Alumina Limited

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    Basic Materials

    US Aluminum Production Woefully Short of Demand despite Tariffs

    US aluminum production rose 21.0% last year.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Analyzing Alcoa’s 2019 Outlook

    On paper, aluminum’s fundamentals look strong. Aluminum markets were expected to be in a deficit of 1.5 million metric tons last year.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Is Alcoa Undervalued like Analysts’ Estimates Suggest?

    Although some analysts have lowered Alcoa’s target price, the consensus estimates still suggest a strong upside for the stock.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    No Respite for Alcoa, China Exported Record Aluminum

    While China’s steel exports have been in a downtrend after hitting a record high in 2015, the country’s aluminum exports have continued to rise.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Alcoa: Strong Q4 Numbers Can’t Hide Its Weakness

    Alcoa (AA) released its fourth-quarter earnings on January 16 after the markets closed. The company reported revenues of $3.3 billion.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Alcoa: 2019 Might Be the Real Test

    Alcoa is expected to post revenues of $3.35 billion in the fourth quarter. The company posted revenues of $3.39 billion in the third quarter.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Alcoa: Could There Be a Surprise in Its Q4 Earnings?

    Alcoa (AA) is scheduled to release its fourth-quarter earnings on January 16 after the markets close.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Should Alcoa Be on Your Shopping List for 2019?

    As we noted previously in this series, Alcoa (AA) and other aluminum producers—including Century Aluminum (CENX)—are having a terrible year as aluminum prices have plunged.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Would Alcoa Have Been Better Off without the Section 232 Tariffs?

    hile Century Aluminum (CENX) responded positively to the move and announced a smelter restart a few days after the tariffs, Alcoa’s (AA) response was measured from the very beginning.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Alcoa Falls to Fresh Lows: What’s to Blame?

    Yesterday, the United States lifted sanctions on RUSAL, the leading Russian aluminum producer.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Is There a Buying Opportunity in Alcoa?

    Alcoa (AA), the leading US-based aluminum producer, fell 9.0% in November. Alcoa has fallen 41% in 2018.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    What Really Changed for Alcoa after Trump’s Tariffs?

    The US-China trade war and the general slowdown in China’s aluminum demand have taken a toll on aluminum prices.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Alumina Price Volatility Makes Companies Rethink Strategies

    Global aluminum markets have seen significant volatility this year. Aluminum prices topped the $2,500 per metric ton level in April.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Alcoa or Century Aluminum: Which Stock Are Analysts Bullish On?

    In this article, we’ll take a look at how analysts are rating different aluminum producers.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    What’s Ahead for Alcoa after a Tough January?

    Alcoa (AA), the leading US-based integrated aluminum producer, has lost 8.9% so far in 2018 based on February 2 closing prices.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    China’s Supply-Side Reforms Could Impact Aluminum in 2018

    Alcoa (AA) expects global aluminum demand to exceed supply in 2018 on China’s supply-side reforms.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Alcoa Discussed Aluminum’s Demand-Supply Equation

    According to Alcoa, global aluminum demand growth was more than 5% YoY in 2017. It expects global aluminum demand to grow 4.25%–5.25% in 2018.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Alcoa Is Optimistic about Aluminum’s 2018 Outlook

    Alcoa (AA) reported its 4Q17 earnings on January 17, 2018, after the markets closed. The company posted an adjusted EPS of $1.04 in 4Q17.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Why Alcoa’s 2018 Guidance Miffed Analysts

    Alcoa (AA) expects to generate adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) between $2.6 billion and $2.8 billion in fiscal 2018.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    How Alcoa Fared in 4Q17

    While Alcoa’s 4Q17 earnings rose sharply as compared to previous quarters, the quarterly results fell short of expectations.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Can Alcoa Deliver Higher Profits in 4Q17?

    In this article, we’ll see what analysts are projecting for Alcoa’s (AA) 4Q17 adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization).

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Chinese Aluminum Demand: Analyzing Drivers in 2018

    One of the factors that boosted industrial metal prices in 2017 was better-than-expected demand from China. Its construction sector was strong in 1H17.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Aluminum Supply: What Investors Should Watch in 2018

    After its split, Alcoa (AA) became a pure-play aluminum producer (S32) (CENX). Like other aluminum producers, Alcoa’s fortunes are tied to metal prices.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Is the Aluminum Rally Over as Chinese Exports Refuse to Die Down?

    Last month, China exported 380,000 metric tons of unwrought aluminum, which is similar to the corresponding month in 2016.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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    Basic Materials

    Aluminum Prices Have Come under Pressure after 1H17

    Aluminum was among the best-performing base metals in 1H17. It outperformed several other industrial metals including copper.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
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