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Market Paradox: Stocks Reach Record Highs Despite Headwinds
We’ll explore whether record highs signal a top for equity markets or whether there’s still some room for growth in the current bull market.
Key for Investors: Report from the G20 Summit, September 2015
The G20 is a forum of 19 countries and the EU that convenes to discuss policy level enhancements required for the global economy and the group.
Why Emerging Markets Tumbled after Trump Election
Major indexes around the world showed huge negative fluctuations after Trump won the US presidential election. Major indexes in the United States showed positive performances.
These Key Economic Indicators Were Released Last Week
In this series, we’ll take a look at the global final manufacturing PMIs and services PMIs for March 2017. These indicators help us understand the business condition of an economy.
Bill Gross Explains Why Central Bankers Can’t Keep Raising Stakes
In his investment outlook for October 2016, Bill Gross of Janus Capital (JNS) compared the central bankers’ recent monetary policy measures to wagers placed at a betting game.
China’s Industrial Production Rises: Is Investor Confidence Back?
On a year-over-year basis, China’s industrial production increased to 6.0% in May 2016. That’s the same pace as April.
Chinese, Indian Demand for Gold Is Rising
India and China, the two largest consumers of gold, make up about 50% of gold’s global demand. Gold is treated more as a commodity in these two countries.
International Monetary Fund: Global Economy to Slow Down in 2015
In this series, we’ll look at the International Monetary Fund’s expectations for economic growth around the world, and we’ll explore how these projections might affect your investments.
Copper Demand: Is It Time to Look beyond China?
Over the last several years, Chinese copper demand has been a key driver of global copper demand.
How Will the Fed Affect the Earnings Recovery Environment?
The dollar index (UUP) rallied about 22% between October 2014 to July 2016.
Is It Time to Invest in International Funds?
2016 has mostly been about macro trends, thus presenting a different set of challenges for active fund managers who mostly focus on companies rather than economic and sector trends.
Verizon’s Revenue Growth Should Slow down in 1Q15
Verizon (VZ) will report its 1Q15 results on April 21, 2015. It’s the largest US telecom company. It had a market capitalization of $200.08 billion as of April 13, 2015.
Why Hedge Funds Remain Bearish on China
London-based Omni Macro Fund and US-based Moore Capital Macro Fund have been betting against China’s yuan for almost two years now.
James Gorman’s View on Global Bond Yield
Gorman thinks higher yield indicates the beginning of more normalization. In June, Fed chair Janet Yellen hinted that the Fed is moving toward normalization.
Greece gets a new prime minister
On Monday, January 26, Alexis Tsipras was sworn in as the new Prime Minister of Greece. His Syriza party advocates against austerity measures.
Is the NIFTY 50 in the Correction Zone?
On March 28, 2018, the NIFTY 50 index fell 0.7%. However, between March 28, 2017, and March 28, 2018, the NIFTY 50 rose 11.1%.
Which Key Economic Indicators Were Released Last Week?
Some important economic indicators that were released last week include US crude oil inventories, US weekly jobless claims, US retail sales, and China’s industrial production.
South Korea’s Economic Growth amid Geopolitical Tensions
South Korean economy The South Korean (EWY) economy is currently affected by security threats from North Korea and several chaebols, or family-controlled companies. Samsung Electronics (SSNLF) (HYMLF), a chaebol, has been involved in a corruption scandal, like companies in many other emerging markets. However, on a positive note, most macroeconomic factors look promising thanks to new […]
Why Robust Growth Could Lead to an Early Rate Hike
Robust growth could lead to an early rate hike—despite low inflation. Low inflation rates are one of the reasons why Treasury yields have remained low.
A Strong Dollar Is a Major Headwind for Export-Oriented Stocks
A stronger dollar is a headwind for export-oriented stocks. The US economy is relatively robust.
These Key Economic Indicators Were Released Last Week
In this series, we’ll take a look at the final US 2Q16 GDP reading, Japan’s retail sales for August, US consumer confidence in September, and US weekly crude oil inventories.
China’s Industrial Production Weakened in December
On a year-over-year basis, China’s industrial production rose 6% in December 2016 compared to a 6.2% gain in the previous month.
Japan’s Manufacturing PMI Weakened: How It Could Impact the Economy
Japan’s manufacturing PMI (purchasing managers’ index) stood at 52.4 in March 2017 compared to 53.3 in February.
Could your portfolio handle a spike in geopolitical risks?
The fact that volatility levels remain as low as they are today suggests that the market hasn’t factored in the possibility of geopolitical risks picking up.
Will France’s Manufacturing PMI Speed Up Economic Growth?
According to data provided by Markit Economics, the final Markit France Manufacturing PMI was 51.7 in November 2016 compared to 51.8 in October.
