Company & Industry OverviewsWhy Student Debt May Not Affect the US Economy Like Sub-PrimeAccording to the White House Council of Economic Advisers, “Student debt is less likely to make a recession more severe or slow an expansion in the way that mortgage debt may have.”
FinancialsWhy investors should follow shifts and twists in the yield curveYields on bonds don’t remain constant. When they change by the same magnitude across maturities, we call the change a “parallel shift.”
FinancialsKey takeaways: Why is the yield curve normally upward-sloping?In normal conditions, the yield curve is upward-sloping. As bonds pay only interest (the coupon) until maturity and pay face value at maturity, investors take longer to recover their principal.
ConsumerJapan’s GDP back to peak levels: Auto sales and Toyota benefitThis article considers the prospects for further real GDP growth acceleration and the implications for Japanese exporters like Toyota.
FinancialsInvestors Beware: Duration Risk Has Risen across the Bond MarketIf you’re a bond (BSV) (AGG) investor or fund manager, fluctuation in interest rates is one of the key risk drivers for the returns you get from your portfolio.
FinancialsGundlach Says This Chart Is ‘Early Warning Indicator’ of RecessionJeffrey Gundlach seems quite bearish in his views about the US economy (IWM) (QQQ).
FinancialsChina’s manufacturing wages: Why 2012 was a banner year for BaiduThe sharp rise in wages in China prompted some fairly aggressive forward-looking estimates regarding China’s wages in manufacturing and its ability to compete as a low-cost manufacturer in the future.
FinancialsChina’s manufacturing wages rise to $7,000 per year: Baidu benefitsThis article considers the growing wage level in China and its effect on Baidu and other Asian equities.
FinancialsRay Dalio: ‘Risks Are Asymmetric on the Downside’“Risks are asymmetric on the downside” On the economy, Ray Dalio stated that “the risks are asymmetric on the downside, because asset prices are comparatively high at the same time there’s not an ability to ease.” Courtesy of the current global monetary policy’s low interest rates, asset prices are artificially inflated—so much so that they’ve […]
FinancialsThe ‘Three Big Forces’ That Drive All EconomiesThe “three big forces” Ray Dalio believes that “three big forces” drive all economies. These are: productivity growth the short-term debt cycle the long-term debt cycle An economy has to go through upturns and downturns Central bankers need to study the determinants of productivity for their economy. The determinants could include the costs of education, […]
FinancialsFixed income ETFs: The longer the duration, the higher the lossThe higher the expense ratio, the deeper the decline in an investment’s value. Also, the higher the period of investment, the greater the impact of expense ratios due to the compounding effect.
FinancialsMust-know: Important costs involved in owning an ETFOwning an ETF comes with some fees. These fees are called “expense ratios” because they’re expressed as a percentage of a fund’s assets.
FinancialsWhy bid-ask spread costs are so important to ETF investorsOther than the operating costs of an ETF, the other hidden cost that affects the return for investors is the bid-ask spread.
FinancialsWhy expense ratios affect ETF investors’ returnsTo see how expense ratios can affect investments over time, let’s compare the returns of several fixed income ETFs that differ only in expense ratio.
FinancialsMust-know: Why expense ratios have affected TLT and MUBWe note that net or effective returns (that is, returns after expenses) fall to 7.95% versus perceived returns of 8.44% for TLT for the past three years.
FinancialsEmerging Markets Have Been Leading Stock Returns in 2016While developed markets have been caught in a lull, we’ve seen emerging markets grab the spotlight. Emerging markets have been leading stock market returns so far in 2016.
FinancialsGundlach: Invest in Industrials, Materials, Financial Sectors“Industrials, materials, and financials are the sectors. . .you want to be invested in,” said Jeffrey Gundlach recently in a CNBC interview.
Company & Industry OverviewsPaul Krugman to the Fed: Don’t Raise RatesInflation is moving up towards its target, but it still has a ways to go before it gets there. Paul Krugman believes raising rates could keep inflation from reaching that target.
Company & Industry OverviewsWhy Krugman Doesn’t Understand the Focus on Trade All of a SuddenTrade has been a key focus with respect to the US elections lately.
FinancialsKnowing the Treasury discount rate and yields before investingInvestors can take an informed decision by knowing the rate of return on their investment.
ConsumerWhy tight bidding for bonds favored issuers and refinancingMost of the deals last week were in the tight ends of the talk, indicating higher demand for high yield bonds (JNK). The higher demand in turn pushes yields down.
Energy & UtilitiesBoardwalk Pipeline Partners: An investor’s must-know overviewBoardwalk Pipeline Partners (BWP) is a master limited partnership that provides transportation, storage, gathering, and processing services for natural gas and natural gas liquids.
FinancialsMust-know: Minimizing ETF losses by observing max drawdownsIn practice, asset owners (both retail and institutional) want to avoid significant portfolio drawdowns even if the benchmark index declines.
