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Company & Industry OverviewsAre Analysts Still Bullish on Honeywell?
Analysts’ interest in Honeywell (HON) has been on the rise since its third-quarter earnings.
Company & Industry OverviewsCan ITW Use Its Free Cash Flow to Bring Down Its Debt Level?
In this article, we’ll see whether ITW’s free cash flow can help to reduce its debt.
Company & Industry OverviewsITW’s Debt Declines, Debt-to-Equity Continues to Rise
Illinois Tool Works (ITW), a specialized industrial equipment manufacturer, reported debt of $7.40 billion at the end of the third quarter.
Company & Industry OverviewsIllinois Tool Works: Q3 Earnings Beat the Estimates
Illinois Tool Works (ITW) reported its third-quarter earnings on October 24. The company reported an EPS of $1.90.
Earnings ReportHoneywell’s Home and Building Technologies Segment in Q3 2018
Honeywell’s (HON) Home and Building Technologies segment contributed 23.4% of the company’s total revenue in the third quarter.
Earnings ReportWhat Does Southwest Airlines’ Current Valuation Indicate?
Current valuation Southwest Airlines (LUV) has a forward EV-to-EBITDA[1. enterprise value to earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization] multiple of 7.1x. This is the highest multiple among the major airline carriers and is higher than its average valuation of 6.3x since September 2008. Peer comparisons American Airlines (AAL) is trading at a similar valuation […]
Earnings ReportHow Analysts View Southwest Airlines in 2017
For fiscal 2018, LUV’s improving unit revenue environment is expected to increase revenue growth to 5.9% YoY to $22.4 billion.
Earnings ReportSouthwest Airlines’ Unit Cost Performance Better than Expected
Southwest Airlines’ fuel costs rose 10.1% year-over-year to $1.96 per gallon.
Earnings ReportHow Investors View Southwest Airlines’ Increasing Capacity
Southwest Airlines’ (LUV) 3Q17 capacity grew 3.1% year-over-year to ~39.1 billion miles.
Earnings ReportWhat Is Priced into American Airlines’ Valuation?
Currently, American Airlines (AAL) is trading at a forward EV-to-EBITDA ratio of 6.7x.
Company & Industry OverviewsCould American Airlines’ Unit Revenues Decline in 2H17?
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Company & Industry OverviewsAmerican Airlines’ Traffic Growth Exceeds Its Capacity Growth
For August 2017, AAL’s international traffic increased 6.9% year-over-year. Year-to-date, its international traffic has increased 5.5% YoY.
Company & Industry OverviewsAmerican Airlines’ Capacity Outpaced Its Legacy Peers in August
American Airlines’ (AAL) capacity grew 3.2% year-over-year in August, significantly higher than its 0.4% year-over-year growth reported in the previous seven months.
Earnings ReportWhy Investors Should Be Concerned about American Airlines’ Debt
AAL has paid little attention to its total debt, which rose from $20.8 billion at the end of 2015 to $24.3 billion at the end of 2016 and $24.5 billion at the end of 1Q17.
Earnings ReportWhy Is Qatar Airways Interested in American Airlines?
In the last week of June 2017, Qatar Airways’ CEO, Akbar Al Baker, disclosed the carrier’s interest in buying a 10% stake worth $808 million in American Airlines through the open market.
Earnings ReportCan United Continental Improve Its Margins in 2017?
United Continental’s (UAL) EBITDA is expected to fall 10% to $1.8 billion.
Earnings ReportWill United Continental Meet Increased Capacity Growth Guidance?
At the start of the year, United announced its plan to grow its capacity by 0%–1%, in line with GDP growth expectations.
Company & Industry OverviewsMerck & Co.’s Animal Health Segment’s 1Q17 Revenues
The global revenues from Merck’s Animal Health business totaled $939 million during 1Q17—13% growth over 1Q16.
Company & Industry OverviewsWhy American Airlines Improved Its Unit Revenue Guidance for 2Q17
AAL’s utilization rose 0.3% YoY (year-over-year) in February, then by 1.8% YoY in April and 0.2% YoY in May.
