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What We Can Forecast from EQT’s Implied Volatility Trends

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Dec. 4 2020, Updated 10:53 a.m. ET

EQT’s implied volatility

EQT’s (EQT) current implied volatility is ~31%. While EQT’s peer Cabot Oil and Gas (COG) has a lower implied volatility of 28.2%, Chesapeake Energy (CHK) has a higher implied volatility of 49%. In comparison, the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) has an implied volatility of ~14.4%.

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Forecasting stock price range

Based on EQT’s implied volatility of ~31%, and assuming a normal distribution of stock prices with one standard deviation (probability of 68%), we can forecast that in the next seven days, EQT stock could close between $54.72 and $59.60.

Finally, we’ll look at analysts’ recommendations for EQT Corporation in the next part of this series.

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