What’s Duke Energy’s Outlook ahead of Its 2Q16 Earnings?


Jul. 29 2016, Updated 9:04 a.m. ET

Price targets

According to Wall Street analysts’ estimates, Duke Energy (DUK) has a median price target of $84.30—compared to its current market price of $86.50. This implies an estimated downside of nearly 3% in one year.

Of the 23 analysts tracking Duke Energy, four analysts gave it a “buy” recommendation and 18 analysts gave it a “hold” recommendation. One analyst gave it a “sell” recommendation as of July 25, 2016.

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NextEra Energy (NEE) has the potential to rise by 4% during the next year. It has a target price of $133—compared to its current price of $127.20. Southern Company (SO) has a price target of $51.60—compared to its current market price of $53.60. This implies a possible downside of nearly 4% in one year.


Duke Energy’s outlook

Duke Energy follows an industry average earnings growth rate of 4%–6% in the long term. Its increasing investments in gas distribution and midstream will likely have a positive impact on its earnings.  It already owns stakes in regulated pipelines like Atlantic Coast and Sabal Trail. Exiting the Latin American Generation business wouldn’t just peel away its weaker Merchant Power segment, but its sales proceedings should fortify its Regulated segment. Also, Duke’s management is confident about this sale at a reasonable valuation.

Duke Energy is one of the better-yielding utilities in the sector with stronger income growth and relatively lower risk. It yields around 4% while its expected dividend growth rate is just below 4%. Given its focus on regulated and midstream segments, volatility in Duke’s earnings might reduce in the long term and could translate into healthier dividends.


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