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Halliburton’s Stock Price Forecast ahead of Its Q2 2018 Earnings

Alex Chamberlin - Author

Jul. 13 2018, Updated 10:31 a.m. ET

HAL’s implied volatility in context

Halliburton’s (HAL) first-quarter financial results were released on April 23. From April 23 to July 6, Halliburton’s implied volatility has increased from 25.0% to 28.0%. The company’s stock price decreased 14.0% during this period.

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Stock price forecast for Halliburton

Based on its implied volatility, Halliburton (HAL) stock is expected to close between $42.31 and $47.55 by July 23. The forecast considers a normal distribution of stock prices and a 1.0 standard deviation probability of 68.2%. Halliburton’s stock price closed at $44.93 on July 6.

Implied volatility: Comparison with peers

  • National Oilwell Varco’s (NOV) implied volatility on July 6 was 30.0%, which implies a stock price of $41.39–$47.13 by July 23.
  • Helix Energy Solutions Group’s (HLX) implied volatility on July 6 was 52.2%, which implies a stock price of $7.11–$8.91 by July 23.
  • TechnipFMC’s (FTI) implied volatility on July 6 was 36.0%, which implies a stock price of $28.26–$33.03 by July 23.

Crude oil’s implied volatility

On July 6, crude oil’s implied volatility was 25.5%, which implies a crude oil price range of $69.74–77.86 by July 23.

In the final part of this series, we’ll see what the sell-side analysts recommend for Halliburton stock.


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