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Natural Gas Prices Could Fall below $3 Next Week
On June 8, 2017, US natural gas (GASL) (GASX) (FCG) active futures had an implied volatility of 36%—up 3.8% compared to the 15-day average.
Natural Gas Inventories Impact Natural Gas Prices
Over the last ten years, whenever natural gas inventories have been higher than their five-year average, prices have fallen.
Will Natural Gas Hit $3.2 Next Week?
On July 20, 2017, natural gas active futures’ implied volatility was 32.3%, which was 3% below their 15-day moving average.
How Much Natural Gas Could Fall Next Week
On November 16, 2017, the implied volatility of natural gas was 44%—6.4% above its 15-day average.
Will Natural Gas Prices Fall to $2.8 Next Week?
On November 2, 2017, natural gas’s (GASL) (GASX) implied volatility was 38.2%, 1.8% below its 15-day average.
How Natural Gas ETFs Fared Last Week
Between October 27 and November 3, 2017, the United States Natural Gas Fund LP (UNG) rose just 0.2%, and natural gas December futures rose 0.7%.
What Could Matter to Natural Gas Investors Now?
From March 2, 2017, to March 9, 2017, the United States Natural Gas ETF (UNG) rose 5.7%. Natural gas futures rose 6.1% during the same period.
Futures Spread: What It Says about Natural Gas Prices
On March 1, 2017, active natural gas (UNG) (FCG) (BOIL) (GASL) futures were trading at a discount of $0.5 to futures contracts 12 months ahead.
Natural Gas Could Fall below $2.7 Next Week
On August 3, 2017, natural gas’s implied volatility was 30%—5.1% below its 15-day moving average.
Where Natural Gas Prices Could Go Next Week
On September 21, 2017, natural gas implied volatility was 35.1%, or 5.1% above the 15-day average.
Will Oil Rigs Undo the Gains in Natural Gas?
On March 24, the natural gas rig count was 155—a fall of two rigs over the previous week. Active natural gas rigs have risen by 63 in the past year.
Natural Gas Longs: Here’s Why You Should Watch Oil Rigs
On January 12, 2018, the natural gas rig count was 88.4% less than its historic high of 1,606 in 2008.
Natural Gas’s Rise: Why Gas-Weighted Stocks Are Underperforming
Between March 20, 2017, and March 27, 2017, natural gas futures contracts for May 2017 rose 1%. The commodity saw the small gain due to slightly bullish inventory data.
Does the Natural Gas Fall Relate to Oil’s Decline?
Between November 29 and December 6, natural gas (GASL)(GASX)(FCG) January 2018 futures had a correlation of -1.6% with US crude oil January futures.
Will Natural Gas Hold on to the $3 Level Next Week?
On August 31, 2017, natural gas (UNG) (BOIL) active futures’ implied volatility was 32%, which was 4.9% above its 15-day moving average.
How Did Natural Gas, Crude Oil, and SPY Compare Last Week?
For the week ending July 22, September natural gas futures (UNG) (FCG) (GASX) (DGAZ) (BOIL) rose by 0.55%. The S&P 500 Index (SPY) rose by 0.61% in the week.
Natural Gas Prices Are Impacted by the US Dollar
Between May 3 and May 10, 2017, natural gas (GASX) (FCG) (GASL) June futures rose 2%. The US dollar (UUP) (UDN) (USDU) rose 0.5% during that period.
Why $3 Looks Difficult for Natural Gas Prices This Week
Natural gas’s (UNG) (BOIL) (FCG) (GASL) implied volatility was 39.4% on March 3, 2017, 0.3% below its 15-day average.
Could Natural Gas Reach a New 2017 Low Next Week?
Implied volatility On December 21, 2017, natural gas futures’ implied volatility was 42.4%. In the last trading session, their implied volatility was on par with the 15-day average. Supply-glut concerns pushed natural gas (UNG) (BOIL) futures to a 17-year low on March 3, 2016, with an implied volatility of 53.8%. From this multiyear low, natural gas prices […]
Can Natural Gas Stay above $3 Next Week?
On November 30, 2017, natural gas’s implied volatility was 44.3%, about 1% above its 15-day average.
Is $3.10 Possible for Natural Gas This Week?
