iShares North American Natural Resources
Why More than Half of Analysts Rate BP as a ‘Hold’
Analysts’ ratings for BP show that 31% of those surveyed rate it as “buy.” Another 62% rate it as a “hold,” and 7% of analysts rate it as a “sell.”
Plosser on the use of Taylor-like rules in systematic guidance
In this part, we will discuss Dr. Plosser’s views on the use of systematic tools, for example, Taylor-like rules for setting policy rates and communicating these to markets.
Spectra Energy’s Capital Projects Should Fuel Its Dividend Growth
Spectra Energy’s distributable cash flow for 3Q15 was $223 million, compared with $236 million in 3Q14.
How Have Shell’s Segment Dynamics Evolved?
Shell’s upstream segment earnings, which were -$195 million in 1Q15, fell further to -$1.4 billion in 1Q16, excluding identified items.
Is Core Laboratories Meeting Its Fund Obligations Internally?
CLB’s internal cash generation hasn’t been adequate. In 2015, its internal sources of funds as a percentage of external fund requirements was 37%.
Power, labor satisfaction crucial to economy in South Africa
Inflation in South Africa has primarily been fueled by higher food and fuel costs over the years, reaching 5.8% in November 2014.
Has Shell’s Short Interest Risen in 3Q16?
Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) has witnessed a 56% rise in its short interest volumes since June’s end in 2016.
How Does Bill Barrett Plan to Be More Efficient in the DJ Basin?
Bill Barrett (BBG) has been focusing on lowering costs in the Denver-Julesburg (or DJ) Basin. LOE (lease operating expenses) for 3Q16 was $2.45 per boe.
Cabot Oil & Gas: Short Interest Trends in Its Stock
On July 18, 2017, Cabot Oil & Gas’s (COG) short interest ratio was ~4.7%. At the beginning of the year, its short interest ratio was 4.2%.
Why Most Analysts Are Calling Chevron a ‘Buy’
On December 12, 2016, Chevron (CVX) was rated by a total of 26 analysts, 17 of whom assigned “buy” or “strong buy” ratings on the stock.
Rio Tinto: In-Line Aluminum, More-than-Expected Bauxite Production
Rio Tinto (RIO) and Alcan combined in 2007 to form Rio Tinto Alcan, a global leader in the aluminum industry. Its fully integrated facilities include high-quality bauxite mines…
How Natural Gas Prices Have Supported Chesapeake Energy
2016 has been good for natural gas prices (UGAZ). Prices have risen ~34% year-over-year.
XOM Stock Has Risen 5% since September 2016
Crude oil prices have witnessed an uptrend in 2016, recovering from their downfall in 2015. Prices saw weakness in mid-August 2016, but since September 20, 2016, they’ve risen 22%.
What Nabors Industries’ Historical Valuation Suggests
On March 31, 2017, Nabors Industries (NBR) stock was 20.0% lower than it was on December 30, 2016. In 1Q17, NBR’s adjusted earnings were negative.
COG’s Implied Volatility Has Fallen Significantly since Early 2016
Cabot Oil and Gas’s (COG) current implied volatility is ~36.4%, ~3% lower than its 15-day average of 37.4%.
How Halliburton’s Free Cash Flow Turned Around in 2Q17
Halliburton’s (HAL) cash from operating activities (or CFO) in 2Q17 was a huge improvement over 2Q16 as well as an increase over 1Q17.
Why Did Williams Partners Surge in the Past Month?
Williams Partners (WPZ) has returned -0.2% since the beginning of 2016. But it has rallied 55.9% in the past one month.
US Dollar Correction: Why It’s Positive for Copper Producers
US-based copper producers have another reason to celebrate when the US dollar weakens. Their overseas revenue increases when the US dollar weakens.
How National Oilwell Varco’s Valuation Stacks Up with Peers
National Oilwell Varco’s TTM PE (price-to-earnings) multiple of ~15x is lower than its peer average in the group.
What Do Analysts Recommend for Halliburton?
On March 24, 92% of the analysts tracking Halliburton rated it as a “buy,” ~5% rated it as a “hold,” and 3% rated it as a “sell.”
Schlumberger and Cameron International: a Complementary Team
Schlumberger and Cameron are contemplating a merger because their drilling and production systems would be integrated from “pore to pipeline.”
