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Are Analysts Changing Their Tune on Barrick after the Merger?

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Jan. 8 2019, Updated 9:01 a.m. ET

Multiple upgrades for Barrick

Most analysts are positive on Barrick (GOLD) regarding its merger with Randgold Resources. Immediately after the merger announcement, Citi (C) analyst Alexander Hacking upgraded Barrick Gold from a “neutral” to a “buy” and raised its target price from $11 to $14. According to The Fly, the analyst believes that the acquisition is a win on two levels. Barrick Gold gets a new CEO, who is one of the most successful CEOs in the sector, and the move adds “significant credibility” to the turnaround.

TD Securities also upgraded Barrick Gold from a “hold” to a “buy” after the announcement of the acquisition.

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CIBC resumed coverage with an “outperform”

On January 2, CIBC analyst Anita Soni said that following the merger, there’s a 26% upside for the stock from its 2018 closing price. CIBC resumed coverage of Barrick with an “outperform” rating and a target price of $17. The company believes that the new entity’s strong management team and high concentration of Tier 1 assets should drive industry-leading returns.

Barrick’s outperformance since the merger

Overall, the merger seems to be positive news for the market as well. Barrick stock has risen 25% since the announcement of the merger as of January 4. In comparison, the VanEck Vector Gold Miners ETF (GDX) and the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) have risen just 13.4% and 7.0%, respectively. Peers Goldcorp (GG) and Yamana Gold (AUY) have returned -8.4% and -2.4%, respectively, in the same period.

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