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    Basic Materials

    Alcoa: Could There Be a Surprise in Its Q4 Earnings?

    Alcoa (AA) is scheduled to release its fourth-quarter earnings on January 16 after the markets close.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Would Alcoa Have Been Better Off without the Section 232 Tariffs?

    hile Century Aluminum (CENX) responded positively to the move and announced a smelter restart a few days after the tariffs, Alcoa’s (AA) response was measured from the very beginning.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Alcoa: Is It Time to Be Greedy as Markets Get Fearful?

    Previously in this series, we looked at recent trends in aluminum prices. In this article, we’ll see how markets are valuing US aluminum producers after last week’s sell-off.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Alcoa or Century Aluminum: Which Stock Are Analysts Bullish On?

    In this article, we’ll take a look at how analysts are rating different aluminum producers.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    What Risks Do Alcoa and Other Aluminum Producers Face in 2018?

    As President Donald Trump looks inclined to impose tariffs on aluminum imports, we could see an increase in US aluminum production.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
  • uploads///part  valuation
    Basic Materials

    Why You Shouldn’t Give Up on Alcoa despite Its Recent Weakness

    Despite Alcoa’s recent weakness, its downside could be limited. Let’s discuss this in perspective.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
  • uploads///part  aluminum production alcoa
    Basic Materials

    Why US Aluminum Production Isn’t Rising—Despite Higher Prices

    US aluminum production has been in a falling trend for quite some time now, and current production levels are hovering near multiyear lows.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Will Tariffs Make US Aluminum Producers Great Again?

    Last week, the US Commerce Department released the results of its Section 232 imports probe.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    What’s Ahead for Alcoa after a Tough January?

    Alcoa (AA), the leading US-based integrated aluminum producer, has lost 8.9% so far in 2018 based on February 2 closing prices.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    China’s Supply-Side Reforms Could Impact Aluminum in 2018

    Alcoa (AA) expects global aluminum demand to exceed supply in 2018 on China’s supply-side reforms.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Alcoa Discussed Aluminum’s Demand-Supply Equation

    According to Alcoa, global aluminum demand growth was more than 5% YoY in 2017. It expects global aluminum demand to grow 4.25%–5.25% in 2018.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
  • uploads///part  eps
    Basic Materials

    Alcoa Is Optimistic about Aluminum’s 2018 Outlook

    Alcoa (AA) reported its 4Q17 earnings on January 17, 2018, after the markets closed. The company posted an adjusted EPS of $1.04 in 4Q17.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    How Alcoa Fared in 4Q17

    While Alcoa’s 4Q17 earnings rose sharply as compared to previous quarters, the quarterly results fell short of expectations.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
  • uploads///part  valuation
    Basic Materials

    Alcoa’s Valuation: Is There Scope for Multiple Expansion in 2018?

    In this part of our series, we’ll see how markets are valuing Alcoa (AA). Specifically, we’ll look at the forward EV-to-EBITDA (enterprise value to earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) multiple…

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Can Alcoa Deliver Higher Profits in 4Q17?

    In this article, we’ll see what analysts are projecting for Alcoa’s (AA) 4Q17 adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization).

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
  • uploads///part  eps
    Basic Materials

    Can Alcoa’s 4Q17 Earnings Keep Investors’ Optimism Alive?

    Alcoa (AA), the leading US-based aluminum producer (XME), is expected to release its 4Q17 earnings on January 17. In this series, we’ll see what analysts are projecting for Alcoa’s 4Q17 results.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
  • uploads///part  analyst
    Basic Materials

    Analysts’ Recommendations on Alcoa before 2018

    Three analysts rated Alcoa stock as a “strong buy,” seven analysts rated it as a “buy,” and four analysts rated it as a “hold” or some equivalent.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
  • uploads///part  china producton
    Basic Materials

    Aluminum Supply: What Investors Should Watch in 2018

    After its split, Alcoa (AA) became a pure-play aluminum producer (S32) (CENX). Like other aluminum producers, Alcoa’s fortunes are tied to metal prices.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
  • uploads///part  aluminum price
    Basic Materials

    Analyzing Alcoa’s Journey in 2017

    Alcoa (AA) made a closing high of $38.54 on February 14, 2017. Alcoa made its fresh 52-week high in October as aluminum moved to higher price levels.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
  • uploads///part  price action
    Basic Materials

    Alcoa’s 2018 Outlook: Will the Stock Continue to Rise?

    Alcoa (AA) has had a nice run in 2017. Although the stock has come off its 2017 highs, it’s trading with strong year-to-date gains of 65.6%.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Is the Aluminum Rally Over as Chinese Exports Refuse to Die Down?

    Last month, China exported 380,000 metric tons of unwrought aluminum, which is similar to the corresponding month in 2016.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
  • uploads///part  aluminum
    Basic Materials

    Aluminum Prices Have Come under Pressure after 1H17

    Aluminum was among the best-performing base metals in 1H17. It outperformed several other industrial metals including copper.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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