Company & Industry OverviewsWill American Follow United Continental in High Capacity Growth?
For May 2017, American Airlines (AAL) reported a 2.3% YoY (year-over-year) growth in capacity—its highest growth so far in 2017.
Earnings ReportAmerican Airlines’ Valuation: What’s Priced In?
Currently, American Airlines (AAL) is valued at 6.6x its forward EV-to-EBITDA ratio (enterprise value to earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization).
Earnings ReportWhy American Airlines Has Higher Debt Compared to Its Peers
As opposed to most other airlines that have been reducing their debts, American Airlines’ (AAL) debt has risen, partly due to its focus on completing its integration with US Airways.
Earnings ReportFewer Analysts Recommend ‘Buys’ on American Airlines
Analysts’ “hold” ratings on American Airlines stock have risen significantly. Nine analysts, a total of 56.3%, now have “hold” ratings on the stock.
Earnings ReportUnited Continental’s Debt: What You Need to Know
For 2016 overall, United Continental (UAL) has generated $5.5 billion in operating cash flow and $1.9 billion in free cash flow.
Earnings ReportUnited’s Increased Capacity Growth: Should Investors Worry?
Airlines have long been known as capital destroyers. In times of profitability (such as now), they increase capacity to an extent that can’t be filled.
Company & Industry OverviewsThis Is Driving Merck’s Vaccines Business
The Gardasil franchise is Merck’s (MRK) leading vaccines franchise.
Earnings ReportCan Delta Air Lines Increase Its Dividend Payouts in 2017?
Delta Air Lines started paying dividends only in 2013, and it’s one of the few airlines that pay dividends.
Earnings ReportWill Delta Air Lines’ Fuel Costs Keep Falling in 2017?
Until 3Q16, Delta Air Lines (DAL) had managed to keep its costs flat if not decreasing. However…
Earnings ReportHow Does United Continental Plan to Improve Margins?
United expects to add $800 million to profits by increasing seats from 105 per departure to 121 per departure in 2018.
Earnings ReportWill United Continental’s Margins Improve in 2017?
For 4Q16, analysts are expecting United Continental’s (UAL) EBITDA to fall 26% to $1.4 billion.
Company & Industry OverviewsWhy Is American Airlines Warren Buffett’s Top Pick?
Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK.B) November 2016 13F filing attracted considerable interest for airline investors. The 13F revealed Warren Buffett’s new investments in the airline sector—a sector he had written off during the past decade.
Company & Industry OverviewsWill American Airlines’s Unit Revenues Continue to Decline?
For November 2016, American Airlines’s (AAL) load factor fell 0.3% and year-to-date 2016, its load factor fell 1.3%.
Company & Industry OverviewsAmerican Airlines’s Traffic Growth Lags Capacity Growth
In November 2016, American Airlines’s (AAL) traffic fell 0.2% year-over-year, slightly lagging its capacity growth in the same period. Year-to-date, AAL’s traffic has increased 0.3%.
Company & Industry OverviewsIs American Airlines’s Capacity Growth Finally Slowing Down?
American Airlines’s (AAL) capacity grew 0.1% year-over-year in November 2016, similar to the growth seen during most of 2016. Year-to-date, AAL’s capacity has grown 1.9%.
Company & Industry OverviewsWhy Is There a Pilot Shortage in the Airline Industry?
As many as 30,000 pilots will reach the mandatory retirement age of 65 years by 2026. If there aren’t sufficient new hires to replace them, airlines could face a pilot shortage.
Company & Industry OverviewsWill Delta Air Lines’ New Deal Make Its Pilots Happy?
After 20 months of talks and a nine-month standoff, Delta Air Lines has finally managed to reach an agreement in principle with its pilots for a new contract.
Company & Industry OverviewsHow PSX’s Operating Income Differs from Those of MPC, VLO, TSO
Refiners such as PSX, MPC, VLO, and TSO are now focusing on diversifying their earnings models to shield themselves from the volatile refining environment.
Company & Industry OverviewsWill American Airlines’ Unit Revenues Continue to Fall?
