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What Is Ray Dalio’s Current Market Outlook?

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Ray Dalio at the Delivering Alpha Conference in 2017

CNBC and Institutional Investor organized the 2017 Delivering Alpha Conference, which occurred on September 12. Many fund managers, billionaire investors, and market leaders gathered at the event. Some prominent names included Ray Dalio, Leon Cooperman, Marc Lasry, Jeffrey Smith, Stephen Schwarzman, and Jamie Dimon.

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Ray Dalio on the market and Trump administration

Ray Dalio recently shared his current outlook on the market (IWM) (QQQ) and the Trump administration at the conference. He discussed his views about Gary Cohn’s, Trump’s top economic advisor, possible exit from the administration. He said, “In terms of my reaction, I would say if he was to leave it would be terrible.”

The market has shown a strong performance since the US election. The S&P 500 Index (SPY) has seen a strong rally so far this year. On a year-to-date basis, the index returned nearly 10.6%, as of September 14, 2017. The optimistic view on the US economy (VOO) under the Trump administration and the huge expectation for policy reforms has mainly driven the market movement so far in this year. Various positions in the cabinet have filled up with prominent business people and company CEOs.

However, recently, some prominent business people left their position in the cabinet, which has affected market movement (IVV). Gary Cohn, the former chief operating officer at Goldman Sachs (GS), is presently working as President Donald Trump’s top economic advisor. He also has been playing a major role in Donald Trump’s tax reform plan. If the tax reform bill passes in Congress by the end of the year, then it will be an important event for the market.

In the next part of this series, we’ll analyze Bridgewater Associates’ largest holdings in 2Q17.

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