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Upcoming French Elections Could Impact Gold

Meera Shawn - Author

Apr. 19 2017, Published 12:00 p.m. ET

French elections

Since the French elections are right around the corner, investors might start parking their money in safe-haven assets like gold. The first round of France’s presidential election will be on April 23. An unpredictable outcome, just like President Trump’s victory, could push precious metals. Investors have their eyes glued on the elections.

There’s a chance that the French elections could have a positive impact on market volatility, which in turn impacts gold.

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Volatility and gold

Overall market volatility plays closely on precious metals and their safe-haven bids. The relationship between gold and volatility, or VIX, is shown in the above chart. Volatility and gold are expected to walk hand-in-hand, although that doesn’t always happen.

Recently, volatility markets (VIXY) (VXX) displayed strange behavior. Volatility has been falling since November 2016. As a result, investors in the volatility market are facing losses. The VIX index fell to a three-year low in January 2017. However, the index slowly recovered as unrest from North Korea gripped the markets.

Funds and miners

The Physical Silver Shares ETF (SIVR) and the Physical Swiss Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) have seen a YTD (year-to-date) rise of 14.8% and 12.1%, respectively.

Miners that have seen a massive YTD rise include Goldcorp (GG), Alamos Gold (AGI), First Majestic Silver (AG), and Royal Gold (RGLD).


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