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What Do Analysts Estimate For TripAdvisor in 2016 and Beyond?

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Nov. 11 2016, Updated 11:04 a.m. ET

Analyst estimates for TripAdvisor

TripAdvisor’s (TRIP) sales are expected to grow 10% in 4Q16 to $340 million. For fiscal 2016, analysts expect TRIP’s sales to rise 2% to ~$1.5 billion.

TripAdvisor’s EBITDA[1. earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization] is expected to remain flat at 0.03% to $87 million in 4Q16. For fiscal 2016, TripAdvisor’s EBITDA is expected to fall 17% to ~$388 million.

TripAdvisor’s EBITDA is expected to remain flat at 0.03% to $87 million in 4Q16. For fiscal 2016, TripAdvisor’s EBITDA is expected to fall 17% to ~$388 million.

Earnings per share is also expected to fall 26% in 4Q16 to $0.33. For fiscal 2016, its EPS is expected to fall 24% to $1.60.

The company’s sales are expected to increase to 15% in both 2017 and 2018, thereby achieving sales of $1.7 billion and $2 billion, respectively. EBITDA growth is expected to rise to 26% in 2017 and 2018 to ~$488 million and $621 million, respectively.

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Analyst recommendations

Of the 27 analysts rating TripAdvisor’s stock after the company’s 3Q16 earnings report, 14.8% (four analysts) have issued a “buy” rating, 74.1% (20 analysts) have issued a “hold” rating, and 11.1% (three analysts) gave a “sell” rating.

Target price

The consensus 12-month target for TRIP’s stock price is $63.86, which indicates a 1.2% return potential. Consensus target prices for other online travel players are as follows:

  • Priceline (PCLN) has a 12-month target price of $1,732 with a return potential of 9.8%.
  • Expedia (EXPE) has a 12-month target price of $141.50 with a return potential of 11.4%.
  • Ctrip (CTRP) has a 12-month target price of $52.70 with a return potential of 20.9%.

TRIP makes up 1.6% of the NASDAQ-100 Ex-Technology Sector Index ETF (QQXT).

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