Guggenheim Shipping ETF
Latest Guggenheim Shipping ETF News and Updates
Scorpio Tankers’ shares in Dorian to be registered for resale
Dorian will be registering for resale, under the Securities Act of 1933 as amended, all the Dorian shares that Scorpio Tankers (STNG) owns. Scorpio Tankers currently owns approximately 9.4 million shares, or 16.3%, of Dorian.
Must-know: Why products supplied are increasing
For the week ending October 3, 2014, total products supplied were 19 million barrels per day (or bpd)—compared to 18.6 million bpd in the first week of September.
Why current secondhand oil tanker values suggest a mixed outlook
While the VLCC data is positive, the picture for the crude tanker business remains mixed. This could portray a short-to-medium-term negative outlook.
Why a pullback in orders is normal in a dry bulk shipping upcycle
On November 1, ship orders for all key dry bulk vessel classes fell. Ship orders reflect managers’ expectations of future supply and demand differences.
Scorpio Tankers adopts a shift in charter mix
For the third quarter of 2014, the charter hire expense increased $1.1 million to $32.9 million, from $31.9 million in the year ago quarter.
China’s key economic conditions: Industrial and electricity output
Because reporting entities sometimes like to dress their numbers up a bit to look nice, analysts also look at electricity output—where government officials say they don’t have much incentive to cook the numbers.
Why China’s iron ore port inventory is marginally higher
China buys around two-thirds of the world’s iron ore—iron ore supply in China outpaced demand by 52 million tons in the first half of 2014, according to the China Iron and Steel Association (or CISA).
Current positive data shows supply to grow below 7% in 2013
In a highly commoditized industry like the shipping industry, capacity is an important metric that directly impacts companies’ top line, or revenue performance. When capacity grows faster than demand, competition will rise among individual shipping firms as they try to utilize idle ships and cover fixed costs. This will lower day rates, which will negatively […]
Chinese investing in cars and real estate drives dry bulk demand
As long as developers continue to snatch up land, more iron ore and coal will be needed at steel mills, which is generally positive for dry bulk shippers.
Why Diana kept buying after its fleet capacity grew 23.75% in 2013
The year 2013 was characterized by significant expansion of Diana Shipping Inc.’s (DSX) fleet, as the dry bulk shipping industry turned a corner.
Despite dividends, Navios is still unattractive to many investors
Dividend yield for Navios Maritime Partners currently stands at 15.8% with the company recently paying a dividend of $0.4425 per common unit.
Why 5- and 10-year Very Large Crude Carrier prices are consistent
Five-year-old VLCC prices remained consistent, at $75 million, with the previous month’s levels. Year-over-year prices increased by 36%. Ten-year-old VLCC prices stood unchanged at $48 million and increased by 41.2% year-over-year.
Capesize rates take out 2012 high, a key driver of share prices
Taking out 2012’s high is important because it reflects tighter supply and demand dynamics than last year, which means higher revenue and earnings from Capesize vessels this year compared to 2012.
Newbuild tanker prices rose, but you should still use caution
October’s increase is generally positive for the long-term prospects of tanker stocks like Frontline ltd. (FRO) or Nordic American Tanker Ltd. (NAT).
Why can Navios Partners give out higher distributions?
While Navios Maritime Partners (NMM) is less sensitive to shipping cycles because of its longer-term contracts and staged expirations, it’s still subject to market rates when contracts roll over.
Weekly tanker digest: Have fundamentals changed? (Part 4)
Continued from Part 3 The importance of capacity Capacity, in a commoditized industry like shipping, is an important metric that directly impacts companies’ top line, or revenue performance. When capacity grows faster than demand, competition will rise among individual shipping firms as they try to use idle ships and cover fixed costs. This will lower day […]
Why China’s iron ore and coal imports declined
China imports almost 60% of the world’s seaborne iron ore while its coal trade accounts for almost a quarter of the global trade.
Gener8 Maritime Partners: Fourth-Best Performer in 2018
Gener8 Maritime Partners’ YTD returns were -10% as of April 5, 2018. Gener8 Maritime Partners is the fourth-best performer among its peers YTD.
Dry bulk shipping industry players and performance
China accounts for a major share of dry bulk commodities’ imports and exports. In the past three months, the Guggenheim Shipping ETF (SEA) dropped 6.1%.
