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  • uploads///DMA
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Valero’s Stock Performance: Gained 20% from February 2016

    Valero Energy (VLO) has witnessed a rise in its stock price since February 2016. In this series, we will provide you with an update on the company’s operations, financials, and market performance.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///broader market performance in april
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How Will a Busy Week of Macros Affect Markets?

    The first week of May is packed with key macro events. On the monetary front, we have the FOMC meeting scheduled during the week and the all-important April jobs numbers set to come out on Friday.

    By Ricky Cove
  • uploads///Throughput
    Company & Industry Overviews

    This US Refiner Had the Highest Utilization Rate in 1Q17

    Tesoro (TSO) achieved a 92% refinery utilization rate in 1Q17—the highest among our select group of four major US refiners.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Expectations of Federal Funds Rate Range For End
    Energy & Utilities

    Why the Divergence on the Rate Hike Timing in the US?

    As a group, policymakers seem utterly confused regarding their reading of the economic situation, inflation, and the labor market.

    By David Ashworth
  • uploads///gains required to win
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How You Can Win More By Losing Less

    Most investors focus much of their time on picking assets that have the potential to win. However, limiting downside risk is just as important.

    By Dennis Stattman
  • uploads///Historic Valuations
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Why Are BP’s Valuations Higher than Its Historical Average?

    Falling oil prices have led to many projects’ becoming unviable for BP and other integrated energy companies such as Petrobras, Chevron, and Royal Dutch Shell.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Ref Margin
    Company & Industry Overviews

    How Tesoro’s Refining Margins Panned Out in 2Q16

    Tesoro noted a fall in its gross refining margin of $3.4 per barrel YoY to $15.7 per barrel in 2Q16. Its operating costs fell $0.9 per barrel YoY to $5 per barrel.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Annotated
    Company & Industry Overviews

    What Do Analysts’ Ratings for Phillips 66 Suggest?

    About 41% of the surveyed analysts who cover Phillips 66 (PSX) rate the company a “buy.” Another 53% rate it a “hold.”

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Upstream
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Is Shell’s Upstream Production Poised for Growth?

    Following its BG Group acquisition, Royal Dutch Shell produced 3.7 MMboepd (million barrels of oil equivalent per day) in 1Q16 from its worldwide operations.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    What Led to the Decline of the ISM New Orders Index in April?

    The ISM New Order Index for April was reported at 61.2, which represented the fourth consecutive monthly decline for the index.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    What to Make of the January Decline in ISM New Orders Index

    This ISM New Order Index is a diffusion index, and the respondents are asked to rate the conditions of their industry as either good or bad.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    What Drove the ISM New Orders Index to a 13-Year High?

    The ISM publishes a monthly manufacturing report on changes in new orders, supplier deliveries, inventories, production, and employment.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Analyzing the Institute of Supply Management’s New Orders Index

    The Institute of Supply Management’s New Orders Index The ISM’s (Institute of Supply Management) New Orders Index is a monthly report on changes in new orders, supplier deliveries, inventories, production, and employment. New orders are a measure of future activity in any industry (VIS), as companies’ production depends on incoming orders. The ISM’s New Orders […]

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    What to Make of the Fall in the October ISM New Orders Index

    The ISM New Order Index for October was reported to be 63.4 compared to a reading of 64.6 in September.

    By Ricky Cove
  • uploads///bloomberg
    Company & Industry Overviews

    IBM’s Stock Buyback Program Adds $3 Billion

    On October 31, 2017, IBM (IBM) announced the addition of another $3.0 billion to its stock buyback program.

    By Anne Shields
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    Healthcare

    What to Make of the Sharp Rise in New Orders Index

    The ISM New Orders Index for September was reported at 64.6 compared to 60.3 in August.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Healthcare

    Should Investors Worry about New Orders Trending Lower?

    New Orders Index The Institute for Supply Management (or ISM) collects data from 400 industries across the United States to construct its New Orders Index. The monthly index, which tracks changes in new orders, is a diffusion index, which means it tracks differences between the number of positive and negative responses. A reading above 50, which means […]

    By Ricky Cove
  • uploads///
    Healthcare

    Should We Worry about a Drop in New Orders?