Wall Street Analysts’ Forecasts for National Oilwell Varco
On February 24, ~14% of the analysts tracking National Oilwell Varco rated it as a “buy,” ~74% rated it as a “hold,” and 12% rated it as a “sell.”
How Will Marathon Petroleum’s Refining Earnings Fare in 3Q16?
According to MPC, a dollar-per-barrel change in the blended LLS 6-3-2-1 crack spread affects its annual net income by $450 million.
Wall Street Analysts’ Recommendations for TechnipFMC
In this article, we’ll look at Wall Street analysts’ recommendations for TechnipFMC (FTI) on November 9.
The Energy Transfer Equity–Williams Deal Faces Another Setback
Energy Transfer Equity (ETE) lowered the expected synergies from its merger with Williams Companies (WMB) to $170 million per year due to the fall in energy prices.
Alcoa Realigns Downstream Segment after RTI Metals Acquisition
Alcoa split its downstream business into two segments. The first segment would focus on the aerospace sector, and the other segment would serve the construction and commercial wheels market.
PSX’s Gross Refining Margin Rises to $9.4 per Barrel in 4Q15
Phillips 66 saw its gross refining margin (or GRM) rise by $0.1 per barrel over 4Q14 to $9.4 per barrel in 4Q15.
Analyst Recommendations for Phillips 66 after Its 1Q16 Earnings
Four of the nine companies have rated Phillips 66 (PSX) as “buy,” “overweight,” or “outperform.” Five companies have rated Phillips 66 as a “hold” and none of the firms gave a “sell” rating to PSX.
Permian Basin Defied the Oil Rig Trend in the September 18 Week
Currently, there are 644 working oil rigs in the US. The Permian Basin accounts for 250 of these rigs—more than any other region.
What Do Analysts Recommend for Tesoro?
Barclays and Credit Suisse have given price targets of $133 and $125, respectively, for Tesoro.
Teck Resources Balance Sheet Healthy Despite Challenges
Liquidity and leverage are some of the key metrics that analysts track on any company’s balance sheet. A comfortable liquidity ratio is a positive thing.
What Wall Street Analysts Recommend for Halliburton
On February 15, 2018, approximately 92% of the Wall Street analysts tracking Halliburton rated it a “buy” or some equivalent.
Is Halliburton’s Post-4Q17 Free Cash Flow a Concern?
Halliburton’s operating cash flow Between 4Q16 and 4Q17, Halliburton’s (HAL) CFO (cash from operating activities) deteriorated marginally by 5%, to $1.01 billion from $1.06 billion. Although HAL’s revenue increased, adverse changes in working capital led to its CFO falling in 4Q17. Halliburton makes up 2.4% of the iShares North American Natural Resources ETF (IGE). Since February […]
Halliburton’s Post-4Q17 Net Debt
Halliburton’s net debt Between 4Q16 and 4Q17, Halliburton’s (HAL) total debt decreased 12%, while its cash and marketable securities decreased 42%. In effect, its net debt increased 3% to ~$8.6 billion. Although HAL’s total debt decreased, a steep decline in its cash and marketable securities prevented a fall in net debt. Net debt is aggregate short- and […]
A Peek at Halliburton’s Post-3Q17 Net Debt
Halliburton’s net debt In 3Q17, Halliburton’s (HAL) total debt fell 11% from the year prior, while its cash and marketable securities fell 42%. Its net debt remained at ~$9.0 billion. Despite a decrease in total debt, a steep decline in cash and marketable securities prevented any sharp fall in HAL’s net debt. Is HAL’s credit rating changing? Moody’s maintained Halliburton’s […]
How Will Nabors Industries Use Its Free Cash Flow after 3Q17?
Nabors Industries’ (NBR) cash from operating activities (or CFO) turned negative in 3Q17, compared to a positive CFO a year ago.
National Oilwell Varco’s Valuation Compared to Its Peers
National Oilwell’s valuation, expressed as the TTM PE (price-to-earnings) multiple, isn’t available due to its negative adjusted earnings.
What Wall Street Analysts Are Recommending for Halliburton
On September 5, 2017, 89.0% of Wall Street analysts who are tracking Halliburton stock rated it a “buy” or some equivalent.