Why 15-year ship prices point to negative outlook for tanker stocks and earnings
Why ship prices (value) matter Ship prices (values) are often good indicators of financial health in the shipping industry. When shipping demand grows more than the supply of ships, shipping companies place additional orders of ships, which drives up purchase prices. Additionally, when firms are able to charge higher prices for transporting goods across the […]
The Baltic Dry Index fell in January but annual growth is positive
The Baltic Dry Index (a benchmark that reflects the overall shipping rate for transporting dry bulks such as iron ore, coal, and grain across the ocean) has fallen quite a bit since the start of the year.
Must-know: Shipping companies hit by China’s financial woes
The impact of China’s financial industry The financial industry is an essential part of an economy. Without a stable financial system—one that supplies liquidity to businesses and individuals and bridges the gap between savers and borrowers—an economy can’t function as efficiently and productively as it could. So, a collapse in the financial industry would grind […]
Why a high cash breakeven cost is risky for Frontline
The cash breakeven costs are the daily rates of Frontline’s (or FRO) vessels. They have to earn the rates to cover budgeted operating costs and dry dock, estimated interest expense, payable at hire, and corporate overhead costs.
7 points that reflect tanker fundamentals say recovery isn’t looming (Part 4)
Continued from Part 3 The importance of capacity Capacity, in a commoditized industry like shipping, is an important metric that directly impacts companies’ top line, or revenue performance. When capacity grows faster than demand, competition will rise among individual shipping firms as they try to use idle ships and cover fixed costs. This will lower […]
An ETF that invests in Soros’s dry bulk shipping experiment
Investors seeking exposure to dry bulk shipping who don’t want to buy six companies like Soros did can use the Guggenheim Shipping ETF (SEA).
US oil production expected to hit record in 2013, negative for tankers
US oil rig count is a leading indicator of US oil production and oil imports. Since 2008, a boom in US oil industry has negatively impacted demand for tankers (see Tankers will likely underperform dry bulk ships in 2013)— vessels that transport oil across ocean. Higher US oil production, due to application of technologies called […]
Why the OECD leading indicator drives dry bulk shipping cycles
Because the month-to-month data can contain short-term statistical noise that doesn’t reflect long-term fundamental changes, a six-month change or year-over-year change is often used.
Egypt tension pushes oil past $109, shipping rates rise, but downside for tankers
Tanker stocks tied to oil prices Tanker stocks often move in tandem with oil prices in a demand-driven market. But because tanker companies also use oil to run their ships, a price increase in oil due to supply shocks (such as political disruptions in the Middle East) also affects tanker firms differently. To get a […]
Why the Baltic Dry Index is decreasing
The Baltic Dry Index measures the cost of major raw materials. The raw materials are transported by sea in the global economy. It indicates a strict demand supply price situation.
Maturing contracts present significant downside for certain shipping firms
The two main markets for shipping companies, such as DryShips Inc. (DRYS), Diana Shipping Inc. (DSX), Navios Maritime Partners LP (NMM) and Safe Bulkers Inc. (SB), are spot (voyage) and time charter (period). Companies that engage in the spot market will charge a one-time fee that customers pay to have a certain amount of goods […]
China’s thermal power output recorded a downfall
China’s power consumption in August was 502.5 billion kilowatt hours (or kWh). This was a decline of 1.5% from the levels last year.
Capacity growth portrays short-term negative but long-term positive for shipping
In a highly commoditized industry, like the shipping industry, capacity is an important metric that directly impacts companies’ top line, or revenue performance. When capacity grows faster than demand, competition will rise among individual shipping firms as they try to utilize idle ships and cover fixed costs. This will lower day rates, which will negatively […]
Why Frontline is on the verge of bankruptcy
Industry analysts suggest that investors should avoid Frontline because of the bankruptcy risk. Currently, the company is facing bankruptcy. This is led by the $190 million bond that’s due in April 2015.
Recommendation: Capitalize on dry bulk shipping’s cyclical waves
The dry bulk shipping industry is cyclical mainly due to economic or business cycles as well as a long lead time between the placement of orders and the delivery of new vessels.