FinancialsHow to measure your portfolio’s interest rate risk with convexityPortfolio durations differ from key rate durations, as even though the durations of two portfolios may match, both portfolios may differ in the maturity profiles of the bonds they comprise, which will result in differing key rate durations.
FinancialsMust-know variants in developed market international bond fundsInternational bond funds like the Vanguard Total International Bond Index ETF (BNDX) can have various investment styles determined by their stated choice of bond investments.
FinancialsShow it: How mutual funds make money In return for investing a client’s money, mutual funds charge a fee, generally an annual fee set as a percentage of the client’s assets. This fee is the only source of income for a mutual fund-focused asset manager.
Energy & UtilitiesWhat are the advantages of technical analysis?Entry and exit strategy is recommended for short and long-term trading in technical analysis. Fundamental analysis is used for the long-term entry and exit point.
CannabisGet Real: Is Unrest Sweeping the Markets?In today’s Get Real, we took a closer look at Uber’s trouble and an unexpected boost for Canopy Growth while markets react to more unrest.
FinancialsThe Bullish And Bearish Abandoned Baby Candlestick PatternThe Bullish Abandoned Baby candlestick pattern is a reversal pattern. The pattern has three candles. It forms at the bottom of a trend. In this pattern, the first candle is any long and bearish candle.
FinancialsWhy do floating rate notes, or FRNs, differ from leveraged loans?FRNs are usually issued in capital markets, whereas leveraged loans are arranged by commercial and investment banks. While FRNs are typically unsecured and investment-grade, leveraged loans are secured.
FinancialsU.S. Bank’s non-performing assets declined in 4Q14U.S. Bank’s (USB) non-performing assets were $1,808 million at the end of 4Q14. The ratio declined by 11.24%—compared to 4Q13.
Energy & UtilitiesWhat are the disadvantages of technical analysis?Technical analysis is used to forecast stocks. All of the technical indicators give possible entry and exit points. The forecasting accuracy isn’t 100%. This is one of disadvantages of technical analysis.
FinancialsHow insurers manage their capital requirementsA company managing higher risk products must maintain a higher level of minimum capital compared to a company with a relatively lower level of risk.
FinancialsPrivate equity, hedge funds, and other alternative assetsPrivate equity is capital invested in companies that aren’t listed on stock exchanges. These alternative assets include venture capital.
FinancialsThe many players in alternative asset managementSome players are present across the spectrum of alternative assets, but most alternative asset managers are present only in a particular asset area.
FinancialsThe relative share of the alternative asset management spaceAlternative assets account for about 10% of the total global asset management industry that’s valued at $63.9 trillion. Private equity contributes most.
Energy & UtilitiesHow the strengthening US dollar is impacting crude oil pricesThe US dollar plays a major role in the price movements of commodities such as gold and crude oil. A strengthening US dollar is often seen as negative.
MaterialsWhy the Swiss National Bank removed the cap against the euroA cap was put in place to stop the currency’s appreciation. An appreciating local currency is detrimental to exporters.
FinancialsHow does Bank of America make money?Net interest income contributes about half of Bank of America’s total income. Investment and brokerage services contribute the most to noninterest income.
FinancialsBank of America’s six operating segmentsBank of America operates through five major segments. Its Consumer and Business Banking segment contributes a third of the bank’s total revenues.
FinancialsBank of America: The second-largest US banking operationBank of America Corporation’s (BAC) banking operations are the second-largest in the United States by assets.
FinancialsWhy consumer banking is important for Bank of AmericaConsumer and Business Banking is Bank of America Corporation’s (BAC) largest segment. It contributes about a third of the bank’s total revenues.
ConsumerCard loans rule Bank of America’s consumer loan portfolioCredit card loans account for more than half of Bank of America’s total consumer loan portfolio.
FinancialsWhy Bank of America’s commercial loan portfolio is diversifiedIn addition to assessing the credit profile of the borrower, Bank of America ensures that loans aren’t too concentrated by industry, geography, or customer.
FinancialsBank of America’s Global Markets operationsBank of America’s (BAC) Global Markets segment offers sales and trading services across asset classes to institutional clients.
ConsumerA brief overview of Six Flags’ managementSix Flags’ management plays a vital role in shaping the company and leading it in the desired direction. This article reviews three management positions.
FinancialsA brief overview of U.S. BankWe’ll provide an overview of U.S. Bank. It’s the fifth largest retail bank in the US—by deposits and assets. At the end of September 2014, it held $391 billion in assets.
FinancialsWhy U.S. Bank’s loan growth showed interesting trendsYou need to understand loan categories better in order to see some very interesting trends in U.S. Bank’s loan growth. Its loans are divided into five main categories.
ConsumerFord, Daimler, and BMW employ high financial leverageFord (F) uses a high amount of financial leverage. Its debt-to-capital ratio is 81.1%. This is significantly above the industry average of 53.1%.
ConsumerIntense competition leads to low profit margins for automakersThe auto industry has lower margins primarily because of intense competition. It makes it difficult for companies to pass on increases in raw material prices to the customer.