How a Softening Japan Services PMI Is Impacting the Economy
According to Markit Economics, the Japan Manufacturing PMI was 52.2 in April 2017 compared to 52.9 in March. It met market expectations.
Weak US Manufacturing PMI: Will Economic Growth Pick Up?
The US manufacturing PMI (purchasing managers’ index) stood at 50.5 in May—compared to 50.8 in April. It’s below the Market expectation of 51.
Where Are Interest Rates Going? Ray Dalio Weighs In
Ray Dalio, and Marketplace Morning Report host David Brancaccio discussed the future of the economy and the next recession. Here’s what you need to know.
Chinese Yuan Will Benefit from Being a Reserve Currency
The monetary authority in China (FXI) (YINN) worked to get greater international recognition for the yuan. There are benefits to being a reserve currency.
Improved Manufacturing in India, But Recovery?
The Nikkei India Manufacturing PMI for April 2017 matched its reading for the previous month.
Why Jim Chanos Thinks Apple Is an Ultimate Value Stock
Jim Chanos said that he is long on Apple (AAPL) because he thinks Apple is a value stock and trading at a cheaper valuation.
High-Dividend Emerging Market Funds Offer A Cushion
High-dividend emerging market funds offer a cushion when you face market volatility.
Are You Thinking about Diversifying Your Portfolio?
Geographical diversification allows your portfolio to keep earning returns in case your primary geography has not been doing well.
What’s behind Malaysia’s Large Trade Surplus in June 2017?
Malaysia’s trade surplus jumped to 9.9 billion Malaysian ringgit (MYR) (about $2.3 billion as of August 11, 2017) in June 2017—an 80% rise YoY.
New York Is Gearing Up for PepsiCo’s Kola House this Spring
PepsiCo is getting ready to launch Kola House, its first hospitality venture, at its flagship location in New York City’s Meatpacking District. The first Kola House, which will operate as a kola bar, restaurant, lounge, and event space, is expected to open this spring.
Will the Fed Have to Use More Unconventional Measures?
Global monetary policy is unconventional. From an era of lowering interest rates to boost economic growth, central bankers are taking rates into negative territory.
Why Druckenmiller Is Optimistic about Chinese Consumer Stocks
Druckenmiller’s firm bought 710,200 shares of Alibaba (BABA) in 2Q17. The holding accounted for nearly 5.4% of the firm’s portfolio in 2Q17.
Bill Gross’s Views on Growth and Inflation
Gross believes that money has stopped generating growth and inflation. Equity prices are artificially elevated, and negative yields are guaranteeing capital losses.
Larry Fink Says Lower Rates Hampered Savings around the World
Various central banks in developed nations (EFA) have lowered their key interest rates close to the zero level to revive their economies.
Green Bonds Issuance Show Signs of Growth in 2017
Green bonds carry the same risk-return profile as conventional bonds. However, these bonds fund projects focused on energy efficiency, clean water, transportation, biodiversity, and sustainable waste management.
Bank of Japan announces QQE2, expanded monetary stimulus
At its monetary policy meeting held on October 31, the Bank of Japan (or BOJ) announced new stimulus measures. The measures come in addition to those it announced earlier.
Economic Indicators Investors Should Watch This Week
If major Eurozone economic indicators improve in the coming months, we could expect those economies to regain some strength.
4 must-know reasons why you should invest in frontier markets
So-called frontier markets (FM) – those markets that are still at a very early stage of development — have been among the best performers in 2014, outperforming global markets (ACWI) year to date.
How Saudi Arabia’s Bond Sale Affects US Treasury Bonds
Saudi Arabia has also been involved in the sale of US Treasuries. The country is the 15th-largest holder of US Treasury bonds in the world.
The FEZ’s Sectoral Composition and Industry Performances
The SPDR Euro Stoxx 50 ETF is one of the most popular US-traded ETFs. Its sectoral composition includes financial services, healthcare, and industrials.
Where Are Opportunities in the Current Economic Environment?
There are still pockets of value in US markets. Investors can look to the financial and technology sectors for opportunities in the current economic environment.
Why the Japan Services PMI Improved in June 2017
The Japan Services PMI (EWJ) (DXJ) stood at 53.3 in June 2017 compared to 53.0 in May 2017. It met the market expectation of 53.2.
French Election: Could There Be a Domino Brexit Effect in 2017?
Fink believes that with a Le Pen win, the possibility of a French referendum to exit the European Union would be much more likely than anticipated.
Gross on Rising US Credit Level: Lehman Brothers, Anyone?
The rising credit level is a warning sign for the economy, and Gross believes this situation may trigger a crisis like the 2008 global debt crisis.
Russia in Recession: Growth Contracted by 4.6% in Q2
Russia’s annual GDP (gross domestic product) growth rate plummeted to -4.6%, according to the latest figures released from the Federal State Statistics Service.
