SPGSCLTR/BARC 36

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    Miscellaneous

    Crude Oil Is Firming: Are Traders Looking for a Breakout?

    US crude oil April futures rose 0.4% in the week ending on February 24, 2017. WTI crude oil April futures closed at $53.99 per barrel on February 24.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    US Oil Inventories Spread Impacts Crude Oil Prices

    US commercial crude oil inventories rose by ~6.5 MMbbls (million barrels) in the week ending January 27, 2017—compared to the previous week.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    What Caused the U-Turn in Oil Prices?

    On February 15, 2018, US crude oil’s April 2018 futures rose 1.1% and settled at $61.17 per barrel. On the same day, the US dollar fell 0.6%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Why Did Oil Prices Move Higher?

    On February 22, 2018, US crude oil’s April 2018 futures rose 1.8% and closed at $62.77 per barrel.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    EIA Could Report Record Crude Oil Inventory Levels

    US crude oil futures contracts for March delivery closed at $53.20 per barrel on February 14, 2017—0.5% more than the previous closing price.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Will the Energy Sector Enter a Bear Market?

    On March 23, 2017, US crude oil futures contracts for May delivery closed at $47.70 per barrel—an ~0.7% fall over the previous trading session.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Does the Natural Gas Fall Relate to Oil’s Decline?

    Between November 29 and December 6, natural gas (GASL)(GASX)(FCG) January 2018 futures had a correlation of -1.6% with US crude oil January futures.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Analyzing the Weakness in Crude Oil

    On March 8, 2018, US crude oil April 2018 futures declined 1.7% and closed at $60.12 per barrel.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Why Did Oil Prices Fall?

    On March 22, natural gas April 2018 futures declined 0.8% and settled at $2.62 per million British thermal units.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Could Oil Inventories Maintain Their Bullish Momentum?

    Inventory data According to the EIA (U.S. Energy Information Administration), US crude oil inventories fell 7.2 MMbbls (million barrels) in the week ended July 21, 2017. The fall was twice the expected fall of 3.3 MMbbls. Bullish inventory data buoyed oil prices by 1.8% on the same day. Inventory spread A rise in surplus crude […]

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Basic Materials

    Natural Gas Traders Should Stay Cautious of Oil Rigs

    On December 29, the natural gas rig count was 88.7% below its record high of 1,606 in 2008. However, natural gas supplies have risen drastically since 2008.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Oil Rigs Are the Biggest Concern for Natural Gas

    In the week ending November 10, 2017, the oil rig count rose by nine—the largest rise since June 30, 2017. Strong oil prices spurred the rise.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    What Rising Global Oil Inventories Could Mean for Crude Prices

    US crude oil futures contracts for April delivery closed at $47.72 per barrel on March 14, 2017—1.4% lower than the previous day’s closing price.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    What We Could Expect for Oil Prices

    Oil rig data The US oil rig count rose by two to 766 in the week ended July 28, 2017. Year-over-year, the oil rig count has surged by more than twofold, with US crude oil active futures gaining 22.7%. Since the high of 9.6 million barrels per day in the week ended June 5, 2015, […]

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    US Crude Oil Didn’t Reach a New 3-Year High

    On April 13–20, 2018, US crude oil June futures rose 1.6% and settled at $68.4 per barrel on April 20. Last week, the US dollar rose 0.6%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    OPEC Mania Is Back: Will Crude Oil Soar?

    US crude oil rose on November 18 due to the market’s belief that OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) members might cut their output.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Is Natural Gas Moving with Oil Prices?

    The correlation between natural gas (GASL)(GASX)(FCG) active futures with US crude oil active futures was 99.8% between December 12 and December 19.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Oil Futures Spread: Oversupply Concerns Still Loom

    On October 10, 2017, US crude oil (USO) (DBO) (OIIL) November 2018 futures traded $0.46 higher than November 2017 futures.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    What the Oil Inventories Spread Suggests for Oil Prices

    In the week ending June 23, 2017, US crude oil inventories rose by 0.1 MMbbls (million barrels) to 509.2 MMbbls, according to EIA data on June 28, 2017.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Fund Managers

    Leon Cooperman: Crude Oil Could Reach $70 per Barrel Soon

    Leon Cooperman said, “I think the supply-demand outlook is favorable, and we would not be surprised to see oil reaching $70 a barrel.”