On August 10, 2017, the implied volatility for natural gas’s (UNG) (BOIL) active futures was 30.4%, which was 0.70% below its 15-day average.
Is Natural Gas Moving with Oil Prices?
The correlation between natural gas (GASL)(GASX)(FCG) active futures with US crude oil active futures was 99.8% between December 12 and December 19.
How UNG Looks Relative to Natural Gas Futures
UNG ended May 4, 2017, with a drop of ~0.50%, while natural gas futures fell 1.3%.
UNG Is Outperforming Natural Gas Futures
From April 6 to April 13, 2017, the United States Natural Gas ETF (UNG), which aims to track active natural gas futures, fell 2%.
Weak Natural Gas, and What It Means for UNG Investors
From March 9, 2017, to March 16, 2017, the United States Natural Gas ETF (UNG) fell 2.2%. Natural gas futures fell 2.4% during the same period.
How Much the US Dollar Is Impacting Natural Gas Now
Between April 26 and May 3, 2017, natural gas June futures fell 1.3%. The US dollar rose 0.2% during that period.
Rigs Consolidate, Natural Gas Could Benefit
In the week ending September 1, 2017, the natural gas rig count rose by three to 183. On a YoY basis, the natural gas rig count has more than doubled.
Is UNG a Good Way to Track Natural Gas?
From March 16, 2017, to March 23, 2017, the United States Natural Gas ETF (UNG), which is designed to track active natural gas futures, rose 5.7%.
Is $3 Possible for Natural Gas Prices This Week?
Natural gas’s implied volatility was 43.4% on February 24, 2017—6.7% below its 15-day average. Its implied volatility rose to 56.2% on November 14, 2016.
Natural Gas: Is the US Dollar Crucial to Its Rise?
Between April 19 and April 26, 2017, natural gas (GASX) (FCG) (GASL) June futures fell 0.2%. The US dollar (UUP) (UDN) (USDU) fell 0.7% during that period.
Why Natural Gas Traders Need Not Worry about a Rate Hike
Between March 1 and March 8, 2017, natural gas (GASX)(UGAZ) (DGAZ) April futures rose 3.6%.
What to Expect from Natural Gas Next Week
On January 18, 2018, natural gas’s implied volatility was 53.9%, 10.2% above its 15-day average.
Possibilities for Natural Gas Prices Next Week
On December 7, 2017, natural gas’s implied volatility was 40.5% or ~7.5% less than its 15-day average. On November 29, the implied volatility rose to 47.7%.
Natural Gas Could Move above $3 Next Week
On August 24, 2017, natural gas (UNG) (BOIL) futures’ implied volatility was 30.6%. The implied volatility rose 2% above its 15-day moving average.
Could Natural Gas Hit a New 2017 Low Next Week?
On December 14, 2017, the implied volatility of natural gas futures was 40.4%. It was ~5.9% below its 15-day average.
Will Natural Gas Reclaim $3 Next Week?
On October 12, 2017, natural gas implied volatility was 35.9%, 1.7% above its 15-day average.
How the Oil Rig Count Affects Natural Gas Prices
In the week ended September 29, 2017, the natural gas rig count fell by one to 189. On a year-over-year basis, the natural gas rig count has risen ~97%.
Recent Fall in the US Dollar: Crucial for Natural Gas?
Natural gas (GASX) (FCG) (GASL) July futures rose 0.5% on May 17–May 24, 2017. During this period, the US dollar (UUP) (UDN) (USDU) fell 0.3%.
Analyzing Gas-Heavy Stocks amid Falling Natural Gas Prices
From February 17–27, 2017, natural gas futures contracts for April 2017 delivery fell 8.8%. On March 3, 2016, natural gas futures touched a 17-year low.
Natural Gas: Is Expanding Contango Bearish for Prices?
On February 22, 2017, active natural gas (UNG) (FCG) (BOIL) (GASL) futures are trading at a discount of $0.65 to the futures contracts 12 months ahead.
Natural Gas Could Reach the $3.4 Mark Next Week
On November 9, 2017, natural gas had an implied volatility of 43.5%—9.4% more than its 15-day average. Natural gas active futures settled at $3.2 per MMBtu.
How Do Natural Gas Inventories Impact Prices?
According to data from the EIA on December 8, 2016, natural gas inventories fell by 42 Bcf during the week ending December 2, 2016.