When to Expect a Liftoff in Rates
San Francisco Fed president John Williams noted that the Fed’s ability to hold off a liftoff in rates is “more limited” than its ability to tighten. A rate hike could be expected in September if the economy continues to grow in the next two months.
Global Debt Is Hitting Record Highs: Danger Sign for the Market
According to the IMF, the second risk to the global financial system is that global debt (ACWI) (VTI) is hitting record highs.
How Moat Indexes Performed in September
The US Moat Index has been performing fairly well this year. As of September 30, 2017, it has outperformed, rising 20.5% over the S&P 500 Index’s (SPY) (SPX-INDEX) rise of 18.6% YTD.
Consumer Activity Is on the Rise in India
Consumer spending in India (INDL) stood at ~17.8 trillion rupees in 4Q16, an 11% increase compared to 16.0 trillion rupees in 3Q16.
Will Japan Benefit from Monetary Easing with Yield Curve Control?
In September, gold (GDXJ) prices rose sharply against all major currencies except the yen.
Russian Ruble Reversal: Inflation Rate Falls to 16.4% in April
Russia’s inflation rate had been trending upward since the beginning of 2014, in tandem with the ruble’s decline. But the country’s central bank believes that the worst is now over for Russia.
Subdued market reaction to Syriza party win in Greece
The Syriza party win ends over four decades of alternating rule by the New Democracy party and the Pasok party.
Brazil’s SELIC Rate Rises to 14.25% yet Inflation Continues to Soar
The Central Bank of Brazil has attempted to rein in inflation by raising Brazil’s key interest rate, also known as the SELIC rate.
IMF expects economic growth to slow a bit, again
The International Monetary Fund expects the world’s economic growth to rise by 3.5% in 2015 and 3.7% in 2016, a pace it describes as “moderate.”
Russia’s Inflation Is Still High at 15.3% in June, RSX Down 2.01%
Russia’s inflation rate stood at 15.3%, according to a July 6 release by the Federal Statistics Service in Russia.
Coty–Procter & Gamble Deal: Changing the Beauty Biz Pecking Order
The combined Coty–P&G color cosmetics portfolio, would see the new Coty become the number three company in color cosmetics, with $2.5 billion in pro forma global sales.
Emerging Market Small-Cap Stocks Focus on Local Sectors
Emerging market small-cap stocks offer exposure to consumer sectors. EEMS has 18% exposure to consumer discretionary stocks.
Can We Build a More Environmentally Aware Portfolio?
In this highly uncertain global market, the climate change factor has taken a back seat. But we can’t ignore its effect on the economy and its financial impact.
Economic Indicators Investors Should Watch for This Week
Economic indicators Key economic indicators investors should watch for this week are: US (SPY) services PMI data UK (EWU) services PMI data Eurozone (IEV) (VGK) services PMI data German (EWG) services PMI data Spanish services PMI data French (EWQ) services PMI data Japanese services PMI data US ADP employment data US non-farm payroll data Wrapping up […]
How EWJ Performed with Respect to the Global Economy
On October 26, FEZ fell 0.28% to close at $36.85, and SPY fell 0.25% to close at $207. ACWI fell 0.39% to close at $58.29, and EWJ fell 0.08% to close at $12.50.
How Brexit Could Impact GDP, Capital Flows, and Growth in the UK
According to the International Monetary Fund’s World Economic Outlook Database, the UK’s GDP was $2.7 trillion in 2015.
Which ETF Can Insulate You from Slowing Global Growth?
EEM stocks are better insulated from slowing global growth. The fund is exposed to global sectors.
Investment Avenues during the Rise of Short-Term Interest Rates
Bill Gross thinks the central banks should implement their strategies very carefully and cautiously in this scenario.
Employment Cost Index Up 0.7% in First Quarter
The employment cost index increased by 0.7% for the first quarter of 2015 on a seasonally adjusted basis. This was higher than economists’ consensus expectation of 0.6%.
The Greek Referendum That Shook the World
For the past week, the Greek referendum has been a major source of volatility and worry for global markets. Referendum results came in on Sunday, July 5, and the Greeks gave a resounding “no” to the bailout terms.
Gold Considered the Only Outperformer in the Current Scenario
Jeffrey Gundlach said in his recent interview with CNBC that gold is the best alternative to Treasuries in the current market environment.
Gatorade’s Position in the Sports Beverage Market
Gatorade’s position and volumes have been impacted by rising competition. It has also felt the effect of the popularity of bottled water, ready-to-drink tea, coffee, and energy drinks.
Stanley Druckenmiller: Why the Bull Market Is Exhausting Itself
Stanley Druckenmiller, chair and CEO of the Duquesne Family Office and billionaire investor, discussed his views about the current investment environment at the Sohn Investment Conference in New York.
