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How US Tax Bill and OPEC Could Affect Crude Oil Prices

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Part 4
How US Tax Bill and OPEC Could Affect Crude Oil Prices PART 4 OF 6

Cushing Inventories Are Near 13-Week Low: Good News for Oil Bulls

Cushing inventories  

Cushing, Oklahoma, is the largest crude oil storage facility in the United States. Wall Street analysts anticipate that crude oil inventories at Cushing would fall between November 24, 2017, and December 1, 2017. The decline in Cushing inventories could have a positive impact on oil (DTO) (OIL) prices.

Oil (USO) (UWT) prices are near a three-year high. Higher oil prices benefit the earnings of energy companies (IXC) (IYE) like Stone Energy (SGY), Bill Barrett (BBG), and Denbury Resources (DNR).

Cushing Inventories Are Near 13-Week Low: Good News for Oil Bulls

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EIA’s Cushing inventories  

The EIA estimated that Cushing’s crude oil inventories fell by 2,914,000 barrels to 58.3 MMbbls (million barrels) between November 17 and November 24, 2017. Inventories fell 5% week-over-week and 3,188,000 barrels, or 5.1%, year-over-year. It was the largest weekly decline in eight years.

Cushing inventories fell due to the shutting down of the Keystone oil pipeline. The Keystone pipeline restarted on Tuesday, November 28, 2017. Cushing inventories were near a 13-week low. The decline in the inventories is bullish for oil (DWT) (UCO) prices. Higher oil prices benefit energy companies’ (FXN) (FENY) earnings like Stone Energy and Bill Barrett.

EIA’s US crude oil inventories  

US crude oil inventories fell 3.4 MMbbls (million barrels), or 0.75%, to 453.7 MMbbls between November 17 and November 24, 2017. The inventories fell by 34 MMbbls or 7.1% year-over-year.

Impact of US and Cushing crude oil inventories 

US crude oil inventories were down 81.1 million barrels, or 15.3%, from their peak. The inventories at Cushing are down ~17% from the peak in April 2017. Any decline in Cushing oil inventories could support oil (DWT) prices.

Next, we’ll analyze how the US oil rigs influence oil prices.

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