OppenheimerFunds Leading indicators of the global economy are climbing and that generally bodes well for equities. Previously, we highlight the tight fit between the JP Morgan Global Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (black line, left axis)—a leading indicator of worldwide business activity—and the year-over-year returns of the MSCI All Country World Index (ACWI) returns since 2000. […]
OppenheimerFunds Make no mistake, China is a controlled economy where growth can still be manufactured at will. Massive fiscal and monetary stimulus has China going through a “mini” boom with the pace of economic growth stronger and more broad based than what the markets expected. And as China goes, so goes the rest of emerging […]
OppenheimerFunds That was then: For the longest time, we insisted that the strength of the dollar was the equalizer in a deleveraging world. If the Fed were to be the only major country in the world raising interest rates, then the dollar would appreciate significantly. Dollar strength would prove to be a headwind to U.S. […]
OppenheimerFunds The U.S. economy was weaker than expected in 2016, the lagged effect of the Fed’s policy mistake in 2015. In our opinion, the worst is now over for the United States, and economic growth should improve in 2017 and could even surprise to the upside with an appropriate fiscal policy mix from the new […]
