US Crude Oil Closed at 2017 High: Will the Ride Continue?

Rabindra Samanta - Author

Jan. 3 2018, Published 8:51 a.m. ET

US crude oil

On December 22–29, US crude oil (USO) (USL) February futures rose 3.3%. On December 29, US crude oil February 2018 futures closed at $60.42 per barrel—the highest closing level in 2017 and the highest level since June 24, 2015.

If oil has a bullish tone, it could be a boon for the S&P 500 Index (SPY) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DIA).

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Will the ride continue?

In the week ending December 22, US crude oil production fell by 35 thousand barrels per day—the first weekly fall since October 13, 2017. US crude oil inventories also fell for the same week. However, higher oil prices might add more barrels of oil to US crude oil production. The oil rig count at 747 in the week ending December 29 could rise more. It might obstruct US crude oil’s rise.

Natural gas

On December 22–29, natural gas February 2018 futures rose 11.1%—the highest weekly rise for active natural gas futures since December 9, 2016. On December 29, natural gas futures closed at $2.95 per MMBtu—1.6% less than the psychologically important level of $3. A fall of 112 Bcf (billion cubic feet) in natural gas inventories for the week ending December 22, reported by the EIA on December 28, could have supported the rise in natural gas. On December 28, natural gas prices rose 6.7%.


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