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How KEYW Holds Up against Exelis on the Markets

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Jun. 17 2015, Published 7:13 a.m. ET

Stock performance

In this article, we compare the performance of KEYW Holdings (KEYW) against that of Exelis (XLS), a company operating in the same subsector as KEYW and also held by the PureFunds ISE Cyber Security ETF (HACK). KEYW also constitutes 0.02% of the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM).

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KEYW has generated 2014 returns of -22.77% and YTD (year-to-date) returns of -3.96%. KEYW’s trailing 12-month returns are -9.14%, and its trailing one-month returns are 29.77%.

In comparison, Exelis has generated 2014 returns of 0.87% and YTD returns of 41.88%. The company’s trailing 12-month returns are 49.88%, and its trailing one-month returns are 0.61%.

Moving averages

KEYW last traded at $9.94, and it’s currently trading above 20-, 50-, and 100-day moving averages of $7.34, $8.46, and $8.56, respectively. KEYW is respectively trading at 33.7%, 17.36%, and 16.03% above these moving averages.

In comparison, Exelis last traded at $24.66 and it is currently trading above 20-, 50-, and 100-day moving averages of $24.56, $24.42, and $22.61 respectively. Exelis is respectively trading at 0.37%, 0.94%, and 8.73% above its moving averages.

Analyst estimates

Out of 11 analysts tracking the stock, six give KEYW stock a “buy” recommendation, one, a “sell” recommendation, and four give it a “hold.” The analyst stock price target for KEYW is $10.94, with a median target estimate of $11. In other words, KEYW is trading at a discount of 10.66% with respect to its median target.

Out of four analysts tracking Exelis, one says “sell,” and three give it a “hold” recommendation. The analyst stock price target for Exelis is $24.50, with the same median target estimate. In other words, XLS is trading at a premium of 0.64% with respect to its median target.

KEYW seems to be technically stronger than Exelis, although XLS has generated better long-term returns for its shareholders. Since June 2012, Exelis shares have increased by 174.61%.

KEYW also faces competition from Leidos Holdings (LDOS) in the defense sector. LDOS has generated returns of -9.71% since January 2014.

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