Behind Halliburton’s Free Cash Flow, Capex, and Acquisition Strategies
Halliburton’s (HAL) CFO (cash from operating activities) in 2Q17 showed a remarkable improvement over 2Q16. HAL’s CFO was a $346 million in 2Q17.
Understanding Halliburton’s Net Debt after 2Q17
In 2Q17, Halliburton’s (HAL) total debt fell 14% from 2Q16, while its cash and marketable securities fell 31%.
Can Chesapeake Energy Stock Rise from the Doldrums?
Chesapeake Energy stock (CHK) has fallen for most of this year. It picked up slightly in April but wasn’t able to hold those levels.
What Does Nabors Industries’ Historical Valuation Suggest?
Nabors Industries’ PE multiple was not meaningful in 2015 and 2016 as a result of negative adjusted earnings during this period.
How Nabors Could Use Its Free Cash Flow This Year
Nabors Industries’ (NBR) CFO (cash from operating activities) turned positive in 2Q17, compared with its negative CFO in 1Q17.
What Are Nabors Industries’ Capex Plans for 2017?
Nabors Industries’ (NBR) cash from operating activities (or CFO) turned negative in 1Q17, compared to its positive CFO a year earlier.
Analysts’ Recommendations for Halliburton
On June 12, 92% of the analysts tracking Halliburton rated it as a “buy,” ~3% of the analysts rated it as a “sell,” and the other 5% rated it as a “hold.”
Analyzing Halliburton’s Free Cash Flow and Capex Plans
Halliburton’s cash from operating activities (or CFO) in 1Q17 was an improvement over 1Q16, although it was a steep deterioration compared to 4Q16.
What’s Happening to Halliburton’s Net Debt?
In 1Q17, Halliburton’s (HAL) total debt fell 29% compared to a year earlier, while its cash and marketable securities fell 78%.
Upstream Operators’ Capex Could Impact Schlumberger’s Margin
Schlumberger’s EBITDA margin was impacted negatively as upstream companies slashed their budgets. From 1Q16 to 1Q17, Schlumberger’s EBITDA margin fell.
How Does MPC Stock Correlate with WTI?
Marathon Petroleum’s correlation with WTI stands at 0.34. This value shows that the two have a positive but relatively weak correlation.
Short Interest Trends in Cabot Oil & Gas Stock
On April 19, Cabot Oil and Gas’s short interest as a percentage of its float was ~4.5%. At the beginning of the year, its short interest ratio was 4.2%.
Which Way Will MPC’s Refining Earnings Swing in 1Q17?
MPC’s operating income rose 64% YoY to $553 million in 4Q16. The Refining segment’s operating income rose to $219 million in 4Q16 from $179 million in 4Q15.
Behind Valero’s Implied Volatility ahead of the 1Q17 Results
The implied volatility of Valero Energy (VLO) stock now stands at 24%. This level is equal to VLO’s 30-day average implied volatility.
What Is the Relationship between VLO and WTI?
The correlation coefficient between VLO and WTI stands at 0.08.
A Look at Short Interest Trends in Continental’s Stock
Short interest in Continental Resources’ stock On April 4, 2017, Continental Resources’ (CLR) short interest as a percentage of its float (or its short interest ratio) was ~22.8%. Its short interest ratio on December 30, 2016, was 21.5%. CLR closed at $51.54 on December 30, 2016, and $46.20 on April 4, 2017. Peers Concho Resources […]
Refining Stocks’ Implied Volatilities Tumbled in 1Q17
Refining stocks’ implied volatilities have witnessed falls in 1Q17. Marathon Petroleum’s (MPC) implied volatility fell 7% to 27.9% from January 2 to March 31, 2017.
A Look at Chevron’s Refining Margin Trends
Chevron’s refining capacity Before we analyze Chevron’s (CVX) refining margin trends, le’s quickly look at its refining capacity. Chevron’s total refining capacity stands at 1.8 MMbpd (million barrels per day). Most of Chevron’s capacity, around ~1 MMbpd, is in the United States. In the international arena, Chevron has combined refining capacity of 0.3 MMbpd in South […]
How Short Interest in COG Stock Has Been Trending
On March 14, 2017, Cabot Oil and Gas’s (COG) short interest as a percentage of its float (or its short interest ratio) was ~3.5%.
