Investment Rationale for Emerging Market Bonds in 2017
Emerging markets have done well this year and should continue to attract investor interest around the globe. Latin America is leading year-to-date.
The Barbell strategy involves putting half your portfolio in defensive, low-beta sectors or assets and the other half in aggressive, high-beta sectors or assets.
Emerging market debt can be a great source of income potential in a diversified portfolio, provided you can manage it during a period of extreme volatility.
The VanEck Vectors EM Local Currency Bond ETF (EMLC) could be a good entry point after it took a hit following rising interest rates and volatility in the US dollar.
You have two options when it comes to investing in emerging market bonds—hard currency bonds and local bonds.
Investors are stepping back into emerging market bonds after removing billions of dollars from emerging markets in 2016.
Strong investor interest in emerging market debt has continued despite adverse political and economic issues in some countries.
According to a recent BofA Merrill Lynch Global Investment strategy report, emerging markets are expected to grow at a modest pace of 4.7% in 2017.
Negative bond yields in Japan and low Fed funds rates in the United States and the Eurozone were one reason emerging market bonds performed well in 2016.
Since the US presidential election, emerging markets have bounced back as though the election never happened.
According to Goldman Sachs’s Jan Hatzius, the momentum in economic activity gained in 3Q16, and the Trump administration’s fiscal measures could help the economy to grow in 2017.
The Trump administration’s protectionist policy decisions are expected to affect global trade.
In a February 3 interview, Jan Hatzius, the chief economist at Goldman Sachs, noted that President Trump’s pro-growth policy decisions should outweigh any impact from protectionism in 2017.
VanEck VectorsTM Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (MOAT) is the only U.S. ETF that seeks to track the Morningstar® Wide Moat Focus IndexSM (the “Index”), a benchmark that combines Morningstar’s measure of quality with…
The demand for emerging market bonds improved when fear of rate hikes abated in 2016. Fundamentals are still favorable for emerging debt markets.
A strengthening dollar impacts the emerging bond market’s performance. Uncertainty started revolving around the performance of emerging market debt.
Donald Trump’s surprise presidential win and the rising dollar called for a sell-off in most emerging market currencies like Mexico and Turkey.
In the emerging market bond space (PCY) (EMLC), high-yield bonds and local currency bonds outperformed hard currency sovereign bonds.
Trump’s unexpected presidential victory caused short-term uncertainty about markets and policies. His win reinforced a reflationary theme in global markets.
Donald Trump’s ambitious infrastructure spending is expected to add jobs in construction, steel manufacturing, and other sectors.