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Noble Energy’s Implied Volatility: Understanding the Trends

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Noble’s implied volatility

Noble Energy’s (NBL) current implied volatility is 31%, which is ~2% higher than its 15-day average of ~30.4%. As you can see in the graph below, NBL’s implied volatility had been rising since August last year, before it started falling as this year started. However, as the year progressed, NBL’s implied volatility started increasing again.

In comparison, the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) has implied volatility of 15.2% and has fallen considerably from last year’s levels.

Noble’s peers, in comparison—such as Cabot Oil and Gas (COG) and EQT (EQT) have implied volatilities of ~30% and ~30.8%, respectively.

Implied volatility is the forecasted volatility of a stock’s price in the market. In a bearish market, implied volatility is likely to rise, while in a bullish market, the implied volatility is likely to decrease.

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