Analyzing Halliburton’s Free Cash Flow and Capex Plan
In this article, we’ll analyze how Halliburton’s (HAL) operating cash flows have trended over the past few quarters. We’ll also discuss its free cash flow (or FCF).
Could Valero’s Refining Margins Soar in 1Q17?
Valero’s Midcon crack indicator rose to $11.90 per barrel in 1Q17 from $10.90 per barrel in 4Q16.
ExxonMobil’s Robust Upstream Portfolio: Poised for Growth
ExxonMobil (XOM) produced 4.1 MMboepd (million barrels of oil equivalent per day) from its worldwide operations in 4Q16.
Understanding the Latest Implied Volatility in Refining Stocks
Marathon Petroleum’s implied volatility currently stands at 28%—the highest level among peers Valero, Tesoro, and Phillips 66.
Refining Stock Betas: Who Could Pop?
On March 2, 2017, Marathon Petroleum’s 90-day beta stood at 2.0—the highest among peers Valero, Tesoro, and Phillips 66.
Understanding the Correlation between MPC’s Stock and Oil Prices
The correlation coefficient of Marathon Petroleum and WTI stands at 0.35—a positive but feeble correlation.
Will Upstream Operators’ Capexes Affect SLB’s 1Q17 Margin?
In the past couple of years, some major US upstream and integrated companies have reduced their capital expenditures (capex) following crude oil’s sharp fall.
What Nabors Industries’ Implied Volatility Suggests
On February 13, 2017, Nabors Industries (NBR) had an implied volatility of 43%.
Will Upstream Operators’ Capex Affect Nabors’ 4Q16 Margin?
In the past couple of years, some of the major US upstream and integrated companies have reduced capital expenditure following crude oil prices’ sharp decline.
Where Do Implied Volatilities in Integrated Energy Stocks Stand?
Implied volatility in Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) currently stands at 16%, which is the highest compared to peers ExxonMobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), and BP (BP).
Analysts’ Ratings for ExxonMobil after Its Earnings
Six analysts gave ExxonMobil a “buy” rating, 13 analysts gave it a “hold” rating, and seven analysts gave it a “sell” rating after its 4Q16 earnings.
How Has ExxonMobil’s Upstream Production Trended?
ExxonMobil (XOM) produced 3.8 MMboepd (million barrels of oil equivalent per day) from its worldwide operations in 3Q16.
Marathon Petroleum’s Refining Margin Outlook for 4Q16
Marathon Petroleum’s (MPC) operating income fell 72% over 3Q15 to $435 million in 3Q16.
Chevron’s 4Q16 Segmental Outlook: Is It Positive?
Chevron’s (CVX) Downstream segment saw its earnings fall 52% YoY to ~$1.1 billion in 3Q16.
Once Again, ExxonMobil Discovers Oil in Guyana
ExxonMobil (XOM) has found oil in the Payara-1 Well in the Stabroek Block, positioned 120 miles offshore Guyana. This is the company’s second discovery in the block.
What’s the Correlation between Valero Stock and WTI?
The correlation coefficient of Valero (VLO) and WTI stands at 0.15. The correlation value for Valero’s stock and oil price show that they have a positive but feeble correlation.
How Have Superior Energy’s Recommendations Changed before the 4Q16 Earnings?
On January 6, 2017, ~70% of the analysts tracking SPN recommended a “buy” or some equivalent for the stock, while ~30% of the analysts issued a “hold.”
Why Is Petrobras’s Valuation Higher Than Peer Average?
After its production update news, Petrobas’s forward PE and EV-to-EBITDA stood at 18.7x and 6.3x, respectively.
Wall Street’s Forecasts for Halliburton before Its 4Q16 Earnings
On January 3, 2017, 90% of the analysts tracking Halliburton (HAL) rated it a “buy” or some equivalent.
Where Is Callon Petroleum Focusing in 2017?
Callon Petroleum (CPE) has been focusing on strengthening its Permian position—specifically, on ramping up its rig count in 2016 and 2017.
Introducing Callon Petroleum
Callon Petroleum (CPE) is an independent exploration and production company with operations focused entirely in the Permian—a pure-play Permian company.
MPC’s Dropdown Plans: Where Do Its Valuations Stand?
