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Why Is Break-Even Inflation Falling in the US?
Managing inflation expectations is as important for policymakers as keeping personal consumption expenditure inflation in check.
What Can Investors Expect from the Interest Rate Environment?
Central bankers haven’t taken a rate hike in 2015 off the table. Market participants felt that the liftoff would take place in 2016. They seem to be preparing for 2015.
The Key Takeaways from the Fed’s September 2015 Minutes
The September 2015 minutes had several good things to say about the labor market metrics and economic growth. However, the Fed was concerned about inflation.
Treasury Yields Rise on the Possibility of Rate Hike by Year End
Following news of a possible Fed rate hike later this year, Treasury yields rose across the yield curve, except for six-month Treasury bills, in the week ending September 25, 2015.
Will the Yield Curve Flatten More after the Fed’s Rate Decision?
A rate hike at this point could lead short-term higher rates, while low inflation expectations can keep the yields on long-term securities low, resulting in a flatter yield curve.
Upbeat 2Q15 US GDP Estimates Raise Treasury Yields
Treasury yields rose across the yield curve in the week ended August 28, after the upbeat 2Q15 US real GDP data. Yields rose after Stanley Fischer, vice chair of the Federal Reserve, noted the possibility of a September rate hike.
Treasury Yields Fall on Rate Hike Timing Uncertainty
Treasury yields tumbled across the yield curve in the week ended August 21, 2015, with a falling stock market and a dovish outlook of the Fed minutes.
Treasury Prices Rally on the Slowest Labor Cost Growth Data
Treasury yields fell at the intermediate and long end of the yield curve in the week ending July 31, 2015, due to the slowest rise in wage data since 1982.
Treasury Yield Curve Flattens: Strong Inflation and Housing Data
Strong inflation and housing data resulted in a rally in long-term bond yields. US Treasury yields rose marginally at the short end of the yield curve.