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  • Why tight credit spreads usually mean a period of global expansion
    Financials

    Why tight credit spreads usually mean a period of global expansion

    Today, most measures of credit conditions are positive, with tight spreads across all of fixed income. Even high yield spreads have come in after a short scare last month.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • Financials

    Rate hike horizon: September’s jobs report was largely positive

    After September’s strong jobs numbers, a Fed rate hike could be on the horizon early next year. Russ explains two equity market implications.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • uploads///Gold Prices Have Declined Lately Due to Rising Real Rates
    Real Insights

    Gold Prices Have Been Flat despite the Weak Dollar

    Gold (IAU) (GLD) prices usually have a strong negative correlation with the US dollar (UUP). Gold, like other commodities, is denominated in the dollar.

    By VanEck
  • uploads///goldcboe
    Company & Industry Overviews

    How Stocks and Bonds Reacted to Trump’s Victory

    The CBOE Volatility Index suddenly rose 6.0% on November 9, 2016, after it was clear that Trump had unexpectedly clinched the election.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • uploads///Part
    Financials

    Must know: Stress tests and the likely timing for rate increases

    On March 26, the U.S. Fed released bank stress test results indicating which banks can increase dividend payouts and share buybacks.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Technology & Communications

    Fed’s twin targets—are negative real interest rates needed?

    The Federal budget deficit (the difference between budget collections and the government’s commitments) has also been a key source of uncertainty to both businesses and households.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Major central banks are now diverging in their monetary policies

    Major central banks are now diverging in their monetary policies, a dynamic we saw vividly on display last week with the Federal Reserve ending its quantitative easing (or QE) program, while Japan expanded its version of QE.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • uploads///Low interest rates have kept bond yields low
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Low Interest Rates Have Kept Bond Yields Low

    Weakness in the labor market means low interest rates. The US economy is gaining momentum with stellar growth rates in the last two quarters. It grew by 4.6% in 2Q14.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • uploads///Treasury yields continue to be on the lower side
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why wage growth could cause rates to rise

    Wage growth could cause rates to rise. A hike in wage rates could boost consumption and encourage individuals outside the labor force to join. This will increase disposable income.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • uploads///ACWI
    Financials

    Must-know: Which safe havens are truly safe?

    Although not considered safe haven assets, in the current context of high geopolitical risk and consequently volatility, investors could consider investing in sectors like energy and large cap companies.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • uploads///Inflation Has Been Dipping Over the Last Few Months
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Robust Growth Could Lead to an Early Rate Hike

    Robust growth could lead to an early rate hike—despite low inflation. Low inflation rates are one of the reasons why Treasury yields have remained low.

    By Matt Tucker, CFA
  • Financials

    Must-know: Why volatility is likely to tick up in September 2014

    While volatility fell over the course of August, the VIX’s daily average for last month was approximately 15% higher than its average over the previous three months.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • Financials

    Must-know: Market’s reception of the Fed’s July FOMC statement

    Treasury yields on the long-end of the curve, were down since the conclusion of the Fed’s last FOMC meeting on June 18—30-year and ten-year Treasury yields had fallen by 12 bps and three basis points (or bps), respectively over the period June 18 to July 30.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • uploads///PMI
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Real US Rates Have Been Climbing

    Real US rates have been climbing, while rates are falling in much of the rest of the world. As Russ explains, this divergence has a number of implications for investors.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • uploads///High Yield Bonds Appear Attractive
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    High Yield Offers Attractive Potential in a Yield-Starved World

    In an environment of generally decent, albeit recently disappointing, growth and gently rising yields, high yield offers attractive potential in a yield-starved world.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • uploads///US Treasuries Yield Curve
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Job Reports Drive Up Treasury Yields

    US Treasury yields moved uniformly upwards across the yield curve in the week ended June 5, 2015.

    By David Ashworth
  • uploads///Gold versus Two and Ten Year Interest Rates
    Miscellaneous

    Implications of Fed Decisions on Precious Metals and the Dollar

    A rate hike and the dollar are closely tied to each other since a higher interest rate would mean more money flowing into the United States.

