Linn Energy LLC

The rate of decline in the natural gas rig count has slowed in the past four weeks, during which only six rigs went offline.

NGLs prices remain uptrend despite the falling last week, which is positive to producers.

NGL prices traded higher last week, helping wet gas producers. NGL prices are an important indicator to track in the energy space.

The top upstream MLP gainers include Legacy Reserves (LGCY), Linn Energy (LINE), Mid-Con Energy Partners (MCEP), and Vanguard Natural Resources (VNR).

The top upstream MLP gainers include Mid-Con Energy Partners (MCEP), Linn Energy (LINE), Legacy Reserves (LGCY), and BreitBurn Energy Partners (BBEP).

After its debt swap announcement, CHK’s stock initially spiked to $4.63 on May 12, 2016, but closed at $4.17, down 4.3% compared to the previous close.

At a broader level, 72.7% of the analysts surveyed by Bloomberg rate Breitburn Energy a “hold,” 9.1% rate it a “buy,” and the remaining ~18.2% rate it a “sell.”

The representative NGL barrel reached highs of up to ~$50 per barrel in early February, given the strength in propane prices due to a cold winter as well as natural gas prices that pushed ethane prices up.

This week saw NGL prices trade up by 5%, a positive short-term indicator. Plus, note that NGL prices are up significantly since late June, a positive medium-term indicator.

We’ll now analyze the performance of energy-related ETFs and upstream MLPs on July 16.

Natural gas liquid prices recovered somewhat last week, likely off the back of higher crude oil prices.

The top upstream MLP losers include Legacy Reserves (LGCY), Linn Energy (LINE), Memorial Production Partners (MEMP), and EV Energy Partners (EVEP).

Linn Energy’s (LINE) bloodbath continued on Friday with a single day loss of 15.13% as crude oil continued to fall due to excess supply concerns.

LINE’s EBITDA shows that it has been struggling with its earnings power lately. It has struggled despite a steady rise in its oil and gas production. LINE’s debt exploded from just over $3 billion in 3Q11 to over $9.5 billion in 2Q14.

As we discussed previously in this series, National Fuel Gas (NFG) noted in its latest fiscal 3Q14 results that its earnings growth was driven by higher earnings in its Midstream and Upstream businesses.

On September 18, LINN Energy LLC (LINE) and ExxonMobil Corp. (XOM) announced a “non-monetary” asset swap deal. The deal involved oil and gas assets in California and Texas.

Linn Energy (LINE) and Memorial Production Partners (MEMP) lost 12.80% and 11.14% of their equity value in a single trading session on Friday.

The top upstream MLP gainers include EV Energy Partners (EVEP), Linn Energy (LINE), BreitBurn Energy Partners (BBEP), and Legacy Reserves (LGCY).

Natural gas liquids prices fell on the week but remain up significantly since lows in June.

The top upstream MLP losers include Legacy Reserves (LGCY), Linn Energy (LINE), Mid-Con Energy Partners (MCEP), and BreitBurn Energy Partners (BBEP).

The top upstream MLP losers include Linn Energy (LINE), Mid-Con Energy Partners (MCEP), Eagle Rock Energy Partners (EROC), and Legacy Reserves (LGCY).

The top upstream MLP losers include Mid-Con Energy Partners (MCEP), Linn Energy (LINE), Vanguard Natural Resources (VNR), and Atlas Resource Partners (ARP).

Approximately 69% of analysts tracking EOG Resources rate it a “buy,” ~21% of these analysts rate the company a “hold,” and 10% of these analysts recommend a “sell.”

In the four months between May 21 and September 18, LINN Energy (LINE) and ExxonMobil (XOM) entered into two asset swap deals. LINE showcased the deals. They hold many advantages for the company.

The two most recent recommendations are by UBS and Scotia Howard Weil, and they rate LINE “sell” and “sector perform,” with target prices of $2 and $5, respectively.

The top upstream MLP losers include Mid-Con Energy Partners MCEP (MCEP), Linn Energy (LINE), LRR Energy (LRE), and Atlas Resource Partners (ARP).

Natural gas liquids traded down on the week, though they remain up significantly since mid-2013 lows.