    By Sarah Sands
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    Miscellaneous

    Chart of the Week: Crude Oil Production of Global Majors

    Crude oil (OIIL) (DBO) (USL) prices fell on June 5, 2017, due to geopolitical tensions.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Inside the Oil Futures Spread: Why Traders May Be Turning Bullish

    On September 19, 2017, US crude oil November 2018 futures settled at $0.97 higher than the November 2017 futures.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    What’s Holding Oil Prices below the $50 Mark?

    Between July 28 and August 4, 2017, US crude oil (USO) (DBO) (UCO) September futures fell just 0.3%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Rig Count: A Look at Natural Gas’s Upside

    In the week ended September 15, 2017, the natural gas rig count fell by one to 186. Also, the natural gas rig count has stalled between 180 and 190 since May 19, 2017.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Are Oil-Weighted Stocks Outperforming Oil’s Recent Fall?

    On February 11, 2016, US crude oil touched a 12-year low. From February 11, 2016, to March 20, 2017, US crude oil active futures contracts rose 86.6%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    How Closely Is Natural Gas Tracking Oil?

    Between November 15 and 22, natural gas (UNG)(FCG) January futures had a correlation of 52.5% with US crude oil January futures.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    How Energy Commodities Take Cues from the Job Market

    In the week ended May 13, US initial jobless claims reached 233,000. The four-week moving average was at 235,250—at a record low since April 14, 1973.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    Why Is XOP Underperforming Other Energy ETFs?

    The fall in energy ETFs started after the fall in oil prices on July 5, 2016, and when Brexit concerns and supply-related fears resurfaced.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Will the Recovery in Oil Prices Last?

    On March 15, US crude oil April 2018 futures rose 0.4% and closed at $61.19 per barrel.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Are Oil ETFs Gaining from Higher Oil Prices?

    Between January 19 and January 26, 2018, the United States Oil ETF (USO) rose 4.1%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Does Natural Gas’s Rise Depend on Crude Oil?

    Between January 16 and January 23, 2018, natural gas (GASL) (UNG) (FCG) had a correlation of 84.6% with US crude oil (OIIL) (USL) (DBO) active futures.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Oil Prices after the EIA’s Inventory Report

    After the EIA released the data on January 18, US crude oil prices were almost flat due to other factors like rising US production.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Are Oil ETFs Outperforming Oil?

    Between January 12 and January 19, 2018, the United States Oil ETF (USO) fell 1.2%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Oil ETFs: How They’re Performing at Oil’s 3-Year High

    Between January 5 and January 12, 2018, the United States Oil ETF (USO), which holds positions in US crude oil active futures, gained 4.5%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Oil Inventory Data Could Push Oil Higher

    In the week ending January 5, 2018, US crude oil inventories fell by 4.9 MMbbls (million barrels)—1 MMbbls more than the market’s expected fall.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    What Could Be the High for US Crude Oil Next Week?

    On January 11, 2018, US crude oil’s implied volatility was 18.2%. That was 5.2% above its 15-day average.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Stockpiles Could Push US Crude Oil to a New 3-Year High

    On January 8, 2018, US crude oil (USO) (USL) February 2018 futures were 0.5% below their three-year high. The EIA will report the data on January 10, 2018.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Which Oil ETFs Might Be a Better Bet in 2018?

    On December 29, 2017, the closing prices of US crude oil futures contracts between March 2018 and January 2019 were progressively lower.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    How Much Fall in Inventories Could Support Oil This Week?

    In the week ended December 22, 2017, US crude oil inventories were 431.9 MMbbls (million barrels), a fall of 4.6 MMbbls compared to the previous week.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    What Oil Bulls Could Expect for Oil Inventories

    Oil stockpiles In the week ended December 8, 2017, US crude oil inventories fell by 5.1 MMbbls (million barrels) to 443 MMbbls. However, motor gasoline inventories rose 5.7 MMbbls. The data was released by the EIA (U.S. Energy Information Administration) on December 13. That day, US crude oil prices fell 0.9%. Inventory spread The gap between US oil inventories […]

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Oil ETFs That Outperformed US Crude Oil Last Week

    On December 1–8, 2017, the United States Oil Fund (USO), which holds crude US oil futures contracts, fell 1.5%. US crude oil January 2018 futures fell 1.7%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    US Crude Oil Prices Could Remain below $58 Next Week

    On December 7, 2017, US crude oil’s implied volatility was 20% or ~1.1% less than its 15-day average. On December 1, the implied volatility fell to 19.8%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Analyzing Crude Oil Inventories and Oil Prices

    In the week ending November 24, 2017, US crude oil inventories fell by 3.4 MMbbls (million barrels) to 453.7 MMbbls.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Will the Inventories Spread Impact US Crude Oil?

