uploads///US crude oil inventory

Will API Data Add More Pressure to Crude Oil Prices?

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Sep. 9 2015, Published 9:09 a.m. ET

API inventory report 

The API (American Petroleum Institute) will publish the weekly crude oil inventory report on September 9, 2015. For the week ending August 28, 2015, the API data showed that the crude oil inventory rose by 7.6 MMbbls (million barrels). The market surveys from Bloomberg to Reuters’ project that the crude oil inventory could rise between 0.2 MMbbls and 0.25 MMbbls. The consensus of the rising crude oil inventory will continue to put pressure on crude oil prices.

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Impact 

The rising crude oil inventory implies that supplies are rising or demand is slowing in the oversupplied market. As a result, it may negatively influence crude oil prices.

Along with crude oil inventory, distillate stocks also rose by 0.251 MMbbls for the week ending August 28, 2015. In contrast, the gasoline stockpile fell by 1 MMbbls during the same period. The API data release is followed by the EIA’s (U.S. Energy Information Administration) weekly petroleum status report. The EIA’s crude oil stockpile report is expected to release on September 10, 2015.

For the week ending August 28, 2015, the EIA data showed that crude oil stocks rose by 4.7 MMbbls to 455.4 MMbbls. The current crude oil inventory is 100 MMbbls more than the levels in 2014. It’s also near the period-high levels for stocks during this time of the year. The record inventory will also put pressure on crude oil prices along with the speculation of the rising crude oil inventory.

Crude oil prices fell for the third day in a row. Falling crude oil prices impact upstream producers’ margins like Apache (APA), Chevron (CVX), and Hess (HES). These companies account for 16.26% of the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE). These stocks’ crude oil production mix is more than 49% of their total production.

Oil and gas ETFs like XLE and the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) are also impacted by lower crude oil prices.

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