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  • uploads///european
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Markets Extend Rally on Stimulus Hopes, FTSE 100 Remains Flat

    The FTSE 100, the United Kingdom’s major index (EWU), has been on rising trend after the sharp fall for two days following the Brexit referendum.

    By David Meyer
  • uploads///italy inflation rate
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Italy’s Inflation Rate Rose in August: EWI Fell 0.40%

    According to the August 31 release by the ISTAT, the EU’s harmonized inflation rate in Italy rose to an impressive 0.50% in August on a YoY (year-over-year) basis.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///greece parliamentary results
    Miscellaneous

    The Next Act In The Greek Political Drama

    The stage is set for the next act in the Greek political drama. With the anti-austerity Syriza firmly at the helm of affairs, it will be a turbulent ride for the Eurozone.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • uploads///greece election seats
    Miscellaneous

    Subdued market reaction to Syriza party win in Greece

    The Syriza party win ends over four decades of alternating rule by the New Democracy party and the Pasok party.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///High Level of Unemployment in Greece
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Greece’s Unemployment Falls, but Still the Highest Among Peers

    Europe’s average unemployment has fallen to a four-year low of 9.8% as of 2016. Greece’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 23.5% in January 2017.

    By Mary Sadler
  • uploads///Greece unemployment rate
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Greece needs to pick up economic momentum

    The subdued economic momentum in Greece has had a direct—and negative—impact on its ability to honor its foreign obligations, specifically its bailout loan.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///Big  PMI
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    August PMI Reports for the Big 4: Italy, France, Spain, Germany

    Italy’s August Manufacturing PMI slipped to 53.8 level in August, down from July’s four-year-high of 55.3. The reading was well supported by an increase in new orders at manufacturers.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///balkan grexit contagion
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Should Investors Be Concerned about a Grexit?

    Grexit might not precipitate a financial contagion, but the possibility of a political contagion is very likely. Spain and Italy may decide to follow suit.

    By Heidi Richardson
  • uploads///GREK
    Financials

    Why are investors becoming bearish for Greek bonds and stocks?

    After four years under a rescue program by the IMF, the EU, and ECB, Athens has largely repaired its finances.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Financials

    Must-know: What caused the Greek, Irish, and Spanish debt issues?

    Tourism revenues—a key revenue component for all these countries—declined substantially because foreign tourists stayed away during the aftermath of the Great Recession. Key industries were also affected—notably cyclical industries like shipping.

    By Phalguni Soni
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why the European Central Bank Is Optimistic about Growth

    At its April 26 meeting, the ECB’s (European Central Bank) governing council sounded optimistic about the European Union’s growth momentum.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why the IMF Upgraded Its Eurozone Growth Forecast

    The International Monetary Fund (or IMF) has upgraded its growth projections for Eurozone countries, including France, Germany, Italy, and Spain.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    What’s behind the European Central Bank’s Normalization Plans?

    Economic growth has picked up in recent quarters. According to data from Eurostat, the European economy (VGK) grew 2.3% in the recent quarter.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Strong European GDP Growth Momentum Gives Confidence to the ECB

    In its September 7 meeting, the ECB (European Central Bank) governing council sounded optimistic about the strong growth momentum in the EU.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why the International Monetary Fund Expects Continued Euro Growth

    Growth projections for Euro area upgraded The International Monetary Fund (or IMF) has revised its growth projections for France, Germany, Italy, and Spain. Growth projections for Germany (FGM), France (EWQ), and Italy (EWI) were upgraded by 0.2% for 2017, and 0.1% for 2018. Spain (EWP) had a higher upgrade to growth expectations, with a change of […]

    By Ricky Cove
  • uploads///Vodafone H Post Italy Service Revenue
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Why Vodafone Italy’s EBITDA Margin Keeps Growing

    In fiscal 1H17, Vodafone Group’s (VOD) revenue in Italy (EWI) rose ~2.5% YoY (year-over-year) to ~3 billion euros (about $3.13 billion) in fiscal 1H17.

    By Ambrish Shah
  • uploads///DM
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Why Monetary Policy Remained in Focus in October

    Like in September, monetary policy and associated releases were made headlines throughout October.