    US commercial crude oil inventories fell by 1.9 MMbbls in the week ending November 17, 2017—0.5 MMbbls more than the market’s expected fall.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Futures Spread: Is the Oil Market Tightening?

    On November 7, 2017, US crude oil (OIIL) December 2018 futures settled $2.08 below the December 2017 futures.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    How Oil ETFs Stood next to US Crude Oil Last Week

    Between October 27 and November 3, the United States Oil Fund LP (USO) rose 3.1%—just ten basis points below the rise of US crude oil December futures.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Which Oil ETF Could a Good Bet on Rising Oil Prices?

    On October 20–27, 2017, the United States Oil Fund LP (USO) rose 3.9%, while US crude oil (DBO) December futures rose 4%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Could the Oil Rig Count Threaten Bullish Bets on Oil Prices?

    The US oil rig count rose by three to 768 for the week ended August 11, 2017.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    OPEC’s Meeting: Where Oil Prices Could Head Next Week

    On August 3, 2017, US crude oil’s implied volatility was 27%—3.9% below its 15-day moving average.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Why Oil Prices Could Plunge

    The US oil rig count rose by seven to 763 in the week ended July 7, 2017. This was the rig count’s highest level since April 10, 2015.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Will US Crude Oil Hit $40 Next Week?

    On June 22, 2017, WTI crude oil (USO) (OIIL) active futures’ implied volatility was 29.7%, up 1.7% compared to its 15-day average.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Where Will US Crude Prices Settle?

    On June 15, 2017, US crude oil active futures’ implied volatility was 27.9%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Oil’s Forward Curve: What Does It Indicate?

    On June 13, 2017, US crude oil’s July 2018 futures settled at a premium of $1.67 to July 2017 futures.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Oil Contango: How Should Oil Traders View It?

    Between May 30 and June 6, 2017, US crude oil (USL) (OIIL) July futures fell 3%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Unemployment Claims Falling: Will Energy Commodities Rise?

    US initial jobless claims fell by 4,000 to 232,000 for the week ending May 13, 2017, based on the US Department of Labor’s report on May 18, 2017.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Unemployment Claims Impact Energy Commodities

    US initial jobless claims were at 236,000 for the week ending May 6, 2017, according to the US Department of Labor’s report on May 11, 2017.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    The Brent-WTI Spread: A Key Indicator for Energy Investors

    On May 9, 2017, WTI crude oil active futures were trading at a discount of $2.85 per barrel to Brent crude oil active futures.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    The Brent-WTI Spread: What Does It Suggest?

    On May 2, 2017, WTI (West Texas Intermediate) crude oil (UCO) (USO) (OIIL) (USL) active futures were trading at a discount of $2.8 per barrel to Brent crude oil (BNO) active futures.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Soft GDP Data: How It Impacts Energy Commodities

    According to the Department of Commerce, on April 28, 2017, advance estimates put US GDP growth at 0.70% for 1Q17.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Can Oil Prices Survive the Looming Fed Rate Hike?

    US crude oil futures contracts for April delivery fell 10.2% between March 7, 2017, and March 14, 2017.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    How the Brent-WTI Spread Impacts Your Oil Investments

    On February 28, WTI crude oil (USO) (USL) (OIIL) (SCO) active futures traded at a discount of $1.98 per barrel—compared to Brent crude oil active futures.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Oil-Weighted Stocks and Crude Oil: Are They Diverging?

    On February 11, 2016, US crude oil touched a 12-year low. From February 11, 2016, to January 30, 2017, US crude oil active futures contracts rose 100.8%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How OPEC’s Decision Will Impact Crude Oil’s Movement

    According to the EIA’s (U.S. Energy Information Administration) report on September 14, 2016, US crude oil inventories fell 0.6 MMbbls (million barrels) for the week ending September 9.

    By Sarah Sands
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    Energy & Utilities

    How Volatile Are Natural Gas and Crude Oil?

    Natural gas’s (UNG) (GASL) (GASX) implied volatility was 40.0% on July 22, 2016. Its 15-day average implied volatility is 42.5%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Energy & Utilities

    How Did Crude Oil Fare on July 12?

    US active crude oil futures contracts for August delivery closed at $46.8 per barrel on July 12, which was 8.6% below their 2016 high of $51.23 on June 8.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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    Miscellaneous

    Which Upstream Stocks Are Following the Oil Rally?

    On May 23, 2016, US crude oil (USO) (OIIL) closed at $48.08, just 0.47% below its 2016 high of $48.31 on May 17.

    By Rabindra Samanta
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