SPDR® S&P Homebuilders ETF

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    Consumer

    Will Home Depot’s Upward Momentum to Continue?

    As of June 21, Home Depot (HD) was trading at $209.39, which implies a rise of 9.7% since the announcement of its first-quarter earnings on May 21. Also, the company was trading at a premium of 32.4% from its 52-week low of $158.09 and a discount of 2.8% from its 52-week high of $215.43.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    May Housing Starts Data: Positive for Homebuilders?

    The April housing starts report was a relief for homebuilders. Their confidence has been struggling. The May report was slightly below the estimate. Consumer spending is still strong after the May retail sales report.

    By Sushree Mohanty
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Are Housing Starts Data Looking Positive for Homebuilders?

    Given the significant setbacks in housing data over the last few months, homebuilders’ confidence has taken a back seat.

    By Sushree Mohanty
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How Building Permits and the Housing Market Can Predict Trends

    When real estate developers or REITs like AvalonBay (AVB) are confident about the economy, they build more in anticipation of future demand from consumers.

    By Mike Sonnenberg
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    Consumer

    Bed Bath & Beyond Refreshes Its Board, Co-Founders Step Down

    On April 22, Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) announced that it’s refreshing its board. The company is replacing its five independent directors.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    How Did Bed Bath & Beyond Fare in the Fourth Quarter?

    Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) posted fourth-quarter earnings after the market closed on April 10.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Home Depot Stock Up ~7.3% Since Last Earnings: More Upside Ahead?

    As of April 5, Home Depot (HD) was trading at $202.06, a rise of 7.3% since its fourth-quarter earnings announcement on February 26.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Could Williams-Sonoma Stock Continue to Rise?

    Yesterday, Williams-Sonoma (WSM) was trading at $57.18, 27.0% higher than its 52-week low of $45.01 and 22.7% lower than its 52-week high of $73.99.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Why Bed Bath & Beyond Stock Rose ~22% on March 26

    On March 26, the three activist funds that together own a ~5% stake in Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) nominated 16 candidates for election to BBBY’s board.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Why Investors Are Optimistic about RH’s Q4 Earnings

    RH (RH) is scheduled to post its fiscal 2018 fourth-quarter earnings results after the market closes on March 28.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Williams-Sonoma Beats Analysts’ Fourth-Quarter Estimates

    Williams-Sonoma (WSM) released its fourth-quarter results after the market closed yesterday.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    RH Stock Up ~20% in 2019: Is There More Upside?

    As of March 7, RH (RH) was trading at $144.61, which represents a rise of 20.7% since the beginning of 2019.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Can Home Depot and Lowe’s Stock Price Momentum Continue?

    Last year, home improvement retailers had a tough time. The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) had fallen 26.5%.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Lowe’s Stock Rose after Its Q4 Earnings

    Lowe’s (LOW) posted its fourth-quarter earnings on February 27. The company posted an adjusted EPS of $0.80 on revenues of $15.65 billion.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Is Bill Ackman’s Conviction in Lowe’s Stock Coming True?

    At the end of the fourth quarter, Lowe’s was Pershing Square’s second-largest holding. Lowe’s formed 14.8% of Pershing Square’s portfolio.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Consumer

    Home Depot’s Stock Fell Due to Weaker Outlook

    Home Depot (HD) posted its fourth-quarter results on February 26. For the quarter ending on February 3, the company posted an EPS of $2.09.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Will Marvin Ellison’s Initiatives Spark a Turnaround for Lowe’s?

    Lowe’s has started 2019 on a positive note, with its stock rising 1.7% YTD as of January 16.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Bank of America Expects the Markets to Fall in 2019

    Bank of America’s equity and quantitative strategist, Savita Subramanian, expects a decline in the S&P 500 (SPY) in 2019—compared to 2018.

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Consumer

    Could Home Depot Turn Around this Year?

    Last year was tough for home improvement retailers, including Home Depot (HD), whose stock price fell 9.3%.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Bed Bath & Beyond’s Stock Rose on Optimistic Outlook

    Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) posted its third-quarter earnings after the market closed on January 9.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Upward Momentum in Home Depot and Lowe’s Stocks?

    So far, 2018 has been tough for home improvement retailers. The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) has fallen 29% YTD (year-to-date).

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    RH Tops Analysts’ Revenue and EPS Expectations in Q3 2018

    RH (RH) posted its third-quarter earnings results after the market closed on December 3.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Lowe’s Stock: Can We Expect Upside Potential?

    As of November 28, Lowe’s was trading at $93.69—a rise of 2.6% since the announcement of its third-quarter earnings on November 20.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Will RH’s Third-Quarter Earnings Boost Its Stock Price?