Upstream companies’ earnings are significantly tied to crude oil and natural gas prices. UNG tracks daily movements in natural gas futures. It rose 0.44% yesterday.

The Alerian MLP ETF, which comprises 23 midstream energy MLPs, fell 2.4% on October 22, 2015, along with the entire midstream sector.

Top upstream MLP losers include Eagle Rock Energy Partners (EROC), Vanguard Natural Resources (VNR), LRR Energy (LRE), and Linn Energy (LINE).

This week saw NGL prices trade up, a positive short-term indicator. Plus, note that NGL prices are up significantly since late June—a positive medium-term indicator.

NGL prices traded down by 4% on the week, as most of the composition experienced a drop in price. However, the representative NGL barrel remains up over 50% since lows in June.

The triple top pattern is formed in the uptrend. In this pattern, three consecutive peaks are formed. The peaks have roughly the same price level.

The top upstream MLP losers include Vanguard Natural Resources (VNR), Linn Energy (LINE), Memorial Production Partners (MEMP), and Legacy Reserves (LGCY).

LINN Energy LLC (LINE) is a U.S. independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company. LINE went public in a 2006 initial public offering (or IPO) that raised ~$261 million.

Natural gas liquids prices increased last week and remain up considerably since mid-year, helping companies with significant wet gas production.

The influx of supply of natural gas liquids had caused ethane and propane prices in particular to collapse in late 2012 and early 2013.

At a broader level, 60% of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg rate Vanguard Natural Resources a “hold,” 30% rate it as a “buy,” and the remaining ~10% rate it a “sell.”

Vanguard Natural Resources gained $169.4 million from commodity derivative contracts in 2015.

In the rectangle pattern, it’s advisable to buy stock at support and sell at resistance. This pattern is formed in the uptrend and downtrend.

The head and shoulder pattern is the most common reversal pattern. It forms at the trend’s peak. The pattern has three peaks—left shoulder, head, and right shoulder.

Price patterns are trends that occur in stock charts. The charts are used in technical analysis. The pattern forms recognizable shapes. Price patterns are used to forecast the prices.

Natural gas liquids prices have remained rangebound, which is a neutral for producers of NGLs.

The price on a representative mix of natural gas liquids declined slightly last week, resulting in a negative indicator for wet gas producers.

The triangle pattern forms because investors think that the stock price won’t go much higher in an uptrend or lower in a downtrend.

Higher crude oil prices supported NGL prices last week, positively affecting wet gas producers.

Natural gas liquids took a leg lower, and are down significantly from the beginning of the year.

Natural gas liquids prices edged higher last week, in a positive for wet gas producers such as Linn Energy.

Natural gas liquids prices traded roughly flattish on the week in a neutral indicator for upstream energy companies.

Breitburn Energy Partners is going through a liquidity crisis. It expects the borrowing base under its credit facility to be redetermined in late May 2016.

Linn Energy (LINE) and LinnCo LLC (LNCO) filed for protection under Chapter 11 of the Bankruptcy Code on Wednesday, May 11.

Vanguard Natural Resources is currently trading at a price-to-distributable cash flow of 1.5x.

Vanguard Natural Resources’ (VNR) distributable cash flow fell to $164.3 million in 2015 from $214.8 million in 2014, a decline of 23.5%.

According to data released on March 16, 2016, US crude oil inventories rose 0.3% in the week ending March 11, 2016.

Linn Energy (LINE) is among several upstream producers plagued by the extended low commodity price environment and high leverage. LINE has a huge outstanding debt of ~$10 billion sitting on its balance sheet.

Many of the smaller upstream companies (XOP) have become highly leveraged. This increases the possibility of a default or bankruptcy.

In the midst of a sell-off in the midstream energy sector, many MLPs’ yields skyrocketed.

In the week ending November 25, there were 189 operating US natural gas rigs. Since the beginning of 2015, the natural gas rigs fell by 139 as of November 25.

The top upstream MLP losers include Linn Energy (LINE), Legacy Reserves (LGCY), BreitBurn Energy Partners (BBEP), and Mid-Con Energy Partners (MCEP).

Linn Energy lost $191.2 million on oil and gas derivatives in 2Q15. In 2Q14, the company lost $408.8 million on those derivatives.