Natural Gas Production Could Rise in 2017
The natural gas rig count for the week ending on February 24 was 90.6% lower than its peak in 2008. The rig count reached a historic high of 1,606 in 2008.
Will Natural Gas Prices Fall below $3?
On June 15, 2017, US natural gas (GASX) (BOIL) active futures’ implied volatility was 35.7%, 1.7% above its 15-day average.
Where Could Natural Gas Prices Close Next Week?
On January 25, 2018, natural gas’s implied volatility was at 54.8%, 8% above its 15-day average.
Is Natural Gas Pricing in Colder Weather?
On January 23, 2018, natural gas February 2018 futures settled $0.34 above February 2019 futures.
How Natural Gas ETFs Performed Last Week
Between January 12 and January 19, 2018, the United States Natural Gas ETF (UNG), an ETF that has exposure to natural gas futures, fell 1.7%.
Are the Gains in Natural Gas and Oil Coincidental?
Between January 9 and January 16, 2018, the correlation between natural gas and US crude oil active futures was 52.7%.
How Natural Gas ETFs Are Reacting to Spike in Natural Gas
Between January 5 and January 12, 2018, the United States Natural Gas ETF (UNG), which holds positions in active natural gas futures, gained 14.5%.
Is $3.30 Possible for Natural Gas Next Week?
On January 11, 2018, natural gas’s implied volatility was 49.1%. That’s 7% above its 15-day average.
Possible Downside in Natural Gas Next Week
On December 21, 2017, natural gas prices closed at the lowest closing level since February 23, 2017. Since that day, natural gas futures have risen 11.1%.
Natural Gas ETFs to Watch in 2018
On December 29, 2017, the closing prices of natural gas futures contracts between March 2018 and May 2018 were progressively lower.
Natural Gas Returns and Natural Gas ETFs
From December 15–22, 2017, the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) rose 0.6%.
Are Natural Gas ETFs Outperforming the Natural Gas Fall?
Between December 8 and December 15, the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)—which invests in natural gas near-month futures contracts—fell 5.6%.
Natural Gas: Fall Impacts Natural Gas ETFs
On December 1–8, 2017, the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG), which holds near-month natural gas futures contracts, fell 9.3%.
Rise in Natural Gas Impacts Natural Gas ETFs
On November 24–December 1, 2017, the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG), that follows near-month natural gas futures contracts, rose 4.5%.
How Are Natural Gas ETFs Adjusting to Fall in Natural Gas Prices?
Between November 17 and November 24, 2017, the United States Natural Gas Fund LP (UNG) fell 8.8%.
Analyzing the Downside for Natural Gas Next Week
On November 24–30, natural gas active futures could close between $2.89 and $3.23 per MMBtu (million British thermal units) with a probability 68%.
Will the Inventory Spread Help Natural Gas Rise?
In the week ended November 17, natural gas inventories were cut by 46 Bcf (billion cubic feet) to 3,726 Bcf. The market had expected a fall of 51 Bcf.
Are Natural Gas ETFs Doing Any Better than Natural Gas?
Between November 10 and November 17, the United States Natural Gas Fund LP (UNG) fell 3.2% while natural gas active futures fell 3.6%.
Did Natural Gas ETFs Outperform Natural Gas Last Week?
Between November 3 and November 10, 2017, the United States Natural Gas Fund LP (UNG) rose 8%, only 30 basis points above the gain in natural gas December futures.
Natural Gas versus Natural Gas ETFs Last Week
On October 20–27, natural gas (FCG) (GASL) (GASX) December futures fell 4.8%. During this period, the United States Natural Gas Fund LP (UNG) fell 4.1%.
How Weather Influences Natural Gas Prices
If, in real estate, everything is “location, location, location,” then with natural gas investing, everything is “weather, weather, weather.”
Will Natural Gas Remain above $3 Next Week?
On October 26, natural gas (UNG)(BOIL) futures’ implied volatility was at 38.3%—3.4% above the 15-day average.
Where Natural Gas ETFs Stood next to Natural Gas Last Week
Between October 13 and October 20, 2017, the United States Natural Gas Fund LP (UNG) fell 2.2%, and natural gas November futures fell 2.8%.