    RH (RH) is scheduled to post its third-quarter earnings results after the market closes on December 4.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Bank of America’s Suggestions for Investors in a Market Decline

    In a note published last week, Bank of America Merrill Lynch equity and quantitative strategist Savita Subramanian said, “We believe the peak in equities is likely before the end of 2019.”

    By Anuradha Garg
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    Consumer

    Has Home Depot Stock Bottomed Out?

    On November 26, Home Depot was trading at $168.85, a fall of 5.7% since its announcement of its fiscal 2018 third-quarter earnings results.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Williams-Sonoma Stock Tanks on Weak Q3 Comp Brand Revenue Growth

    Williams-Sonoma (WSM) posted its earnings results for the third quarter of fiscal 2018 after the market closed on November 15.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Why Home Depot’s Q3 Earnings Failed to Impress Analysts

    Home Depot (HD) posted its fiscal 2018 third-quarter earnings results before the market opened on November 13.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Can Williams-Sonoma Maintain Upward Momentum in Q3?

    Williams-Sonoma (WSM) is scheduled to post it third-quarter earnings after the market closes on November 15.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Nasdaq Flirts with Down 10%…in October

    So this is painful. Very few were perfectly positioned into this selloff.

    By JP Gravitt
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    Consumer

    Lowe’s Stock Price Fell on Credit Suisse Downgrade

    After Credit Suisse’s downgrade on October 17, Lowe’s Companies’ (LOW) stock price fell to a low of $101.39 before closing the day at $102.44.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Has RH Stock Bottomed Out?

    As of September 27, RH (RH) was trading at $132.99, which represents a fall of 12.1% since its fiscal Q2 2018 earnings release on September 4.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Did Lowe’s Meet Analysts’ Expectations in Q2 2018?

    Lowe’s Companies (LOW) posted its second-quarter earnings before the market opened on August 22.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Will Home Depot’s Q2 2018 Earnings Boost Its Stock Price?

    Home Depot (HD) is scheduled to post its second-quarter earnings before the market opens on August 14.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Why Did RH Stock Decline on July 11?

    On June 11, RH stock declined ~4.4%, while Williams-Sonoma and Bed Bath & Beyond’s stock prices declined 1.8% and 2.1%, respectively.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Bed Bath & Beyond Stock Plunges in After-Hours Trading

    Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) posted its first-quarter earnings after the market closed on June 27.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Could New Home Sales Continue to Rise?

    The US Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development report monthly data on the number of new homes sold in the United States.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Are Rising Rates Affecting Housing Markets?

    Rising interest rates increase the cost of owning a home for prospective buyers, but the housing market hasn’t yet felt the impact of rate increases.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    What to Make of the Increase in Consumer Expectations in May

    The May LEI reported the average consumer expectations for business conditions of 0.83, a strong rebound from the revised April reading of 0.55.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    What Drove the Leading Economic Index Higher in May?

    According to the June 21 Conference Board report, the May LEI was 109.5—a 0.2% increase from the revised April LEI of 109.3.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Consumer

    How Much Upside Could be Left in Williams-Sonoma Stock?

    In this series, we’ll look at analysts’ revenue and EPS estimates for Williams-Sonoma over the next four quarters, as well as the company’s guidance and valuation.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    What Drove Retail Sales Higher in May?

    The United States Census Bureau releases a monthly report on retail sales in the United States. Let’s take a look at the latest data.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why May’s Inflation Was Just Hot Enough

    On June 12, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that US consumer prices rose 0.2% in May, adding to the 0.2% increase seen in April.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    April Jobs Report: More Jobs Than Job Seekers

    April’s JOLTS data indicate that there were only 0.9 job seekers for every job available.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Are Tax Cuts Helping US Consumers Spend More?

    On May 31, the BEA’s report on personal income and spending for April indicated that personal income rose 0.3%.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Will the Rollback of Dodd-Frank Help the Real Estate Sector?

    In a continued effort to deregulate the economy, President Donald Trump signed the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why the Fall in April New Home Sales Isn’t a Reason to Worry

    As per the recent report, new single-family homes (XHB) sold in April were at a seasonally adjusted rate of 662,000 units.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Should Housing Investors Worry about Declining Building Permits?

    An increase in the number of building permits in any given month is a signal for increased activity in the housing sector (DHI) in the future.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    What to Make of the Decline of Consumer Expectations in April

    The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (or LEI) has ten constituent indicators and all but one of these forward-looking indicators is based on expectations.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    The Housing Industry Is Painting a Positive Outlook for the Economy

    In April, the number of building permits issued was reported at 1.35 million, a decrease of 1.8% from the downward revised March reading of 1.37 million permits.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Drove the Leading Economic Index Higher in April?