During 1Q15, Linn Energy recorded noncash impairment charges of ~$533 million associated with proved oil and natural gas properties.

In both its US and non-US operations, ExxonMobil’s 1Q15 total liquids production increased marginally since a year ago.

According to oilfield service company Baker Hughes (BHI), there were 857 active oil and gas rigs in the United States in the week ended July 17, 2015.

In 1Q15, Marathon Oil’s North American exploration and production sales volume increased 33%, compared with an 8% volume decline in its international operations.

There were 863 active oil and gas rigs in the US in the week ending July 10, 2015, which is one more than in the previous week.

Marathon Oil’s 2Q15 adjusted loss per share is expected to be $0.32, a mild improvement over the $0.37 adjusted loss per share in 1Q15.

According to Baker Hughes, there were 862 active oil and gas rigs in the US in the week ending July 2—three more than the previous week ending June 26.

There were 859 active oil and gas rigs in the US in the week ending June 26—two more than the week before. The US rig count rose in December 2014.

In the US, there were 228 natural gas rigs operating in the week ending June 26—five more than in the previous week. This was the second week with an addition.

In 1Q15, EOG Resources’ adjusted EBITDAX fell 58% to $747.7 million from $1.79 billion a quarter ago. Compared to the figure last year, the fall amounted to 68%.

In the US, there were 223 natural gas rigs operating in the week ending June 19—two more than the week before. The fall has slowed down in recent weeks.

The US rig count experienced an uptrend throughout most of 2014. However, that trend reversed with 28 consecutive weeks of falling rig counts.

The US rig count experienced an uptrend throughout most of 2014, but that trend reversed with 27 consecutive weeks of falling rig counts.

The decline in the natural gas rig count slowed down in the past four weeks. Four rigs went offline in the preceding four weeks, and 43 went offline in the four weeks before that.

The US rig count experienced an uptrend in most of 2014. But that trend reversed with 26 consecutive weeks of falling rig counts, hitting the lowest level since January 2003.

There were 875 active oil and gas rigs in the US during the week ending May 29, 2015. With last week’s fall, the average four-week US rig count drop was eight.

With last week’s fall, the US rig count hit its lowest level since June 12, 2009. A fall in the offshore rig count led the week’s figures.

RSP Permian’s crude oil production increased 98% from 1Q14 to 1Q15, while natural gas production increased 68%. Its natural gas liquids production increased 48% during the same period.

Encana’s (ECA) 1Q15 production decreased compared to production in the same quarter last year. Its overall crude oil equivalent production volume decreased by 20%, down to 430.1 Mboebpd.

In 1Q15, adjusted revenues exceeded estimates by ~6%. On average, adjusted revenues have almost matched consensus estimates in the past 13 quarters.

Encana (ECA) is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company. The company produces oil and gas in resource plays located in the US and Canada.

Between 1Q12–1Q15, Continental Resources’ adjusted revenues increased 13%. From 1Q14–1Q15, the company’s adjusted revenues decreased 37%.

The oil and gas rig count signals how confident producers are about drilling for oil and gas. Falling rig counts indicate a decline in upstream activity.

EOG estimates its realized crude oil price to remain below the West Texas Intermediate price and its natural gas price to remain below the Henry Hub price in 2015.

In the last 12 months to May 1, the total US crude oil and natural gas rig count dropped by 949, or 51%. The number of active oil rigs decreased by 848, or 56%.

In 1Q15, EOG’s adjusted earnings exceeded estimates by 233%. On average, adjusted EPS exceeded consensus EPS by ~13% in the past 13 quarters.

Kinder Morgan Management LLC (KMR)—formed in May 2001—is a limited partner in and manager of Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP). So essentially, KMP is run by KMR, which in turn is run by Kinder Morgan Inc (KMI).

From January 2009 to September 2014, US crude oil production increased 67%, and crude oil production in the seven major shale plays increased 258%.

LINE hasn’t missed a distribution in the last seven years. The distributions only move in one direction—up. Currently, it pays a monthly distribution of $0.24. It trades at a yield of just under 10%!

This week saw NGL prices trade higher—a positive short-term indicator. Besides, despite falling from highs reached in February, NGL prices remain up significantly since late June 2013.