    By Meera Shawn
  • Financials

    Must-know: Janet Yellen’s take on the Fed’s forward guidance

    Central bankers usually provide markets with indications about their economic projections. They also provide information about their future monetary policy stance. The Fed wants to reduce volatility (VXX) in markets by indicating its monetary policy stance. As a result, rate changes won’t surprise the markets as much.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Why the Fed’s policy remains the key driver for US Treasuries

    On August 15, yields on ten-year notes (IEF) and 30-year bonds (TBT) both fell by ten basis points to 2.34% and 3.13%, respectively. This was also their lowest level in over a year.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Why demand is rising for 3-year Treasury notes

    The U.S. Department of the Treasury holds auctions for three-year Treasury notes (or T-notes) each month. Three-year notes are at the short-end of the yield curve.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • uploads///US High Yield Bond Fund Flows
    Financials

    Must-know: High yield fund flows regaining strength, time to dip back in?

    After several weeks of record outflows, investors start regaining trust Fund flows gauge where most investors are moving their money. While following this indicator assumes momentum strategies work, in weeks of high inflows, there will be a delay between the time when funds come in and when managers can invest them in assets, so they […]

    By Dale A. Norton
  • uploads///The Non Farm Payroll Figures Have Been Impressive in the Last few Months
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    The Quest for Yield: Chasing Dividend Stocks

    If you had to sum up investing in the US markets after the Great Recession in a few words, you would probably say something like “the quest for yield.”

    By Sanmit Amin
  • uploads///iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond Fund LQD
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Greece Worries Lead Investors to Investment-Grade Bonds

    The Federal Open Market Committee’s June statement didn’t elicit a strong reaction in either direction from investment-grade bonds, especially not from Treasuries.

    By David Ashworth
  • uploads///The Federal Funds Rate Has Been Stuck at around  for over  Years
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    A Softer Rebound Could Move Markets in the 2Q

    A softer rebound could move markets in the second quarter. If the economy remains weak in the second quarter, the Fed has some leeway to maneuver the rate.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • Financials

    Why Kocherlakota says price targeting beats inflation targeting

    Along with the two suggestions mentioned in Part 6 of this series, Narayana Kocherlakota also dropped in two additional suggestions for improving the FOMC framework statement.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Financials

    Unique opportunities for investors given new monetary policy outlook

    I’ve discussed on The Blog how an investor can think of the federal funds rate and QE as a gas pedal. Sometimes it’s good to ease off a bit to limit the pace of acceleration.

    By Matt Tucker, CFA
  • uploads///Bond ETFs Have Had a Tough Time in
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Where Can You Find Relative Value within Fixed Income?

    Where’s the relative value within fixed income? High yield bonds appear relatively attractive.

    By Jeffrey Rosenberg
  • Financials

    Must-know: An overview of the 52-week Treasury bills auction

    The U.S. Treasury auctioned $102 billion worth of Treasury bills (or T-bills) last week. The 52-week, or one-year, auction was held on September 16. The auction size was set at $25 billion—unchanged from August’s auction. The auction demand was slightly lower, with the bid-to-cover ratio falling to 4.06x—compared to 4.10x in August. The ratio averaged ~4.41x in 2014.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Why low correlations between asset classes benefit investors

    A diversified portfolio—one in which funds are divided among various asset classes, like stocks, bonds, or real estate—would usually have lower risk than an non-diversified portfolio.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • uploads///The ss spread compressed after the QE announcement
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Did the German 2s30s Spread Dip on Quantitative Easing?

    The 2s30s spread is the difference between the yield on the 30-year bond (TLT) and the yield on the two-year bond (SHY).

    By Jeffrey Rosenberg
  • Financials

    Why Fisher and Plosser disagreed with the FOMC policy motion

    Richard Fisher believes that the Fed needs to tighten policy. This is based on the improved labor market and inflation outlook. He also believes that continued monetary accommodation is causing signs of “financial excess” in certain asset classes. He spoke earlier about signs of froth in high-yield bond (JNK) (HYG) markets.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Understanding the Fed’s yield curve can impact your bond returns

    The yield curve is a graph that plots interest rates at different maturities with the same credit quality that can range from a month to 30 years or more.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Why investors are turning to corporate bond ETFs

    Investors seeking exposure to investment grade or high yield corporate debt have increasingly been using fixed income ETFs.

