AltaCorp Has Downgraded Agrium, but What’s the Consensus?



Agrium’s target

In this series, we’ve looked at 2017 estimates for Agrium (AGU) and compared its forward valuation multiple with those of its peers (SOIL).

In this final part of the series, we’ll discuss analysts’ recommendations for Agrium and their price targets for Agrium and its peers over the next 12 months.

Analysts’ recommendations

Of the 22 analysts surveyed by Reuters, six have given Agrium “strong buy” and “buy” recommendations. Thirteen analysts have given the company “hold” recommendations, and one has given it a “sell” recommendation for the next 12 months.

Let’s look now at analysts’ consensus price recommendation for the next 12 months.

Price targets

On December 13, 2016, Agrium closed at ~$103 per share. According to the 22 analysts surveyed by Reuters, the median price target for Agrium over the next 12 months is $96.75, ~6% lower than its current market price. It appears that most analysts are currently neutral on the stock. In the first part of this series, we saw that Agrium had also recently been downgraded by AltaCorp.

Let’s take a quick look at Agrium’s peers. Analysts have price targets of $17 for PotashCorp (POT), $28 for CF Industries (CF), and $25 for The Mosaic Company (MOS).
For weekly updates on the fertilizer industry, be sure to visit Market Realist’s Fertilizer Prices page.

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