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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Does the Fed Expect Unemployment to Fall Further?

    The US Federal Reserve has a dual mandate of achieving maximum employment and stable prices (TIP) in the economy.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    FOMC: We Are Not Declaring a Victory on Inflation

    The FOMC’s June statement was released on June 13, and the outlook for inflation remained upbeat.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How Could High Inflation Affect the Fed?

    During the Fed’s May meeting, the inflation (TIP) target was described as “symmetric,” suggesting that the 2% target would not be used to initiate any dramatic changes to US monetary policy.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    What Now as the US Fed Is Close to Meeting Its Targets?

    As of June 1, the unemployment rate in the US has dropped to 3.8%—its lowest level in the last 18 years.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Could there be a 4th Rate Hike in the Cards?

    The Bureau of Economic Analysis defines PCE (personal consumption expenditure) as the value of goods and services purchased by, or on behalf of, US residents.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How February PCE Inflation Data Could Affect Fed’s Decisions

    Personal consumption rose 0.2% in February and by 4.6% in the last 12 months.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why the Fed Expects Unemployment to Fall to 3.6%

    Over the last 12 months, unemployment levels have fallen to a 17-year low of 4.1%.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    What’s the Fed’s View on Inflation Growth?

    The FOMC’s March statement was released on Wednesday, March 21, and the outlook for the closely watched inflation remained muted.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Could Personal Consumption Expenditures Growth Affect Rate Hikes?

    Personal consumption expenditures increased 0.1% in December and 1.7% in 2017.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Personal Income in US Rose in 2017

    As per the latest report from the BEA, personal income rose 0.4% in December, which took the annual rise to 4.1%.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Rising Price Pressures: A Sign of Relief for the Bond Markets?

    The increase in price pressure, although reassuring for the Fed, might not lead to a higher rate of inflation in the short term.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Will the Sudden Rise in Inflation Change the US Fed’s Outlook?

    The consumer price inflation (CPI) data reported on Thursday indicated an increase of 0.4% in August. The year-over-year rate improved from 1.7% to 1.9% for August.

    By Ricky Cove
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Improving Economic Conditions Aren’t Enough for the FED

    In the last few months, the performance of the US economy has been impressive. The unemployment rate fell to 4.3% in August.

    By Ricky Cove
  • Financials

    4 must-know facts about rising inflation and your portfolio

    Recent readings have shown that inflation has stabilized, which is a good thing, but signs of an imminent acceleration in inflation are still scant.

    By Russ Koesterich, CFA
  • Financials

    Why Japanese ETFs outperform Chinese and Korean ETFs on “Abenomics”

    Thanks to “Abenomics” and a weaker yen, Japanese equities have risen and have also outperformed both U.S. and E.U. equities and avoided the fate of Chinese, Korean, and emerging market shares.

    By Marc Wiersum, MBA
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    Energy & Utilities

    Low inflation supports availability of monetary stimulus, positive for shipping stocks

    Inflation’s impact on spending and investment Central banks often set a target on inflation rate because a mild inflation rate encourages people to spend more, while it also points out that demand is rising more than supply—a situation that suggests a growing economy. When inflation is high, however, central banks will use monetary policies to […]

    By Xun Yao Chen
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