    By Matt Tucker, CFA
  • Company & Industry Overviews

    Why economic data influenced high-grade bond yields

    Economic data usually influences investment-grade bond yields, including Treasuries (TLT) and corporates (AGG) (LQD). Yields tend to fall on negative economic data. They rise when economic data is positive. Demand for safer investment-grade debt rises when economic growth concerns surface. This tends to raise their price and lower yields.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • uploads///Federal funds rate has remained low
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Excessively Low Rates Could Be Harmful

    Excessively low rates have side effects. Treasury yields have been beaten down due to the Fed’s excessive buying. Currently, the ten-year Treasury (IEF) yields are 2.1%.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • uploads/// BLR
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Assessing Sovereign Bonds amid Heightened Global Uncertainty

    Global uncertainty, Brexit, and the prospect of further easing from central banks in developed markets have spurred demand for government debt.

    By Richard Turnill
  • uploads///Flattening Yield Curve
    Company & Industry Overviews

    What Does the Flattening Yield Curve Indicate for Investors?

    Bond markets are experiencing rising yields due to higher economic growth expectations. However, the 10-Year Treasury yield was still low at 2.4% on March 29, 2017

    By Mary Sadler
  • Financials

    Must-know: Charles Evans discusses monetary policy in Istanbul

    The Fed’s main policy tool, the funds rate, has been at near zero levels since December, 2008.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Why Treasury and mortgage rate spreads hit historic highs

    The interest rate spread between 10-year Treasury securities (IEF) and 30-year conventional mortgages (VMBS) was at historic highs at the end of 2008 and the beginning of 2009

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Macroeconomic Analysis

    Assessing the long-term structural issues plaguing the US

    The improving economy still faces long-term structural issues like slow wage growth, below-trend consumption and a shrinking labor force participation rate.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • Technology & Communications

    Must-know: Unusual outcomes arising from low interest rates

    When real interest rates decline, the prices of long-term bonds increase because bond yields and prices move in opposite directions.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • uploads/// Year Treasury Bond Issuance versus Bid Cover Ratio
    Company & Industry Overviews

    What Happened at the US Treasury Auctions in the Week Ending June 10?

    It’s expected that the Fed may increase the interest rate soon, and 30-year Treasury bonds auction are closely watched by stock and bond investors.

    By Lynn Noah
  • uploads///Part
    Real Insights

    What Caused the Muni Defaults in 2016?

    In 2016, Puerto Rico defaulted on constitutionally guaranteed GO (general obligation) bonds. On May 3, 2017, Puerto Rico filed for Title III bankruptcy.

    By VanEck
  • uploads///Federal funds rate has remained low
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Bonds Could Underperform In 2015

    Interest rates and bond yields are already at very low levels. Inflation could pick up and lead to a rate hike. So, bonds could underperform going forward.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • Financials

    Must-know: Divergence is the new trend in the global economy

    Economic growth is strengthening in some parts of the world, while it’s slipping in others. In other words, as I mentioned in a post earlier this week, the major trend in the global economy is one of increasing divergence, rather than slower growth.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • Financials

    The Fed ends its asset purchase program at the October FOMC meeting

    In December 2008, when the U.S. economy entered its dreadful recessionary phase, the Federal Reserve (or Fed) reduced the federal funds rate to nearly zero in order to stimulate household and business spending and support economic recovery.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///austin distel oGeqpxPQ unsplash
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Where Are Bond Markets Headed?

    Rising US-China trade tensions have caused all assets, and especially bond markets, to move considerably over the last few sessions.

    By Sanmit Amin
  • uploads///bonds as ballast
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Building with Buffer: The Case for Bonds

    Bonds and stocks are negatively correlated. This is why bonds can act as a ballast in your portfolio, and thus the case for bonds is still strong while building with buffer.