AAL’s traffic growth has lagged capacity growth in most of 2016. The load factor has fallen by 0.9 percent points in 2016 YTD. This will pressure unit revenues.
Company & Industry OverviewsWhy Are MPC’s Forward Valuations Higher than the Peer Average?
MPC is currently trading at a forward PE (price-to-earnings) ratio of 12.3x, above its peer average of 11.7x.
Company & Industry OverviewsMarathon Petroleum’s Stock Performance: Up by 28% since June 30
Since the end of June, Marathon Petroleum’s (MPC) stock has risen by 28%. MPC has crossed over its 50-day and its 200-day moving averages during this period.
Earnings ReportWhat Are Analysts’ Recommendations for HollyFrontier?
The analysts’ survey shows that six out of the 11 companies surveyed rated HollyFrontier (HFC) as “neutral” or “market perform.”
Earnings ReportWhat Caused Phillips 66’s Refining Margin to Plunge in 2Q16?
In 2Q16, Phillips 66’s (PSX) total adjusted net income of $499 million fell by 50% YoY (year-over-year) but rose by 39% quarter-over-quarter.
Earnings ReportChevron’s Segments in 2Q16: Upstream Continues to Report Losses
Chevron (CVX) reported a loss in 2Q16 due to its upstream segment. The upstream segment posted a loss in 2Q15 and a heavy loss in 2Q16.
Earnings ReportShell’s 2Q Earnings Decline Could Be the Worst of Its Peer Group
Royal Dutch Shell released its 2Q16 results on July 28, 2016. The company’s 2Q16 earnings fell by 71% over 2Q15 to $1,175 million.
Earnings ReportMarathon Petroleum’s Strong 2Q Revenues Didn’t Help Its Earnings
In 2Q16, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) posted revenues of $16.8 billion—this surpassed Wall Street analysts’ estimates. Its adjusted EPS stood at $1.07.
Earnings ReportWhat Do Analysts Recommend for Valero after 2Q16 Earnings?
Nine out of ten companies surveyed rated Valero (VLO) a “buy,” “overweight,” or “outperform.”
Earnings ReportValero’s Stock Rose 4.7% Following Its Earnings Release
Valero Energy (VLO) announced its results on July 26, 2016, before the market opened.
Earnings ReportHollyFrontier’s 2Q16 Earnings Expected to Outshine Those of 1Q16
Wall Street analysts expect HollyFrontier to post EPS of $0.35, which is 76% lower than its 2Q15 adjusted EPS.
Earnings ReportTesoro’s 2Q16 Earnings Are Expected to Rise Sequentially
Tesoro is expected to post its 2Q16 results on August 3, 2016. Before we look at its 2Q16 estimates, let’s recap TSO’s 1Q16 performance compared to estimates.
ConsumerWhat Are Analysts’ Target Prices before ADM’s 2Q16 Results?
Around 77% of the analysts rate Archer Daniels Midland a “hold” and 23% gave it a “buy” rating. No analysts rated it as a “sell.”
ConsumerArcher Daniels Midland Stock Gained since Its 1Q16 Earnings
Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) is slated to report its 2Q16 results on August 2 before the market opens. The stock has gained 12% since its last quarter results.
Earnings ReportWhat Does an Analysis of PSX’s Short Interest Reveal?
Since mid-February 2016, Phillips 66 (PSX) has witnessed an 18% fall in its short interest.
Earnings ReportWill WNR’s Refining Margin Trend Higher This Quarter?
Western Refining (WNR) recorded a fall in gross refining margins, from $16.80 per barrel in 1Q15 to $10.80 per barrel in 1Q16.
Earnings ReportExxonMobil’s Segmental Analysis: Pre-earnings Review
Changing oil prices have altered segment dynamics for ExxonMobil (XOM). Earnings from the company’s upstream segment have fallen steeply.
Earnings ReportWhat Do Analysts Expect from PBF Energy’s 2Q16 Earnings?
In 1Q16, PBF Energy’s revenues surpassed Wall Street analyst estimates by 12%. PBF’s 1Q16 adjusted EPS was -$0.65, as compared to the estimated -$0.47.
