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Forecasting Stock CHK’s Stock Price Using Implied Volatility

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May. 11 2018, Published 1:36 p.m. ET

Implied volatility

Chesapeake Energy stock’s (CHK) implied volatility is ~51.8%. In comparison, Noble Energy (NBL) and Antero Resources (AR) have lower implied volatility, of ~30.5% and ~31.5%, respectively. Meanwhile, the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) has implied volatility of ~19.3%.

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Stock price forecast: CHK stock

Assuming a normal distribution of stock prices and a standard deviation of one, based on Chesapeake Energy’s implied volatility of ~51.8%, we can expect the stock to close between $2.91 and $3.35 in the next seven days. Chesapeake Energy stock should stay within this range ~68% of the time. Next in this series, we’ll look at what analysts recommend for Chesapeake Energy stock.

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