After MPC proposed the dropdown plan, MPC’s forward price-to-earnings (or PE) and EV-to-EBITDA stood at 15.7x and 8x, respectively.
Are Analysts Changing Recommendations for Halliburton?
In December so far, 90% of the analysts tracking Halliburton rated it a “buy” or some equivalent.
Why Did Halliburton’s Free Cash Flow Improve?
Halliburton’s cash from operating activities (or CFO) turned positive in 3Q16.
How Is BP’s Leverage Curve Trending?
In 3Q16, BP’s total debt-to-capital ratio stood at 38.9%, higher than the industry average of 36%. Its net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio rose from 0.77x in 3Q14 to 2.3x in 3Q16.
What Are the Short Interest Trends in CLR’s Stock?
On December 13, 2016, Continental Resources’ (CLR) short interest as a percentage of its float (or its short interest ratio) was ~23.4%.
Analyzing Cracks to Predict Valero’s Refining Margin in 4Q16
Now, let’s analyze the refining margin indicators published by Valero Energy (VLO). These indicators point toward VLO’s likely margin trend in 4Q16.
Why Do a Majority of Analysts Rate BP as a ‘Hold’?
BP (BP) plans to rebalance its sources and uses of cash by 2017 at an oil price level of $50–$55 per barrel.
What Do Analysts Recommend for FMC Technologies?
In November, 34% of the analysts tracking FMC Technologies rated it a “buy,” ~55% rated it a “hold,” and only 3% of the analysts rated it a “sell.”
Wall Street Analysts’ Recommendations for Schlumberger
In November, 83% of the analysts tracking Schlumberger rated it a “buy” or some equivalent. The other 18% of the analysts recommended a “hold” or a “sell.”
Where Are Refining Stocks’ Implied Volatilities Positioned?
Marathon Petroleum’s (MPC) implied volatility currently stands at 37%, the highest among its peers.
Why Cabot Awaits the Atlantic and Constitution Pipeline Projects
Cabot Oil & Gas’s stock price momentum has slowed, but its stock has recently been rising, mirroring natural gas prices.
How Did Phillips 66’s Marketing Segment Perform in 3Q16?
Phillips 66’s adjusted EBITDA from its Marketing segment fell 22% from 3Q15 to $429 million in 3Q16 due to weaker marketing margins and lower volumes.
Elliott’s Recommendation: Where Does Marathon’s Valuation Stand?
After Elliott Management’s recommendations, Marathon Petroleum’s forward EV-to-EBITDA multiple stood at 23.1x.
TSO to Acquire WNR: Where Do Their Valuations Stand?
In this article, we’ll look at Tesoro’s (TSO) and Western Refining’s (WNR) valuations following the news of TSO’s acquisition of WNR.
Integrated Energy Stocks’ Post-3Q16 Forward Valuations
XOM trades at 8.3x forward EV-to-EBITDA and 21.2x forward price-to-earnings, both above its peer averages.
How Refining Margins Are Key Indicators of Refining Profitability?
Refining margins are dependent on input crude oil cost, product slate, and prices of refined products and are indicators of overall profitability.
Analysts’ Recommendations for Shell: Most Say ‘Buy’
Shell’s highest and lowest 12-month price targets stand at $66 and $53. It indicates a 27% and 2% rise from its current levels, respectively.
Analyzing Total’s Segmental Earnings in 3Q16
Total’s net adjusted operating earnings from the Upstream segment fell 21% from 3Q15 to $877 million in 3Q16 due to lower crude oil prices.
Suncor: How Analysts Are Rating the Stock after Earnings
An analyst survey shows that six out of eight companies surveyed rated Suncor Energy (SU) an “overweight” or “outperform.”
How Analysts Are Rating Valero ahead of Its 3Q16 Earnings
Eight of the 11 firms rated Valero as a “buy,” “overweight,” or “outperform,” with a high 12-month price target of $73, indicating a potential 35% gain.
Can Delek US Fully Acquire Alon USA?
Delek US Holdings will be transformed if it succeeds in the acquisition of the remaining stake in Alon USA Energy.
Shell’s Segments: Upstream Continues to Report Losses
Falling crude oil prices have changed the segmental dynamics within integrated energy companies such as Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A).