Shipping recovery continues with additional purchases, long-term opportunity
Ship orders apply most to long-term investments Ship orders reflect managers’ assessments of the industry’s future demand and supply balance. Dry bulk shipping companies will often place new orders when future demand is expected to increase more than supply, on the condition that they expect to generate profits with new vessels.[1. Dry bulk shipping companies […]
Why high shipping capacity growth will continue to pressure tanker earnings
Update to Shipping capacity growth drops but outpaces demand, negative for tanker stocks The importance of capacity In a highly commoditized industry, like the shipping industry, capacity is an important metric that directly impacts companies’ top line, or revenue performance. When capacity grows faster than demand, competition will rise among individual shipping firms as they try […]
Must-know: Baltic Dry Index bouncing from its 52-week low
The Baltic Exchange Dry Bulk Index (BDIY) is a composite of rates for different ship sizes factoring in the average daily earnings of capsize, panama, supramax, and handysize dry bulk transport vessels.
Must-know: Why the crude tanker orderbook is expanding
In order to assess the industry’s fundamental outlook, managers use the oil tanker orderbook. It’s an important yardstick. It includes the number of ships that have been ordered and the number of ships under construction. A rising orderbook usually suggests that oil tankers have a better expectation for future supply and demand dynamics.
Why the flat oil rig count won’t hinder product tanker demand
US rotatory rig count: The forefront of future oil production The US Crude Oil Rotary Rig Count is a valuable indicator that shows how much drilling activity is occurring in the United States, tracking the number of rotating drills that are drilling into the Earth’s crust in search of oil or developing oil wells. The […]
Tankships seeks to expand its fleet size through acquisitions
Tankships seeks to expand its fleet size through timely and selective acquisitions of additional secondhand modern tankers and the available optional vessels.
Dry bulk opportunity: The Baltic Dry Index might have bottomed
The BDI (Baltic Dry Index) is a widely followed metric that reflects the overall rates of moving dry bulk cargoes like iron ore, coal, and grain across water.
Why the dry bulk shipping industry is weakening
Numerous factors like world economic growth and commodity supply and demand affect the dry bulk shipping industry.
Must-read: Financial woe abroad drags tankers down, outlook negative
Continued from Why oil price is a key driver of tanker stocks The impact of China’s financial industry The financial industry is an essential part of any economy. Without a stable financial system—one that supplies liquidity to businesses and individuals and bridges the gap between savers and borrowers—an economy can’t function as efficiently and productively […]
Panamax vessel price reveals low dry bulk orders, negative implication
The price of a Panamax ship depends on two factors: the amount of cash the ship can generate within its useful life and the cost of steel.
Weekly tanker digest: Have fundamentals changed? (Part 2)
Continued from Part 1 The significance of ship orders One measure that reflects managers’ assessment of future supply and demand differences is the number of ships on order. When managers expect future demand to increase more than supply, if they also expect to generate profits with the investment, they will often place new ship orders. But […]
Why Canadian crude exports to the US are on a high
According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (or EIA), for the week ending September 12, 2014, U.S. crude oil imports from Canada hit a record high of 2.99 million barrels per day (or bpd). This was a 20% increase from the same period last year. Meanwhile, the four-week average on September 12 was 2.93 million bpd.
Outlook for global growth and tanker fleet for Teekay Tankers
Looking ahead to 2015, Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) forecasts 2.0% net global tanker fleet growth with major contribution from the product tanker sector. There is a negative fleet growth estimate for the Suezmax and uncoated Aframax sectors.
Shipping industry recovery is real, but timing remains uncertain
Ship orders reflect managers’ assessments of the industry’s future demand and supply balance. Dry bulk shipping companies will often place new orders when future demand is expected to increase more than supply, on the condition that they expect to generate profits with new vessels.[1. Dry bulk shipping companies engage in the transportation of dry raw […]
Why the Baltic Dirty Tanker Index going south
Analysts and money managers follow the Baltic Dirty Tanker Index (or BDTI). They follow the Index to assess the crude oil shipping industry’s revenue and earnings potential. The Baltic Dirty Tanker Index decreased to 699 on August 29, 2014. It was 826 at the beginning of the month.
Weekly product tanker capacity growth rises, crude tanker falls
While annual capacity growth still remains above 3.5% for crude tankers and even higher for product tankers, it has come down since April, which is a positive sign.