Direct 2 You: Sprint’s New Distribution Service Started on April 13
Sprint initiated the “Direct 2 You” service on April 13 in the Kansas City metro market. The service will be extended to Miami and Chicago on April 20.
Understanding the Marginal Decline in Malaysian Exports in June
Exports from Malaysia in June 2017 stood at 73.1 billion Malaysian ringgit (MYR) (about $17 billion as of August 11, 2017), or 10% higher YoY.
What Indicators Should Investors Watch This Week?
As China is one of the important emerging economies, investors should keep an eye on its important indicators.
US Consumer Sentiment Likely to Weaken in August, XLY falls ~2%
The consumer sentiment composite index stands at 92.9 index points in August—a 0.2 point fall from July’s 93.1 points. Personal financial projections are weakening.
Small-Cap Emerging Market Funds Offer Exposure To Domestic Demand
Invest in small-cap emerging market funds to focus better on domestic demand in emerging markets.
Why Chinese stocks are trading well below their long-term average
While a downward earnings revision remains a near-term risk, at today’s valuation there is long-term opportunity in Chinese equities.
Anheuser-Busch InBev Continues to Face Headwinds in the US
In June 2015, Anheuser-Busch InBev announced an investment of over $1.5 billion toward product development and sustainability efforts in the US.
A Look at Recent Crude Oil Highlights
Crude oil prices saw a roller coaster ride in 2016, tanking to $26.21 per barrel on February 11, 2016. Since then, prices have soared by 104.9%.
Why Mexico’s Manufacturing Activity Is Decelerating
Mexican markets may be starting to overcome Trump’s anti-trade rhetoric in 2017.
Investors Should Watch These Economic Indicators This Week
The iShares MSCI ACWI ETF (ACWI), which tracks the performance of the global market, rose 1.1% in December 2017.
Manufacturing Growth in China Stalled in April: FXI down 1.25%
Manufacturing growth in China stalled in April, after rising in March. According to the National Bureau of Statistics’ report, China’s PMI held steady at 50.10 in April.
Did Emerging Market Manufacturing Activity Slow in May 2017?
The global manufacturing sector seems to be slowing down, reflected in the May 2017 manufacturing PMI’s three-month low. Global economic activity had experienced an uptrend since 4Q16.
Why Citi Believes Synchronized Tightening Isn’t Visible Yet
In November 2017, the Bank of England implemented its first rate hike nearly after a decade.
What Are the Attractive Characteristics of High Yield EM Bonds?
Investors are flocking to government bonds (BND) of developed markets, which is causing downward pressure on interest rates.
The Equity Home Bias Puzzle
In this series, we’ll look at the prevalence of home bias, the disadvantages of favoring home bias, and the benefits of international diversification.
The Aging World Means a Graying Workforce
We’re in a rapidly aging world. According to the United Nations World Population Prospects report, the median age of the world is estimated to grow from 29 years in 2010 to 36 years by 2050.
Tech Adoption Rates Have Reached Dizzying Heights
Technology (XLK) is advancing by leaps and bounds. The diffusion and adoption rates for new technologies have risen over the years as the population has become more tech-savvy.
Cliffs Natural Resources: Outlook on the Seaborne Iron Ore Market
According to Cliffs Natural Resources’ Lourenco Goncalves, the situation in the seaborne iron ore market is the making of big Australian iron ore miners.
Should Investors Be Concerned about a Grexit?
Grexit might not precipitate a financial contagion, but the possibility of a political contagion is very likely. Spain and Italy may decide to follow suit.
Prudential’s US Retirement Solutions to See a Fall in Revenues
Prudential’s US Retirement Solutions and Investment Management division is contracted over the past few quarters on lower annuities and asset management income.
What investors should know about the World Economic Forum
Discussions at the World Economic Forum can give you insight into the thought process of business and government leaders.
Must-know: American stocks have outshone the rest so far in 2014
Although better economic data over the next few months could support stocks, negative cues from Europe, the Middle East, or China could send stocks tumbling.
US Producer Price Index Fell: Difficult Path ahead for the Fed
On April 13, the U.S. Department of Labor declared that its producer price index fell 0.1% in March—compared to a 0.2% drop in February.
Must-know: Risks of investing in the frontier
You need to exercise caution while investing in frontier markets due to problems of liquidity and high concentration in the finance sector.
How the UK’s 3Q16 GDP Surprised Markets
According to a report provided by the UK Office for National Statistics, the UK’s (EWU) economic growth stood at 0.5% in 3Q16.
Economic Indicators Investors Should Watch Next Week
Let’s take a look at the major developed market economic indicators investors should keep an eye on next week.
2016 Has Been a Testing Time for International Funds
With one-third of 2016 yet to go, international funds have already had an action packed year. Events haven’t been restricted to a specific region or market.