Amid the trade war, weakening economic indicators, and the yield curve inversion, Jeffrey Gundlach believes the Fed has lost control of interest rates.
Ray Dalio mentioned in a LinkedIn post on Wednesday that it’s important for investors to explore the market paradigm in which they’re currently operating.
Among miners, Eldorado Gold (EGO), New Gold (NGD), IAMGOLD (IAG), and Barrick Gold (GOLD) have seen the highest gains of 50.6%, 44.4%, 40.3%, and 36.4%, respectively.
Gold is now trading close to a six-year high following the Fed’s dovish pivot at its June policy meeting. After being range-bound for the last five years, gold has finally broken out and its outlook is bullish.
Gold futures registered their single largest one-day jump of 2.8% on June 20 following the Fed’s dovish stance at its June meeting. While the Fed kept rates unchanged, it hinted at future rate cuts if the conditions warrant them, which sent gold prices soaring.
During DoubleLine’s investor webcast on June 13, Jeffrey Gundlach said, “I am certainly long gold.” His call on gold is based on his expectation that the US dollar (UUP) will finish lower this year.
Fed rate cuts Fed policymakers are set to meet on June 18 and 19. Whereas the market has not priced in a rate cut in June, at least two rate cuts are expected by the end of the year. Amid the overall slowdown, US employment had been a bright spot until last month’s jobs report showed fissures may be appearing in the […]
Among senior and intermediate miners (JNUG) (GDX), New Gold (NGD), Barrick Gold (GOLD), Eldorado Gold (EGO), and Kinross Gold (KGC) have the fewest “buy” ratings from analysts, at 0.0%, 16.0%, 38.5%, and 40.0%, respectively.
IAMGOLD (IAG) comes third, after Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) and Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM), as far as the most “buy” ratings for gold stocks are concerned.
Gold miners usually act as a leveraged play on gold prices. In 2018, the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) fell 9.3%, amplifying the 1.9% fall in gold prices (GLD).
Of the 20 analysts covering Kinross Gold (KGC) as per the consensus compiled by Thomson Reuters, 40% have given it “buy” ratings, and 55% have given it “holds.”
According to the World Gold Council, holdings in gold-backed ETFs and similar products rose by 69 tons in 2018, equivalent to $3.4 billion worth of inflows.
Unlike other banks, BNP Paribas has a negative bias for gold going into 2019. Harry Tchilinguirian, global head of commodity markets strategy at BNP Paribas, is negative on gold (SGOL)(GLD).
For a large part of the year, gold prices (GLD) have languished due to a strong US dollar (UUP), hawkish Fed rate hike outlook, and rising equity markets.
For most of the year, gold prices (GLD) have languished, thanks to a strong US dollar (UUP), hawkish Fed rate hike outlook, and strength in the equity markets.
The yield curve tracks the yields of Treasury securities maturing at different times. For example, the yield of two-year securities (SHY) is usually lower than that of ten-year securities (IEF)(TLT).
According to the COT report for the week ended August 24, detailing holdings as of August 21, money managers were net short on gold for the ninth straight week.
According to the COT report for the week ended June 26, 2018, money managers were barely net long on gold with just over 4,000 net speculative long contracts.
So far in this series, we’ve looked at various factors impacting gold’s outlook in 2018. The most recent factor supporting gold prices is the fear of a full-blown trade war.
IAMGOLD (IAG) has many organic growth opportunities. It’s pursuing expansion opportunities at existing deposits and expects initial resource estimates at Monster Lake, Nelligan, and Eastern Borosi.
None of the analysts covering Kinross Gold (KGC) recommended a “sell” rating on the stock. 40% of them have “buy” ratings, while 60% suggest a “hold” for the stock.
We looked at Wall Street analysts’ ratings for senior miners in the previous part of this series. In this article, we’ll look at analysts’ estimates for gold mining companies’ (GDX)(JNUG) top and bottom lines.
After discretionary cuts on exploration and capital expenditure, gold miners (GDX)(JNUG) have started to refocus on production growth. We’ll discuss these initiatives in this part of our series.
As with most timeframes in the market, the laggards are a mix of surprising and obvious names (in hindsight, of course). This October, they stand out a little more than usual since so many asset classes are up this year.
Gold has had a solid year so far, up 13.5% through mid-October. And though it peaked in early September at over $1,350 per ounce, it had a quick drop back to $1,261 in early October only to bounce back over $1,300 in mid-October.
Mining stocks have bounced back from the choppy markets we’ve seen over the past month. On July 20, most mining stocks saw upward movements in their prices.
In this article, we’ll look at some important technical indicators for Coeur Mining (CDE), Barrick Gold (ABX), Buenaventura (BVN), and AngloGold Ashanti (AU).
Leveraged mining funds such as the Direxion Daily Junior 3X Gold Miners (JNUG) and the ProShares Ultra Gold (AGQ) also have significant correlations with their respective precious metals.
Mining funds such as the leveraged Direxion Daily Gold Miners (NUGT) and the Direxion Daily Junior Bull Gold 3X (JNUG) rose substantially at the beginning of 2017.
US equity market euphoria US equity markets (SPY) (SPX) (DIA) (DOW) have been on a high since President Trump’s win in November 2016. Hopes of deregulation, tax cuts, and fiscal spending have spurred the markets, which have risen more than 10% in the last four months. Market participants’ take During a Bloomberg interview, BlackRock’s Global […]
Mining companies with high correlations to gold include Randgold Resources (GOLD), Yamana Gold (AUY), Pan American Silver (PAAS), and Coeur Mining (CDE).
Precious metals prices have been falling since Donald Trump won the US presidential election on November 8, 2016. As a result, mining stocks have also been falling.
Valuation for capital-intensive industries The EV-to-EBITDA (enterprise value to earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) multiple is a good valuation measure for capital-intensive industries. It helps investors compare companies with varying capital structures. Higher multiples The chart above compares gold miners’ EV-to-forward EBITDA multiples and EBITDA margins for 2017. Among North American intermediate gold […]
Could production accelerate? Goldcorp (GG) missed its production estimate in 3Q16. Goldcorp has committed $1 billion to growth and expects to see production growth of 20% to 3 million ounces in the next five years. During its investor day on January 17, 2017, the company outlined several drivers for this. For an in-depth discussion of these drivers, […]
Intermediate gold miners are smaller than senior gold miners in terms of production and market capitalization, but they’re still generally liquid, unlike their junior counterparts.