    The latest Conference Board LEI reading was released on May 17. The LEI for April came in at 109.4, an increase of 0.4% from the March reading of 109.0.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How April’s Inflation Data Relieved Markets

    On May 10, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that US consumer prices rose 0.2% in April.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Consumer

    Could Home Depot’s 1Q18 Earnings Boost Its Stock?

    Home Depot (HD) is set to announce its 1Q18 earnings before the market opens on May 15.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    What to Make of the March Increase in Building Permits Issued

    The US Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development report monthly data on building permits issued in the United States.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Consumer

    Why a Rebound in March Housing Starts Isn’t Satisfying the Sector

    The volatility in housing starts data remains elevated. Housing starts in March were reported to have risen 1.9%.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why American Builders’ Confidence Fell 1 Point in March

    The HMI (housing market index) was reported to have decreased by one point to 69 in April 2018.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    What Drove the Leading Economic Index Higher in March?

    In this series, we’ll analyze the Leading Economic Index and assess whether the economic model signals any changes to the US business cycle.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    3.2 Million Americans Quit Their Jobs in February

    The “Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey” (or JOLTS) data for February was reported on April 13, and it contains information about job openings and total separations.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why March’s Inflation Numbers Could Pressure the Fed

    The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has reported that US consumer prices fell 0.1% in March.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Consumer

    Has Home Depot’s Stock Price Bottomed Out?

    On March 27, 2018, Home Depot was trading at $174.68, a fall of 6.6% since its announcement of its 4Q17 earnings on February 20, 2018.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    What to Make of the Drop in Building Permits Issued in February

    The decrease in building permits spanned across the sectors in February.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Consumer

    What’s behind the 7% Fall in February Housing Starts?

    Just as markets were celebrating the stellar 9.7% increase in housing starts in January, the February data proved to be a damper for that enthusiasm.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How Confident Are American Builders?

    The March housing market index reading is at 70, a one-point decline from the revised February reading of 71.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why the US Workforce’s Quit Rate Has Remained High

    January’s JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) data, which contains information about job openings and total separations, was reported on March 16.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Which Countries and Industries Could Be Affected by the Tariffs?

    Canada, the European Union, South Korea, Mexico, and Brazil are the largest exporters of steel and aluminum to the United States.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Consumer

    Why Lowe’s 4Q17 Earnings Failed to Impress Investors

    Lowe’s (LOW) announced its 4Q17 earnings on February 28, 2018, reporting adjusted EPS of $0.74 on revenues of $15.5 billion.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why the Rebound in Building Permits Is Positive for the US Economy

    The Conference Board uses the number of building permits issued as one of the key constituents of its LEI (Leading Economic Index) model.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why This Leading Economic Index Signals a Bright Outlook for US Economy

    According to the latest report, the LEI for January was 108.1, which marks an improvement of 1.0% from the revised December index reading of 107.0.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why the Fed’s Rate Hikes Are behind Schedule

    Nominal GDP indicates higher rates The recently released second estimate for 4Q17 GDP indicates that the US economy grew 2.5%, a percentage point lower than the advance estimate of 2.6% and considerably lower than the 3Q17 growth of 3.2%. The nominal GDP growth rate, which is the real growth rate plus inflation (TIP), was 4.9%. The nominal […]

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Could the Lower 4Q17 GDP Estimate be Reason to Worry?

    The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (or BEA) has released its second 4Q17 GDP estimate, projecting that the US economy increased at an annual rate of 2.5%.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How the FOMC Views the US Financial Situation

    The FOMC staff review indicated that the US investor sentiment has improved in the inter-meeting period.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why American Homebuilders Are Confident about Industry

    February’s HMI reading was reported at 72, unchanged from the January reading and two points below the 18-year peak reported in December.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Analyzing the Retail Sales Drop in January

    The advance estimates for US retail (XRT) and food services in January 2018 were $492 billion—a decrease of 0.3% from December.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Quit Rate Indicates a Strong US Employment Market

    As per the latest JOLTS report, total separations for December were 5.2 million, which is 3.6% of the total workforce.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Building Permits Plateaued in December

    The Conference Board uses the number of building permits issued as one of the constituents of its LEI (Leading Economic Index) model.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    What’s the Leading Economic Index Signaling for 2018?

