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OPEC Deal Fuels Bullish Sentiments: A Look at Energy Stocks

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OPEC Deal Fuels Bullish Sentiments: A Look at Energy Stocks PART 1 OF 4

OPEC Deal: Which Oil-Weighted Stocks Track Crude Oil Closely?

Crude oil is trending higher

On December 5, 2016, WTI (West Texas Intermediate) crude oil (UWTI) (USO) (OIIL) (USL) (SCO) (DWTI) January contracts closed at $51.79 per barrel. That was ~0.20% higher than the previous closing price and the highest level for 2016. Optimism after OPEC’s (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) deal fueled bullish sentiments among traders and helped oil prices continue their upturn.

OPEC Deal: Which Oil-Weighted Stocks Track Crude Oil Closely?

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In this series, we’ll take a look at the correlations between crude oil–weighted stocks and crude oil. We’ll also look at the correlations between natural gas–weighted stocks and natural gas.

Oil-weighted stocks

Let’s look at some of the upstream companies that are part of the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) and operate with a production mix of at least 60.0% in crude oil.

Below are the correlations of these oil-weighted companies with WTI crude oil from November 5 to December 5, 2016.

  • Concho Resources (CXO): 81.8%
  • Hess (HES): 81.4%
  • Kosmos Energy (KOS): 81.0%
  • Continental Resources (CLR): 78.0%
  • Whiting Petroleum (WLL): 76.7%
  • California Resources (CRC): 76.2%
  • Occidental Petroleum (OXY): 75.9%

Oil-weighted stocks in XOP that had the lowest correlation with crude oil include the following:

  • Callon Petroleum (CPE): 70.0%
  • Synergy Resources (SYRG): 57.9%

If you’re bullish on crude oil, particularly after OPEC’s crucial deal, you might be interested in some of the stocks that have a high correlation with crude oil to realign your portfolio.

In the next part of this series, we’ll look at the returns of crude oil–weighted stocks compared to crude oil.

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