    By David Ashworth
  • uploads///Euro Zones Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    ECB Keeps Markets Guessing on Monetary Policy

    The ECB (European Central Bank) released its latest monetary policy statement on October 20, 2016.

    By David Ashworth
  • uploads///european
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Italian Banks Led Gains in European Markets

    Critical European markets (DBEU) were all trading on a positive note on August 23, 2016. The rise was led by the Italian FTSE MIB.

    By David Meyer
  • uploads///pmi
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    What Does the Global Markit Services PMI Show?

    Markit published the July services PMI number for European countries (EZU) on August 3. The services activity expanded in Europe.

    By David Meyer
  • uploads///growth
    Miscellaneous

    Analyzing Scenarios in the IMF’s Report: What to Expect

    The IMF looks at two risk scenarios for estimating the growth forecasts in case of increased risks. The two new scenarios are “downside” and “severe.”

    By David Meyer
  • uploads/// Euro NPL
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Where Should Investors Turn in the Wake of Brexit Results?

    As concerns about weak economic growth are further aggravated in the aftermath of Brexit, European (EZU) stocks are likely to see downward trends for the rest of the year.

    By Richard Turnill
  • uploads///calendar
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    European Central Bank Will Be in the Limelight This Week

    The major event of the macro calendar of the week starting July 18 will be the ECB’s (European Central Bank) monetary policy meeting on July 21, 2016.

    By David Meyer
  • uploads///French inflation
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    French Inflation Rose: Will It Impact the ECB’s Stimulus Decision?

    Consumer prices in France increased by 0.2% on an annual basis in June—compared to unchanged inflation in the previous month.

    By David Meyer
  • uploads/// Euro Inflation
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Why the Eurozone’s Recovery Isn’t Broad-Based Yet

    Though there are green shoots appearing in European economies, the Eurozone’s (EZU) (VGK) growth is still facing stiff long-term headwinds.

    By Jean Boivin
  • uploads///retailsales
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Eurozone’s Subdued Retail Sales and Services PMIs Add to Worries

    The Eurostat released the Eurozone’s (DFE) retail sales data for April on June 4, 2016. Retail sales remained unchanged.

    By David Meyer
  • uploads///greece
    Miscellaneous

    How Does the Greek Debt Crisis Impact the Eurozone?

    Greece’s debt was around 250 billion euros. It’s nearly 175% of its 2013 GDP figures. The GDP could fall more in 2016. The debt crisis started in 2010.

    By Sarah Sands
  • uploads///Italy
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Italy’s Trade Surplus Widened with Declining Imports in September

    According to the National Institute of Statistics (or ISTAT), Italy’s goods and services surplus rose to 2.2 billion euros in September 2015 compared to 2.0 billion euros a year ago.

    By Lara Sheldon
  • uploads///italy inflation rate
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Italy’s Inflation Rate Rose to 0.3% in July, yet EWI Fell 0.88%

    The ECB’s (European Central Bank) monetary stimulus package seems to be working well for most Eurozone economies, especially Italy.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • uploads///greece GDP and debt
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Greece Is Opposed to the Austerity and Reform Agenda

    Greece is opposed to the austerity and reform agenda. In the past, austerity measures helped reduce Greece’s fiscal deficit, but reduction came at a heavy price: crippling social and economic impacts.

    By Shelly Vinson
  • uploads///greek debt estimates
    Miscellaneous

    Deadlock Over The ‘Bridge To Nowhere’

    The emergency meeting in Brussels of all the Eurozone (EZU) finance ministers on February 11 ended in a deadlock over the “bridge to nowhere”.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • uploads///Grexit
    Miscellaneous

    Exiting the Eurozone: The implications of a ‘Grexit’

    Exiting the Eurozone would mean Greece would no longer be bound by the austerity measures that have resulted in massive cuts to public spending.

    By Surbhi Jain
  • Financials

    Why are yields in the Eurozone at an all-time low?

    Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank (or ECB) and former Goldman Sachs (GS) managing director, unveiled a suite of stimulus measures on Thursday, June 5 at the ECB’s policy meeting. Initially, bond yields fell. Yields on short and long-term debt in the Eurozone also fell.

    By Surbhi Jain
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