    By Dennis Stattman
  • Financials

    Recommendation: Look to select areas of emerging market debt

    Select areas of the EM debt sector hold good potential, as many of these countries exhibit low leverage levels and are currently funded through year-end.

    By Rick Rieder
  • uploads///Risk return metric for bonds
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How Various Asset Classes Compare Using The Risk-Return Metric

    The risk-return metric for ten-year Treasuries (IEF) are lowest, but also the safest, with a paltry 1.3% volatility and with an average yield of 4.1%.

    By Matt Tucker, CFA
  • uploads///The World Banks Economic Growth Projections
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    The US economy is the ‘last man standing’ among advanced nations

    The large drop in crude oil prices gave consumers more money to spend. Demand should be higher due to robust consumer sentiment data.

    By David Ashworth
  • Financials

    Why economic indicators point to broad-based growth

    Last week, U.S. economic data covered a number of sectors, including housing, employment, manufacturing, and inflation. All three housing indicators released last week were positive, and initial jobless claims once again beat market expectations. The CPI for September came in at an annualized rate of ~1.7%, the fourth straight monthly decline.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Must-know: Fisher’s stance at future FOMC meetings this year

    Fostering price stability is one of the Fed’s most important goals.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • uploads///US Investment Grade Bond Market Issuance
    Company & Industry Overviews

    High-grade corporate bonds hit second-highest issuance of 2015

    Corporate investment-grade borrowing marginally declined to $62.34 billion in the week to March 13, 2015, the second-highest issuance in 2015.

    By David Ashworth
  • uploads///alex shutin  unsplash
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why the Recent REIT Rebound Could Stretch a Little Further

    The real estate sector (VNQ) has been lagging in performance in 2018. It’s seen a year-to-date loss of 6%.

    By Ricky Cove
  • uploads///treasury yields
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How an Operational Switch Could Benefit the US Economy

    An operational switch could help, given zero-bound short-term yields, and long-term yields dampened by low growth and inflation expectations.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///Monthly Budget Deficit Surplus
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    The US budget balance reported a surplus in December 2014

    In the US, the budget balance reported a surplus for December 2014. It reported a shrinking deficit the previous month. The surplus was $1.9 billion for December 2014.

    By David Ashworth
  • uploads///US Treasury Yields Are Higher Compared to that in the Developed World
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    What Could Keep Treasury Yields Low?

    Low yields abroad could keep Treasury yields low. The ten-year US Treasury is currently yielding ~2.4%—compared to 0.9% of the German bund.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • Financials

    The looming US retirement crisis: Key takeaways for investors

    The good news is that while the recovery has impressed few, it has been much better than the alternative we were all facing six years ago, and there is still time to avoid, or at least mitigate, the pending retirement crisis.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • uploads///Dot plot
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    FOMC’s June Meeting Moved Markets

    In the June FOMC meeting, the weighted average forecast was much lower at ~70 basis points. Both stocks and bonds rallied after the meeting.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • uploads///Treasury Yields Have Been Heading North in
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Have Treasury Yields Risen?

    The US Treasury (TLT)(GOVT) yields have been driven mainly by the Greek debt fiasco and central bank actions. Yields started falling early this year.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • uploads///america _
    Consumer

    How to Hedge Against the US-China Trade War

    The US-China trade war escalated very quickly this month. This has caused global equities to plunge and safe havens like gold and treasuries to surge.

    By Sanmit Amin
  • uploads///bondvsgold
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Gold versus 10-Year Treasury Bonds

    The negative interest policy of the central banks is casting government bonds as a futile choice for investors compared to stocks and gold. As a result, bond prices dipped and yields started rising.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • Financials

    Why the outlook is sunnier in Japan, the land of the rising sun

    In the policy statement, the BOJ said that it would continue its second round of monetary easing “as long as it is necessary for maintaining that target in a stable manner.”