    New Orders Index The ISM[1.Institute for Supply Management] New Orders Index tracks changes in the number of orders across 400 industrial companies. The ISM conducts a monthly survey to monitor changes in employment, production, inventories, supplier deliveries, and new orders. It is a diffusion index, meaning it tracks the net difference between the number of […]

    By Ricky Cove
  • uploads///
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Medium Term Risks Seen by the International Monetary Fund

    Risks seen by the International Monetary Fund In its WEO (World Economic Outlook) update, the International Monetary Fund (or IMF) listed risks to its forecasts. This report, released on July 23, contains updates to the IMF’s projections for many global economies. In a summary of all the risks faced by the global economy, the IMF […]

    By Ricky Cove
  • uploads///Part
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    The Fed Sees These as Vulnerabilities in the Market

    Yellen’s financial outlook remained upbeat, but she pointed to the availability of substantial amounts of capital and liquidity in the banking system as potential vulnerabilities.

    By Ricky Cove
  • uploads///PART
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How Will S&P 500 React to Another Rate Hike This Year?

    The Fed’s decision had a limited impact on the S&P 500 (SPY), which closed last week at 2,433.2, a gain of 0.06% for the week.

    By Ricky Cove
  • uploads/// Pie
    Real Insights

    Jury Hasn’t Decided on ETFs’ Role in Stock Market Rise

    Although ETF (VTV) ownership increased substantially during the last 20 years, it still isn’t high enough to meaningfully impact stock prices.

    By Peter Barnes
  • uploads///part
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    The S&P 500 Is above 2,400: Will Traders Continue to Buy?

    US markets (ITOT) have continued to rise since the US election and have remained in positive territory in the last six months.

    By Ricky Cove
  • uploads///Part
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why S&P 500 Speculative Bets Are off the Table

    CFTC data released on Friday indicated that commercial traders maintained a net position of 5,756 contracts in the previous week.

    By Ricky Cove
  • uploads///part
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Markets Celebrate a Macron Victory: Will the Rally Continue?

    Market participants and analysts received welcome relief after the results of the second round of the French elections didn’t result in a surprise like the Brexit poll or the US election results.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Your May FOMC Meeting Update

    The FOMC has stuck to the script written by markets (SPY) and left interest rates unchanged at its May meeting.

    By Ricky Cove
  • uploads///IH
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Institutional Holdings in VLO Are on the Rise

    Institutional holdings in Valero Energy (VLO) stand at ~81% currently.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Correlation
    Company & Industry Overviews

    How Does Chevron’s Stock Correlate with Oil Prices?

    Correlation coefficient In this series, we’ve analyzed Chevron’s (CVX) Mafumeira Sul project, stock movement, dividend yield, PEG (price-to-earnings-to-growth), ratio, beta, short interest, implied volatility, institutional holdings, and valuation. In this part, we’ll see how Chevron’s stock correlates with oil prices. The correlation coefficient shows the relationship between two variables. A correlation coefficient value of zero […]

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Throughput
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Assessing the Highest Utilization Rate among Refiners in 4Q16

    Refiners’ throughput and utilization rates indicate the quantity of oil and other feedstock processed as a percentage of total refining capacity.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Correlation
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Chevron and WTI: A Correlation Analysis

    Integrated energy companies such as Chevron are affected by volatility in crude oil prices. To what degree they’re affected varies from company to company.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Expectations of Federal Funds Rate Range For End
    Energy & Utilities

    Janet Yellen at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium 2016

    In this series, we’ll focus on Yellen’s remarks at Jackson Hole last week and what tools the Fed had before and during the Great Recession. We’ll also see what Yellen expects in the future.

    By David Ashworth
  • uploads///Q margins overview
    Consumer

    Coty’s Reported and Adjusted Operational Margins: What Happened?

    Coty (COTY) reported a decline in its gross margin in 4Q16 as well as fiscal 2016. The reported gross margin came in at 56.7% for 4Q16.

    By Penny Morgan
  • uploads///fdfedebbbcccbfbcfbaa
    Basic Materials

    Why Janus Thinks Ignoring Inflation Is a Mistake

    In this series, we’ll look at the Janus Asset Allocation team’s views on inflation, policy measures, and asset allocation (ITOT) (NEAR), given its assertion that inflation pressures are building.

