The EEI (Edison Electric Institute) publishes electricity generation data weekly. The current report is for the week ended October 9. US electricity generation fell to 71.1 million mWh (megawatt-hours) for the week ended October 9—a 3.5% fall from the previous week’s 73.7 million mWh.
The week’s electricity generation was also lower than the 72.2 million MWh reported during the same week in 2014.
Why is this indicator important?
More than 90% of the coal produced in the US is used for electricity generation. The power utility segment is coal’s largest end user. As a result, coal and utility investors should watch electricity generation trends.
Electricity storage is expensive, so most produced electricity is consumed right away. As a result, electricity generation mirrors consumption.
What does this mean for coal producers?
Thermal coal is used mainly for electricity generation. Everything else being equal, a fall in electricity generation is negative for coal producers (KOL) like Peabody Energy (BTU) and Cloud Peak Energy (CLD). In addition, coal is losing market share to natural gas in the current low natural gas price environment.
Weekly generation levels are subject to seasonal deviations. The impact on utilities (XLU) like NextEra Energy (NEE) and Southern Company (SO) depends on the regional breakdown of electricity generation. We’ll take a look at this in the next part of this series.