Invesco DB Energy Fund

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  • uploads///Part
    Company & Industry Overviews

    No Wonder Energy Companies Are Targeting Asia-Pacific Demand

    No wonder integrated energy companies with gas projects in Asia and Australia are targeting the demand in the Asia-Pacific zone.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    US Natural Gas Inventory Has Been Rising since April 2015

    Natural gas stocks rose by 9 Bcf to 4,009 Bcf for the week ended November 20, 2015. Natural gas inventory rose due to rising production and a mild winter weather forecast.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///Weather
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Weather and Inventory Are Making Natural Gas Traders Bearish

    Bearish natural gas traders will likely bet on mild weather and could raise their short positions as demand could drop during the peak period from November to March.

    By Gordon Kristopher
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Did RBOB Gasoline Outperform Heating Oil?

    The EIA reported RBOB gasoline futures contract 1 prices at $1.30 per gallon on November 23, representing a fall of ~1.8% from $1.32 per gallon on October 16.

    By Manu Milan
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    Earnings Report

    Is Freeport-McMoRan Fairly Valued at Its Current Levels?

    In this part of our series, we’ll share a valuation analysis for Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) and compare it with other companies in the mining space.

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
  • uploads///NG inventory chart
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Natural Gas Stockpile Report Drives Natural Gas Prices

    The EIA released its weekly natural gas stockpile report on October 8. Natural gas stockpile rose 95 Bcf in the week ended October 2. Natural gas inventory rose 98 Bcf in the week ended September 25.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG rig count
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    US Natural Gas Rig Count and Prices Diverge

    The bearish momentum of the natural gas prices and rig counts suggests that the natural gas drilling activity could slow down in the near term.

    By Gordon Kristopher
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    Basic Materials

    Crude oil gains as the US dollar falls, but it still faces a glut

    Crude oil prices increased by ~2%. The commodity was trading at $46.7 per barrels on January 27, 2015, due to the depreciating US dollar.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG prices
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Natural Gas Prices: How Low Can They Go?

    Record production, record inventory, and mild winter weather will continue to put pressure on natural gas prices. Gas prices could see the next support at $1.60 per MMBtu. They hit this in 1995.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///ng inventory
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Will US Natural Gas Inventories Fall for Week Ended December 18?

    US natural gas inventory fell for the third straight week, falling by 163 Bcf. Before that, natural gas inventory had risen for 34 straight weeks.

    By Gordon Kristopher
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Enjoy the Mild Winter, and Watch Natural Gas Prices Drop

    January natural gas futures contracts fell by 1.2% and closed at $1.89 per MMBtu (British thermal units in millions) on Tuesday, December 22, 2015.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///Ng price chart
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Natural Gas Prices Trade Close to 16-Year Low

    Long-term pessimistic sentiments could push natural gas prices lower. The next support for natural gas prices is seen at $1.60 per MMBtu.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG rig count
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    US Natural Gas Rig Count Follows the Natural Gas Price Trend

    US natural gas prices have fallen 18% so far in December 2015. Likewise, the US natural gas rig count has fallen by 21 rigs so far in 2015.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///crude oil rig count
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    US Rig Count Rises despite Catastrophic Crude Price Fall

    Baker Hughes reported that the US crude oil rig count rose by 17 rigs to 541 rigs for the week ending December 18, 2015, compared with the previous week.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///weather ng
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Weather Forecast Is Vital for the Natural Gas Market

    Record natural gas production, the mild winter weather forecast, and record natural gas inventories are adding pressure to natural gas prices.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG prices
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Natural Gas Prices Hold above $2 per MMBtu

    The cold winter could benefit natural gas prices. Natural gas prices could see resistance at $3 per MMBtu. Prices hit this level in April 2015.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG chart
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Natural Gas Prices Trading Close to Psychological Levels

    Natural gas prices have been oscillating between $2.10 and $2.30 per MMBtu for the last five trading sessions. The consensus of a fall in natural gas inventory could boost natural gas prices.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG price chart
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Natural Gas Prices Could See Resistance at $2.3 per MMBtu

    Lower natural gas prices could support consumption. The demand from power plants could also support the prices.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG inventory
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Record Inventory Continues to Pressure Natural Gas Prices

    Bloomberg surveys projected that the natural gas inventory could rise by 7 Bcf for the week ended November 20, 2015.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG price chart
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Bearish Momentum Could Push Natural Gas Prices to Fresh Lows

    The EIA estimates that natural gas prices could average around $2.69 per MMBtu (British thermal units in millions) in 2015 and $3 per MMBtu in 2016.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG chart
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Will Natural Gas Prices Test October’s Lows?

    Prices for natural gas could test the next support of $2 per MMBtu as it appears that natural gas prices are trading within a downward trending channel.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///weather ng
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Weather: Key Catalysts for Natural Gas Prices

    Warm weather could be experienced across the eastern, northeastern, mid-Atlantic, and Great Lakes regions of the US according to MDA Weather Services.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG chart
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Will the Natural Gas Rig Count Follow the Long-Term Trend?

