Why Oil Prices Could Move Higher

Rabindra Samanta - Author

Nov. 20 2020, Updated 12:32 p.m. ET

US crude oil

On January 12, 2018, US crude oil (USO) (USL) February 2018 futures gained 0.8% and settled at $64.3 per barrel—a three-year high. On January 15, 2018, there wasn’t a settlement because of the Martin Luther King Jr. Day holiday.

However, US crude oil production and US crude oil inventories could be important factors for oil prices. Next, we’ll discuss US crude oil production. In Part 3, we’ll analyze the US crude inventory for the week ending January 12, 2018, which could support oil prices.

On January 5–12, 2018, US crude oil February futures rose 4.7%. The S&P 500 (SPY) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s (DIA) energy exposure will benefit from oil’s rise. The two indexes rose 1.6% and 2%, respectively, during this period.

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Moving averages

On January 12, 2018, US crude oil active futures were 7.4%, 10.8%, 19%, and 26.1% above their 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, respectively. The difference between US crude oil’s 50-day moving average and 200-day moving average was 13.7%. The 50-day moving average closed above the 200-day moving average. These are bullish signs for US crude oil prices.


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