Earnings ReportWhat Does Suncor’s Short Interest Analysis Reveal?
Suncor Energy (SU) has witnessed a 34% rise in its short interest since April 2016.
Earnings ReportHow Has Marathon Petroleum Stock Performed Pre-Earnings?
Between July 2014 and November 2015, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) stock rose 51%. But after that, the stock fell until early 2016.
Earnings ReportTotal’s 2Q16 Earnings Outlook: Will It Beat Estimates?
Total SA (TOT) is expected to post its 2Q16 results on July 28, 2016. In 1Q16, TOT’s revenues of $27.5 billion surpassed Wall Street estimates.
Energy & UtilitiesWhat Do Refining Stock Valuations Reveal?
With respect to the price-to-earnings ratio, larger players Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Tesoro (TSO), and Phillips 66 (PSX) trade higher than the average valuations.
Company & Industry OverviewsWhat Can We Expect from Valero’s Diesel Crack Indicators in 2Q16?
Valero’s diesel crack indicators have been rising in 2Q16 compared to 1Q16. The US West Coast, where VLO has 0.3 MMbpd refining capacity, saw the largest rise of $3.20 per barrel.
Company & Industry OverviewsWhy Has Valero Stock Fallen 21% since the End of March?
Amid stock price volatility, Valero rose 20% from February 8–March 28, 2016, and crossed over its 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
Company & Industry OverviewsWhy ExxonMobil’s Valuations Are Higher Than Historical Averages
ExxonMobil’s price-to-earnings (or PE) ratio has generally shown an uptrend in the past two years. In 1Q16, the stock traded at a PE of 26.4x.
Earnings ReportAnalyzing Petrobas Stock Pre-1Q16
Rising oil prices are usually favorable for upstream segment earnings of integrated energy companies. Petrobas (PBR) stock has more than doubled since mid-February.
Earnings ReportShell’s 1Q16 Earnings Slump but Beat Estimates
Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) released its 1Q16 results on May 4, 2016. Its revenues missed Wall Street analysts’ estimates by 13%, and its reported EPS stood at $0.14.
Earnings ReportUnderstanding Western Refining’s Segmental Performance in 1Q16
Western Refining’s adjusted EBITDA from the Western segment fell from $171 million in 1Q15 to $51 million in 1Q16 due to a decline in refining margins.
Earnings ReportChevron’s Segments in 1Q16: Downstream Tries to Save the Day
Chevron (CVX) reported a loss in 1Q16 due to its upstream segment, which reported a steep plunge in its earnings to -$1.5 billion.
Earnings ReportHow Did Exxon Mobil Have an Earnings Beat in 1Q16?
Exxon Mobil (XOM) posted its 1Q16 results on April 29, 2016. Its quarterly revenues surpassed Wall Street estimates by 10%.
Earnings ReportWhy Are Most Analysts Recommending ‘Hold’ for BP?
Three of ten companies surveyed have rated BP a “buy” or “outperform.” The highest 12-month price target for BP stands at $43, indicating a 26% rise from its current levels.
Earnings ReportArcher Daniels Midland Stock Gained since Its 4Q15 Earnings
Archer Daniels Midland will report its fiscal 1Q16 results before the opening bell on May 3. The stock gained 23% since its 4Q15 earnings release.
Earnings ReportHow Will Shell Perform in 1Q16? Analysts Expect Weak Numbers
Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) is set to release its 1Q16 results on May 4, 2016. In this series, we’ll look at 1Q16 estimates, segment outlook, stock performance, capex, costs, and restructuring plans.
Earnings ReportWhat Does Valero’s Refining Margin Indicator for 1Q16 Suggest?
In 4Q15, Valero Energy (VLO) noted a fall in gross margin to $10.90 per barrel compared to $11.20 per barrel in 4Q14.
Earnings ReportHow Oil Prices Are Changing XOM’s Segment Dynamics
In 1Q16, Exxon Mobil’s upstream segment is likely to witness lower earnings due to a fall in crude oil prices.
Earnings ReportHow Will MPC’s Refining Segment Earnings Shape Up in 1Q16?