    By David Ashworth
  • uploads/// Top  MR ETF INFLOWS
    Miscellaneous

    Category Flows: ETF Construction Matters!

    The iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF (ITOT) saw by far the largest inflows within our ETF universe last week.

    By Meikel Mokry
  • uploads///Q Innovation
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Will Innovation Drive 2Q16 Revenues for Consumer Packaged Goods?

    In its fiscal 3Q16 earnings release, Procter & Gamble (PG) announced continued investment in innovation, new user trials, and improved consumer value.

    By Penny Morgan
  • uploads///Stocks
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Factors Affecting Refining Margin: Trend in 2Q16

    According to the EIA, gasoline and distillate stocks fell by a massive 15.4 million barrels and 12.2 million barrels, respectively, on June 3, 2016 from their highs of February 26, 2016.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Q Fragranceoverview
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Estée Lauder’s Fragrance Segment’s Brands Saw Mixed Results

    Estée Lauder’s (EL) fragrance segment’s reported revenue rose 4.6% in reported terms and 7% on a constant-currency basis to $0.3 billion in fiscal 3Q16.

    By Penny Morgan
  • uploads///Peer Comparison
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Tesoro’s Forward Valuations: A Peer Comparison

    Looking at Tesoro’s forward valuations, we see that it’s trading at a two-year forward PE ratio of 9.8x, above its peer average of 8.6x.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///
    Earnings Report

    Why Analysts Expect Papa John’s 1Q16 EPS to Rise

    In 1Q16, analysts expect Papa John’s to post EPS (earnings per share) of $0.63. This represents growth of 14.5% from $0.55 in 1Q15.

    By Rajiv Nanjapla
  • uploads///lin dividend
    Earnings Report

    Why Lincoln Electric Is Included in Dividend Channel SAFE 25 List

    For fiscal 2015, Lincoln Electric (LECO) successfully gave back $486 million to its shareholders.

    By Jessica Stephans
  • uploads///lin stock comp
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Has Lincoln Electric Outperformed Its Peers?

    For fiscal 2015, Lincoln Electric (LECO) successfully gave back $486 million to its shareholders.

    By Jessica Stephans
  • uploads///lin cash de
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Why Did Lincoln Electric’s Debt Surge 200% in 2015?

    Lincoln Electric (LECO) has been successful in keeping a low debt-to-equity ratio. This shows the company is using less leverage and has a strong equity position.

    By Jessica Stephans
  • uploads///DMA
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Why Eni’s Stock Has Been Rising since February

    Integrated energy stocks have been rising since February 2016. From February 11, 2016, until April 1, 2016, Eni (E) saw its stock price rise by 17%.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Peer Comparison
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Valero’s Peer Comparisons: Forward Valuations

    Valero Energy (VLO) is currently trading at a forward EV-to-EBITDA of 4.9x, below its peer average of 5.8x.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///lin eeeurope
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Foreign Currency Impacted Lincoln’s Europe Welding Segments Revenue

    In fiscal 2015, Lincoln Electric’s (LECO) Europe Welding segment contributed approximately 13% to its total revenue, as well as 8% to its consolidated operating profit.

    By Jessica Stephans
  • uploads///Q results
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Petrobras Posted a Loss of $9.4 Billion in 4Q15

    Petrobras (PBR) posted a net loss of $9.4 billion in 4Q15 and a loss of $9.7 billion in 4Q14.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Upstream
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Shell’s Upstream Portfolio: Reshuffling Its Cards

    Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) produced 3 MMboepd (million barrel of oil equivalent per day) from its worldwide operations in 4Q15.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Annotated
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Why the Majority of Analysts Rate Chevron a ‘Buy’

    If oil starts its upward journey, Chevron, with production growth insight and a strong projects portfolio, could likely emerge as a fundamentally stronger player.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads/// leisure travel
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Quality of Life Is the New Money for Millennials

    I believe that consumption demand patterns among millennials, including an emphasis on quality of life, is somewhat influencing this demand for travel and leisure, tech products and personal services.

    By Ann Hynek
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