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Using sector rotation during rising interest rates

    So how can an investor use sector rotation during a rising rate period?  By rotating some assets out of fixed income sectors that tend to underperform in this kind of environment and into sectors that tend to benefit.  Typically during rising rate environments, the Fed is raising the federal funds rate in response to high […]

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • Financials

    Will small business optimism increase, boosting fixed income ETFs?

    The National Federation of Independent Business (or NFIB) will release the Small Business Optimism Index on Tuesday, March 13.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Why did the T-Notes auction see a sudden rush for 10-year notes?

    We can attribute the lower yield recorded in February compared to January to higher demand for safe-haven assets like U.S. Treasuries, which have increased in 2014.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Why T-Bill auctions saw strong demand though rates stayed low

    The 26-week T-bill was also auctioned on Monday, March 10. The T-bill rate for the auction came in at 0.08%, unchanged from last week’s auction.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Why monetary and fiscal are policies hopelessly intertwined

    Monetary and fiscal policies are now hopelessly intertwined. In other words, when the Fed finally decides to raise rates and shrink its balance sheet, it will seriously exacerbate the government’s already sizable deficit.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • Financials

    Do mortgage rates follow movements in Treasury yields?

    This series will analyze how mortgage interest rates have behaved with respect to Treasuries and the reasons for this correlation.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Interest rate spreads for Treasuries and mortgage rates: A guide

    The interest rate spread is the difference between Treasury yields (TLH) and interest rates on mortgages (VMBS). Interest rate spreads tend to widen in times of economic uncertainty.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Why key rate duration can impact your fixed income portfolio

    Duration measures a portfolio’s sensitivity to parallel shifts in the yield curve. However, parallel shifts in the yield curve rarely, if ever, occur.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Recommendation: You can learn from the yield curve of 1989–1990

    While the yield curve is normally upward-sloping, it might flatten excessively in certain special conditions. “Flattening” refers to the contraction of differences in yields across maturities.

    By Mike Sonnenberg
  • Financials

    Must-know: What a steepening Treasury yield curve signals

    Last week, the demand for U.S. Treasuries rose primarily on heightened global risks. Fears of a recession in Germany and Europe sent ten-year German government bond yields tumbling to 0.74% last week, their lowest ever.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Must-know: Fed communicates intentions to the market

    The Fed’s communication of its monetary policy to the market was remarkably unclear during much of its history.

    By Mike Sonnenberg
  • Financials

    Must-know: Why the taper caused yields to increase

    Much of the current theoretical base of finance assumes that investor expectations are homogeneous. In other words, all the investors expect a similar outcome.

    By Mike Sonnenberg
  • Financials

    Sovereign international bonds versus the US Treasuries: The returns

    This part compares the performance of domestic bond funds investing in the U.S. Treasury securities with international bond funds, which invest in sovereign bonds issued by foreign governments.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Why short-term Treasuries caused the yield curve to buck trend

    On Wednesday, major U.S. stock indices increased sharply on the Fed’s dovish slant. However, stocks moved into the red again on Thursday.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Overview: A bird’s eye view of investment-grade bond markets

    It’s important for investors to stay abreast of investment-grade bond market trends. These trends can provide investors with relatively safer options when market risks and volatility (VXX) increase.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Must-know: Factors moving long and short-term Treasury yields

    Treasury yields declined primarily due to external factors, despite relatively bullish economic data. Bond yields and prices move in opposite directions.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Must-know: Long-term trend towards more equity ownership

    Most professional advice is focused on strategic asset allocation. It advises exposure to U.S. equities (SPY) and bonds (BND). The allocations are based on the investor’s financial goals and risk appetite.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • Financials

    Why inefficient and excessive trading can drastically cut profits

    Many investors tend to move in and out of positions in an inefficient way, reducing their potential profits. This may be because individual investors are often overly confident in their own abilities to beat the market.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • Financials

    Recommendation: Why equities are a good hedge against inflation

    While Russ doesn’t foresee a bond market meltdown, he does expect that rates will rise in coming years and he offers three suggestions for positioning equity portfolios in preparation.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • Financials

    Key drivers for Treasury yields after the June FOMC release

    The Fed’s third Federal Open Market Committee (or FOMC) meeting of the year took place June 17–18. Always a market-moving event.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Why you should overcome these 3 bad investing behaviors

    Do you avoid the stock market? Shun diversification? Trade inefficiently? Russ and guest blogger Nelli Oster — an investment strategist on Russ’ team — examine three common bad behaviors among investors.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • Financials

    Analyzing secondary trends in high yield debt securities

    Investor flows into high yield (HYG) mutual funds reversed their trend in the week ended June 27. High yield (JNK) mutual funds recorded net inflows of $619 million in the week

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Must-know: What’s the Fed’s preferred policy normalization tool?

