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Forecasting Anadarko Petroleum’s Stock Price for Next Week

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Feb. 14 2017, Updated 9:09 a.m. ET

Anadarko Petroleum’s implied volatility

On February 10, 2017, Anadarko Petroleum’s (APC) implied volatility was ~25.4%—5.3% lower than its 15-day average of ~27%.

Anadarko Petroleum’s peers Concho Resources (CXO) and Sanchez Energy (SN) have implied volatility of ~28% and ~60%, respectively.

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Forecasting the stock price range

Based on Anadarko Petroleum’s implied volatility, and assuming a normal distribution of stock prices and one standard deviation with a probability of 68.2%, Anadarko Petroleum stock will close between $66.90 and $71.78 in the next seven days.

In the next part of this series, we’ll look at analysts’ price targets for Anadarko Petroleum for the next 12 months.

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