Marathon Petroleum’s (MPC) refining segment’s operating income fell by 80% to $207 million in 4Q15 compared to 4Q14.
Company & Industry OverviewsCreating a Stable Earnings Portfolio: An Analysis of Marathon Petroleum’s Segments
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) has 2,770 Speedway outlets and 5,600 “Marathon” brand outlets spread across the US.
Company & Industry OverviewsIs Valero’s Leverage Position Sound?
Valero’s net debt-to-EBITDA ratio stood at 0.4x in 4Q15. This is lower than the industry average ratio of 1.1x.
Company & Industry OverviewsHow Petrobras’s Segment Dynamics Are Changing
Sinking oil prices have changed segment dynamics considerably for Petrobras.
Company & Industry OverviewsHow Does Debt Affect Petrobras’s Cash Flow?
In 2015, Petrobras’s (PBR) cash flow from operations stood at $26 billion, falling from $27 billion in 2014.
Company & Industry OverviewsWhere Do Shell’s Forward Valuations Stand Compared to Its Peers’?
Shell is trading at a total debt-to-capital ratio of 26% compared to ExxonMobil and Chevron, which are trading at 18% and 20%, respectively.
Company & Industry OverviewsWhat’s WNR’s Leverage Position Compared to Its Peers?
With higher capex in sight, it will be important for investors to monitor WNR’s leverage curve.
Company & Industry OverviewsExamining ExxonMobil’s Latest Bond Issuance
Amid tumbling crude oil and natural gas prices, ExxonMobil (XOM), an integrated energy giant, has raised $12 billion via a bond issue.
Company & Industry OverviewsSuncor’s Refineries Configured to Process Oil Sands Feedstock
Suncor Energy (SU) has 462 Mbpd (thousand barrels per day) of refining capacity spread over Canada and the United States. The refineries are well-configured to consume oil sands feedstock.
Earnings Report4Q15 Pre-Earnings: WNR’s Refining Margin Trend
Western Refining’s refining segment earnings, which depend on refining margins, will likely be stressed. It’s impacted by refined product cracks.
Earnings ReportWhat You Can Expect: HollyFrontier’s 4Q15 Stock Performance
HFC’s stock performance has been quite volatile over the past year. The stock hit highs of $54 in August 2015 and lows of $30 in February 2016…
Company & Industry OverviewsHow Does PBF’s Leverage Compare to Its Peers’?
PBF’s net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) stood at 0.64x in 3Q15.
Earnings Report4Q15 Earnings Review: XOM’s Stock Performance
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) announced its results on February 2, 2016, before the market opened. Although XOM surpassed its estimates for 4Q15, the stock experienced a weak opening.
Earnings ReportChevron’s Segments Suffer across the Board
CVX’s refining and chemical segments noted falls in earnings in 4Q15. Chevron’s downstream segment saw its earnings fall to $1 billion in 4Q15.
Earnings ReportValero Expects Capex to Be around $2.6 Billion in 2016
Valero expects capex to be ~$2.6 billion in 2016. The capex is aimed at increasing feedstock flexibility, higher value products, and sustaining growth.
Earnings ReportTesoro’s 4Q15 Estimates: Expect Lower Earnings versus 3Q15
Tesoro Corporation (TSO) is expected to post its 4Q15 results on February 1, 2016. Before we proceed with the 4Q15 estimates, let’s recap TSO’s 3Q15 performance versus estimates.
Earnings ReportMonitoring Valero’s Stock Performance and Capex before Its 4Q15 Earnings Release
Valero Energy’s stock price, amid volatility, has risen in 2015, and the stock gained by 43% in the trailing-twelve-month period as of January 19, 2016.
Company & Industry OverviewsHollyFrontier’s Forward Valuations: Lower than Peer Average
HollyFrontier (HFC) is currently trading at a forward PE (price-to-earnings) ratio of 8.9x, below the peer average of 9.1x.
Earnings ReportArcher Daniels Showed Falling Performance in Second Quarter
Archer Daniels reported its second quarter results for fiscal 2015 in the first week of August, with net earnings of $386 million, or $0.62 per share.