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W&T Offshore Stock Rises 35% So Far in September: What’s Up?

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Part 8
W&T Offshore Stock Rises 35% So Far in September: What’s Up? PART 8 OF 10

What W&T Offshore’s Implied Volatility Says about the Stock

W&T Offshore’s implied volatility

As of September 19, 2017, W&T Offshore (WTI) had an implied volatility of ~62.9%, which is higher than its implied volatility of ~57.2% at the end of 2Q17.

What W&amp;T Offshore’s Implied Volatility Says about the Stock

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WTI’s price range forecast

Based on W&T Offshore’s implied volatility of ~62.9% and assuming a normal distribution of prices, 365 days in a year, and a standard deviation of one, its stock is expected to close between $3.03 and $2.11 in the next 30 days. WTI stock could stay in this range 68.0% of the time. On September 19, 2017, WTI stock closed at $2.57.

Peer price range forecasts

As of September 19, 2017, ConocoPhillips (COP) has an implied volatility of ~20.7%, which means COP stock is expected to close between $50.37 and $44.73 in the next 30 days. On September 19, COP stock closed at $47.55.

Southwestern Energy (SWN) has an implied volatility of ~50.1%, which means SWN stock is expected to close between $6.84 and $5.12 in the next 30 days. On September 19, 2017, SWN stock closed at $5.98.

Based on the inputs used in the calculation of price range, there’s a 68.0% probability that the stock will close in that range for the given period.

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