    The LEI is a monthly economic series that tracks the changes in economic performances. It has been successful in predicting changes in business cycles.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Personal Income in US Rose in 2017

    As per the latest report from the BEA, personal income rose 0.4% in December, which took the annual rise to 4.1%.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Consumer

    Why Building Permits Didn’t Change in December

    For 2017, 1,263,400 housing units have been authorized by building permits—a 4.7% increase from 1,206,600 housing units in 2016.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How Confident Are Homebuilders at the Beginning of 2018?

    Comments from NAHB members indicated that homebuilders are optimistic about the future demand and projected increased activity in the housing sector.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Did the Consumer Price Index Rise in December?

    According to the December CPI report released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on January 12, consumer prices in December increased 0.1%.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How Many Americans Quit Their Jobs in November?

    As per the latest JOLTS report, about 3.2 million American workers quit their jobs voluntarily in November.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Large Speculator Positions on the S&P 500 Index in Week Ended December 29

    The S&P 500 Index (SPY) posted a weekly loss in the last week of 2017 but closed the year at a high.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Building Permits Fall in November: Should We Worry?

    Building permits and the economy The number of building permits issued each month is a constituent of the Conference Board LEI (Leading Economic Index). The construction and housing industry (PKB) is a major job provider in the economy, and changes in activity in the sector affect employment conditions and aggregate demand. A higher number of building permits is a leading […]

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Should We Worry about Rising Unemployment Claims?

    Average weekly claims and the economy Average weekly unemployment claims are a constituent of the Conference Board LEI (Leading Economic Index). Claims have a 3% weight in the LEI. Weekly unemployment claims, if adjusted for seasonality, give investors a clear understanding of changes in the employment market. Though the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases a monthly […]

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    What the Leading Economic Index Signals for the US Economy

    The Conference Board LEI (Leading Economic Index), a closely followed economic indicator in the investor community, tracks the US economy’s health.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Housing Market: Builders’ Confidence Reaches an 18-Year High

    For November, the NAHB Housing Market Index was reported as 74—an increase of five from October and an 18-year high.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Consumer

    Should Investors Be Concerned about Fewer Building Permits?

    In November 2017, housing units (XHB) authorized by building permits were at a seasonally adjusted rate of 1.298 million—a decrease of 1.4% from October.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Company & Industry Overviews

    How Much Upside Is Left in Home Depot Stock?

    Rumors that Home Depot (HD) might acquire XPO Logistics (XPO) didn’t have much impact on HD stock. However, XPO stock rose 14.4% on December 22, 2017.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    What’s Driving Lowe’s Stock Price?

    As of December 14, 2017, Lowe’s was trading at $85.58, which represents a rise of 5.1% since the announcement of its 3Q17 earnings on November 21, 2017.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How Large Speculator Positions in S&P 500 Index Trended Last Week

    The S&P 500 Index continued its ascent in the previous week buoyed by the optimism surrounding US tax reform.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Consumer

    Why RH Stock Rose in 3Q17

    RH, previously known as Restoration Hardware, on December 5, 2017, reported adjusted EPS (earnings per share) of $1.04 on revenues of $592.5 million.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why a Rise in October Building Permits Is a Good Sign for the US Economy

    In October 2017, the number of building permits totaled ~1.3 million permits, a sizeable increase from the September reading of ~1.2 million permits.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    The Conference Board Leading Economic Index and Why We Track It

    The October 2017 reading for the Conference Board LEI was released on November 20. The LEI rose 2.9% in the six-month period ended in October 2017.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    The FOMC’s View on the US Economy

    At the November meeting, the FOMC staff review indicated that US labor market conditions continued to strengthen and that the US economy continued to expand at a solid pace.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Consumer

    Why Lowe’s 3Q17 Earnings Failed to Impress

    Lowe’s Companies (LOW) posted its 3Q17 earnings on November 21. The company posted adjusted EPS (earnings per share) of $1.05 on revenues of $16.77 billion.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
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    Consumer

    Analyzing Housing Starts in October 2017

    In October 2017, housing starts rebounded sharply from the slump in September. October housing starts beat the market’s expectations.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why We Need to Track the Conference Board Leading Economic Index

    The main reason for the popularity of the Conference Board Leading Economic Index is its successful track record when predicting changes to the business cycle.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Consumer

    The Truth about Housing Starts in September 2017

    In September 2017, US housing starts fell from an upwardly revised August number of 1.183 million to 1.127 million units—a negative surprise.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How FOMC Members Assessed the US Labor Market in September

    FOMC members noted that labor market conditions could take a hit due to the hurricanes in August and that this was evident in the October non-farm payrolls report.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Consumer

    Home Depot’s Financial Engineering Boosts Returns Metrics

    Besides the upbeat earnings, Home Depot (HD) also significantly increased its returns metrics.

    By Phalguni Soni
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