    The Fed is looking to normalize monetary policy by raising the federal funds rate. Interest on excess reserves (or IOER) would be the primary tool for bringing the federal funds rate into the target range. The Fed may also use an overnight reverse repo (or ON RRP) facility and other supplementary tools to control the federal funds rate.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    The implications of higher yields at the 10-year Treasury auction

    The ten-year Treasury (IEF) note auction is of great interest to stock and bond (BND) market participants. Ten-year Treasury yields are benchmarks for many interest rates, including mortgages (IYR)(VNQ) and equity risk premiums (QQQ).

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    So what’s an investor to do in a rising rate environment?

    If you have a bond portfolio that’s heavy with long-term bonds, you can potentially reduce your interest rate risk by rebalancing your portfolio to increase exposure to short-term bond ETFs.

    By Jessie Szymanski
  • Financials

    Overview: Investment-grade bond ETFs

    U.S. investment-grade bonds can provide investors with a safe and steady income stream. They’re issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury and corporates. The issuers have a very high ability to service the debt issued. There’s little risk of default.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    Must-know: Macroeconomic factors influence US Treasuries

    Economic data is one of the most important Treasury yield drivers. Disappointing data usually results in falling yields. During a downturn, investors prefer safer assets like U.S. Treasuries (TLT) (IEF) (UST) and investment-grade bonds. This usually increases their prices. It causes yields to fall.

    By Phalguni Soni
  • Financials

    A key guide to positioning your portfolio for rising rates

    While longer-term interest rates have remained stable, the prospect for an early Fed tightening is exerting downward pressure on the prices of shorter-maturity Treasury bonds.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • Financials

    Why you should avoid commodities in a rising rate environment

    Other commodities have suffered as well: Most agricultural commodities are down between 5% and 10% year-to-date, and oil prices have slid on less angst over Iraq and the Middle East.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • Financials

    Recommendation: Consider hedging against rising interest rates

    As the Fed continues to reduce its Quantitative Easing program, Matt Tucker explores ways to attempt to hedge against rising interest rates in your bond portfolio.

    By Matt Tucker, CFA
  • Financials

    BRICS are drifting away from US and European monetary structures

    The BRICS countries are slowly but surely drifting away from the 20th Century monetary and political structures setup by the U.S. and Europe, as characterized by Russia’s G8 membership being revoked in the wake of the events in Crimea.

    By Mike Kane
  • Financials

    Why international dividend stocks are worth pursuing

    While Russ would be wary of seeking income at all costs and ignoring valuations, there’s one “bond-like” equity market segment that he believes is worth pursuing: International and global dividend stocks.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • uploads///bank lending
    Financials

    What If Low Interest Rates Don’t Result in Increased Lending?

    With most of the developed world at near zero or negative yields, the contribution of lowering interest rates to the velocity of money is diminishing.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Financials

    Must-know: Why did bond yields drop last week across maturities?

    Against market expectations, yields across the curve dropped considerably last week, leading to a rally in bond market prices that benefitted all major bond ETFs.

    By Mike Sonnenberg
  • Financials

    An investor’s must-know guide to US Treasury auctions

    The U.S. Treasury Department issues Treasury securities of varying maturities to finance government debt. The yield on these securities is determined through a public auction process

    By Mike Sonnenberg
  • Financials

    Why has productivity growth in the US economy slowed?

    Tarullo argued that the productivity growth in recent years has been disappointing. He supported his argument with statistics.

    By Mike Sonnenberg
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