Will Natural Gas Fall to $2.7 Levels Next Week?
On October 19, 2017, natural gas futures’ implied volatility was 38.8%, 9.6% above its 15-day average.
Did UNG Outperform Natural Gas in the Week Ended October 6?
Between September 29 and October 6, 2017, the United States Natural Gas Fund ETF (UNG) fell 4.9%, while natural gas (BOIL) (GASX) November futures fell 4.8%.
Could Natural Gas Fall below the $2.8 Mark Next Week?
On October 5, 2017, the implied volatility of US natural gas active futures was at 33.1%, or 7.3% below the 15-day average.
How UNG Fared Compared to Natural Gas Last Week
On September 22–29, 2017, the United States Natural Gas Fund LP (UNG) rose 0.2%, while natural gas (BOIL) November futures fell 0.5%.
Natural Gas Could Regain the $3 Mark Next Week
In the next seven days, natural gas October futures could close between $2.85 and $3.11 per MMBtu (million British thermal units).
Natural Gas Futures Spread: What Investors Should Know
On August 9, 2017, natural gas September 2018 futures traded $0.005 below September 2017 futures.
What to Expect from Natural Gas this Summer
So what are the returns for natural gas in the summer? Again, these numbers look pretty bleak until late summer.
Chart of the Week: Weather Forecast Report for Natural Gas
Weather forecasting agencies predict mild weather in the southern and middle Atlantic regions of the US for the next two weeks.
Is Natural Gas Reacting to the US Dollar?
Between March 3, 2016–June 7, 2017, natural gas active futures rose 84.1% while the US dollar fell 0.8%.
Is the US Dollar a Factor in Natural Gas’s Current Downturn?
The US dollar (UUP) (UDN) (USDU) fell 0.3% between May 24 and May 31, 2017.
Inventories Spread: Will Natural Gas Prices Fall Again?
Natural gas (GASX) (FCG) (GASL) inventories rose by ten Bcf (billion cubic feet) during the week ending April 7, 2017.
Inventories Spread: Why Natural Gas Uptrend Could Be at Risk
According to data from the EIA (U.S. Energy Information Administration) released on March 30, 2017, natural gas inventories fell by 43 Bcf (billion cubic feet) during the week ending March 24, 2017.
Rate Hike Could Impact Your Natural Gas Investments
The Fed hiked the benchmark interest rate on March 15, which could strengthen the dollar. However, natural gas could escape the impact of a stronger dollar.
Will Natural Gas Inventories Support Prices?
According to data from the EIA, natural gas (UNG) (GASX) (UGAZ) inventories fell by 152 Bcf (billion cubic feet) during the week ending February 3, 2017.
Natural Gas Inventories Spread: What Does It Suggest for Prices?
According to data from the EIA released on December 29, 2016, natural gas inventories fell by 237 Bcf during the week ending December 23, 2016.
Will Trump’s Energy Policy Impact Drilling Rigs?
On November 4, the natural gas rig count was 117—three more than the previous week. The number of active natural gas rigs fell by 82 over the past year.
Implied Volatility: Analyzing Crude Oil and Natural Gas
Crude oil’s (UWTI) (USO) (OIIL) (USL) (SCO) (DWTI) implied volatility was 35.4% on October 28, 2016. Its 15-day average implied volatility is 31.6%.
Natural Gas Storage Growth Slows: How to Place Your Bets
According to data from the EIA released on September 29, 2016, natural gas inventories rose by 49 Bcf during the week ending September 23, 2016.
What Were the Implied Volatilities for Crude Oil and Natural Gas?
Crude oil’s (UWTI) (USO) (OIIL) (USL) (SCO) (DWTI) implied volatility was 35.3% on September 30, 2016.
Analyzing the Implied Volatilities of Crude Oil and Natural Gas
Crude oil’s implied volatility was 37.2% on September 16, 2016. Its 15-day average implied volatility is 38.1%.
A Look into the Implied Volatilities of Crude Oil and Natural Gas
Crude oil’s implied volatility was 37.1% on September 9, 2016. Its 15-day average implied volatility is 35.1%.
Implied Volatilities of Crude Oil, Natural Gas in Focus
Crude oil’s implied volatility was 31.6% on August 26, 2016. That’s 18% below its 15-day average.
