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How Irma, OPEC, the Dollar, and Rigs Are Driving Crude Oil Futures

PART:
1 2 3 4 5 6
Part 5
How Irma, OPEC, the Dollar, and Rigs Are Driving Crude Oil Futures PART 5 OF 6

Why Cushing Crude Inventories Rose for the 4th Time in 5 Weeks

Cushing crude oil inventories 

A market survey estimates that Cushing crude oil inventories fell from September 1 to 8, 2017. Cushing crude oil inventories rose for the fourth time in the last five weeks. A rise in Cushing crude oil inventories is bearish for crude oil (XES)(IEZ) prices.

Lower crude oil (RYE)(IXC) prices have a negative impact on oil and gas producers like the W&T Offshore (WTI), Denbury Resources (DNR), and Cobalt International Energy (CIE).

Why Cushing Crude Inventories Rose for the 4th Time in 5 Weeks

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EIA’s Cushing crude oil inventories 

The US Energy Information Administration released its crude oil and gasoline report on Friday, September 8. It reported that Cushing crude oil inventories rose by 797,000 barrels to 58 MMbbls (million barrels) between August 25 and September 1. Inventories rose 1.3% week-over-week but fell 5.4 MMbbls or 8.5% year-over-year.

EIA’s US crude oil inventories  

US crude oil inventories rose by 4.5 MMbbls (million barrels) or 1% to 462.3 MMbbls between August 25 and September 1. However, inventories fell 18.3 MMbbls or 3.8% from the same period in 2016. US crude oil inventories rose for the first time in ten weeks.

Impact  

Cushing inventories have risen by 2.2 MMbbls or 4% in the last six weeks. But Cushing inventories are down ~15% from its peak. US crude oil inventories are down ~13% from its peak. A fall in US and Cushing crude oil inventories could support crude oil (IXC)(IYE) prices.

Next, we’ll analyze how the US crude oil rig count drives crude oil prices.

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