    Baker Hughes releases its natural gas rig count every Friday. Last week, the natural gas rig count fell by six to 193 for the week ending November 13, 2015.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG inventory
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Natural Gas Inventory Rises for 33rd Straight Week

    Data released by the EIA on November 19 indicated that natural gas inventories rose to 4 trillion cubic feet for the week ending November 13, 2015.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG inventory
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    US Natural Gas Inventory Could Increase the Most since 2009

    If natural gas inventories rose in the week ending November 13, 2015, it will have been the highest inventory increase during this period since 2009.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG chart
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    US Natural Gas Rig Count Fell for the First Time in 5 Weeks

    On November 13, Baker Hughes published its weekly natural gas rig count report. The natural gas rig count fell by six to 193 for the week ending November 13.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG inventory
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    US Natural Gas Stocks Rose to Near 4 Trillion Cubic Feet

    On November 16, the EIA published its natural gas in storage report. Natural gas stocks rose by 54 Bcf to 3,985 Bcf for the week ending November 6, 2015.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG rig count
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Will the Natural Gas Rig Count Follow Natural Gas Prices?

    The natural gas rig count rose by ten in the last four weeks. Baker Hughes (BHI) will release the weekly natural gas rig count report on November 13, 2015.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG inventory
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Will the Natural Gas Inventory Rise for the 32nd Consecutive Week?

    The current momentum of rising natural gas suggests that the natural gas inventory could rise for the 32nd straight week. This drives natural gas stocks higher.

    By Gordon Kristopher
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    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Weather Will Likely Drive Natural Gas Prices in the Short Term

    The US government’s global forecast model estimates that the weather will likely be colder than normal in November. Cold weather impacts the heating needs.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///energy business
    Earnings Report

    Freeport-McMoRan’s Take on the Energy Business: 3Q15 Call

    Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) is looking at “strategic alternatives” for its energy business. It has highlighted two objectives for its energy (DBE) business

    By Mohit Oberoi, CFA
  • uploads///NG rig count
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Natural Gas Rig Count and Natural Gas Prices Diverge

    Baker Hughes (BHI) will publish the weekly natural gas rig count report on November 6, 2015. The US active natural gas rig count rose for the third straight week.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///ng inventory
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    What’s the EIA’s Consensus on Natural Gas Stocks?

    The EIA published its natural gas stocks report on November 5. Natural gas stocks rose by 52 Bcf to 3,929 Bcf for the week ending October 30, 2015.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG production charts
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Natural Gas Production Upticks: More Pain for Natural Gas Prices

    The natural gas production from the US rose slightly by 0.2% for the week ending November 4, 2015—compared to the previous week.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG inventory
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Will Natural Gas Stocks’ Data Put Pressure on Natural Gas Prices?

    The current natural gas stocks are 11.8% more than the level of 3,468 Bcf in 2014. They’re also 4.1% greater than the five-year seasonal average of 3,724 Bcf.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG inventory
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Will the Natural Gas Inventory Rise for the 31st Straight Week?

    The natural gas inventory rose to 3,877 Bcf for the 30th consecutive week in the week ending October 23, 2015.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG used for elec production
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Inventory and Demand Could Drive Natural Gas Prices Lower

    US households use 49% of the natural gas for heating needs. The lower cost of natural gas and clean energy will drive the demand for natural gas.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///weather ng
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Weather: Key Catalyst for Natural Gas Prices in the Short Term

    Warm weather was the catalyst that killed the natural gas market in October. Prices fell 8% in October due to warmer-than-normal winter weather estimates.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG rig count
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Will the Natural Gas Rig Count Rise for the Third Week in a Row?

    Baker Hughes reported that the natural gas rig count rose by one to 193 for the week ending October 23, 2015.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG inventory
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Weekly US Natural Gas Inventories Have Risen Since April 2015

    According to the EIA, US natural gas stocks rose by 63 billion cubic feet to 3,877 Bcf for the week ended October 23, 2015.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG production charts
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why US Natural Gas Production Could Outpace Demand

    Natural gas production from the lower-48 states of the United States rose to 81.65 billion cubic feet per day for the week ending October 27, 2015.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG Inventory
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    US Natural Gas Inventory Rose for the 29th Straight Week

    According to the EIA, natural gas inventory rose 81 Bcf to 3,814 Bcf for the week ended October 16, 2015. It rose due to increasing natural gas production and a mild winter forecast.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG rig count
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Will the Natural Gas Rig Count Fall for the Fourth Week?

    On October 16, Baker Hughes will release its active US natural gas rig count. The US natural gas rig count fell by six to 189 for the week ending October 9.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG chart
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Natural Gas Prices Are within a Narrow Range

    Natural gas prices have rallied after testing key support levels of $2.40 per MMBtu (British thermal units in millions).

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG inventory
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Natural Gas Inventory Data Could Push Prices Lower

    Natural gas inventories rose by 98 Bcf (billion cubic feet) to 3,538 Bcf in the week ending September 25, which was the 26th straight week of increases.

    By Gordon Kristopher
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