Alon USA Energy Inc

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  • uploads///IV Integrated
    Miscellaneous

    Integrated Energy and Refiner Stocks with High Implied Volatility

    As of November 8, 2016, Alon USA Partners (ALDW) had the highest implied volatility among the integrated energy and refining companies in this series.

    By Rabindra Samanta
  • uploads///Stock Perf
    Earnings Report

    Understanding Valero’s Stock Performance Prior to the 1Q17 Results

    Since February 2017, downstream stocks have been hit by volatile crack conditions and changing inventory levels. VLO has also witnessed volatility in its stock price.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///SI
    Miscellaneous

    How Short Interest Affects Integrated Energy and Refiner Stocks

    On February 23, 2017, Alon USA Energy (ALJ) had the highest short interest-to-equity float ratio among our list of integrated energy and refiner stocks. Its ratio was 13.9%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
  • uploads///SI
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Why These Integrated Energy and Refiner Stocks Could Spell Trouble

    On April 3, 2017, PBF Energy (PBF) had the highest short-interest-to-equity float ratio among these integrated energy and refiner stocks.

    By Rabindra Samanta
  • uploads///NG  month  apr
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Natural Gas Declines and Exco Resources Gains More than 5%

    Warm weather estimates drive down natural gas May futures contracts. Gas prices dropped marginally by 0.15%. They settled at $2.64 MMBtu.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///IV
    Miscellaneous

    Why Is the Crack Spread Fueling Volatility in Refining Stocks?

    As of October 6, 2016, Calumet Specialty Products Partners had the highest implied volatility among our list of integrated energy and refining companies.

    By Rabindra Samanta
  • uploads///Analyst ratings
    Miscellaneous

    The Analysts on Valero: Why the Fall in ‘Buy’ Ratings?

    Exactly 11 (50%) of the 22 analysts covering Valero Energy (VLO) have rated the stock a “buy,” while another 11 analysts have rated the stock as a “hold.”

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Beta
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Phillips 66’s Beta: Does It Imply the Company Is Less Volatile?

    Phillips 66’s 90-day daily beta stands at 1.1, which is below its peer average of 1.5.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Analyst Rating
    Miscellaneous

    Where Do Analysts Ratings for Tesoro Stand Pre-Earnings?

    In this series, we’ve examined Tesoro’s (TSO) 1Q17 estimates, refining margin outlook, and stock performance ahead of its earnings release expected on May 8, 2017.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Analyst Ratings
    Miscellaneous

    How Are Analysts Rating Phillips 66 before Its 1Q17 Earnings?

    Phillips 66 has been rated by 19 analysts. Of those, four (or 21.0%) have given it a “buy” or “strong buy” rating.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Analyst Ratings
    Miscellaneous

    Marathon Petroleum on the Street: What’s Changed among Analysts?

    Of the 19 analysts covering MPC, 17 (89%) analysts have assigned “buy” or “strong buy” ratings, while two (11%) have assigned “hold” ratings.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Beta
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Phillips 66’s Beta: Does It Imply That PSX Is Less Volatile?

    Phillips 66’s (PSX) 90-day beta stood at 1.2 on March 16, 2017, below its peer average of 2.1.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Estimates
    Earnings Report

    PBF Energy’s 4Q16 Results: Earnings Take a Nosedive

    PBF Energy (PBF) released its 4Q16 results on February 16, 2017. The earnings results weren’t very encouraging for this petroleum refiner.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Analyst Rec
    Miscellaneous

    Phillips 66’s Recommendations: What the Analysts Are Saying Now

    After its 4Q16 results, four of 19 analysts assigned “buy” or “strong buy” recommendations to Phillip’s 66 stock, while 15 assigned “holds.”

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Alon
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Can Delek US Fully Acquire Alon USA?

    Delek US Holdings will be transformed if it succeeds in the acquisition of the remaining stake in Alon USA Energy.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Hist Valuations
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Why Tesoro’s Valuation Is Lower Than Its Historical Average

    Tesoro traded at an average PE ratio of 10.2x from 2Q14 to 2Q16. PE measures a company’s price per share as a multiple of its earnings per share.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Correlation
    Company & Industry Overviews

    What Is the Correlation between MPC’s Stock and Oil Prices?

    The correlation coefficient of Marathon Petroleum (MPC) and WTI stands at 0.34. The correlation value for MPC’s stock and oil price show that they have a positive but feeble correlation.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///integrated energy and refiners IV
    Energy & Utilities

    Integrated Energy Companies and Refiners with High Implied Volatility

    As of August 11, 2016, Alon USA Energy (ALJ) has the highest implied volatility among integrated energy companies and refiners.

    By Rabindra Samanta
  • uploads///Correlation
    Company & Industry Overviews

    What’s the Correlation between Valero Stock and Oil Prices?

    The correlation value for Valero stock and the price of oil shows they have a positive but feeble correlation. Valero stock moves in line with WTI prices only to a certain extent.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Correlation
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Phillips 66 and the Price of Crude Oil: A Correlation Analysis

    The correlation value of Phillips 66 (PSX) and crude oil prices shows that the price of PSX stock moves in line with WTI prices to a certain extent.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Annotated
    Earnings Report

    What You Can Expect: HollyFrontier’s 4Q15 Stock Performance

    HFC’s stock performance has been quite volatile over the past year. The stock hit highs of $54 in August 2015 and lows of $30 in February 2016…

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///Targets
    Earnings Report

    HollyFrontier: Most Analysts Say ‘Hold’ ahead of Q4 Earnings

    The average 12-month price target for HFC stands at $48, indicating a 56% gain from the current levels.

    By Maitali Ramkumar
  • uploads///crude oil refinery demand
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Vicious Circle: Gasoline and Diesel Prices Impact Refinery Demand

    Lower refined products prices led to the fall in refinery demand. The EIA reported that US refined demand fell to 15.5 MMbpd for the week ending February 5.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///downstream
    Miscellaneous

    What Are Analysts’ Estimates for Downstream Companies?

    As of January 29, 2016, large-cap downstream companies rose by an average of 3.6%. On average, upstream companies rose by 4.5%.

    By Rabindra Samanta
  • uploads///downstream
    Miscellaneous

    Downstream Energy Companies Trade below 100-Day Moving Averages

    Large cap downstream companies are trading 15.4% below their 100-day moving averages. Phillips 66 (PSX) and Tesoro Corporation (TSO) are trading 8.5% and 17.2%, respectively, below their 100-day moving averages.

    By Rabindra Samanta
  • uploads///Gasoline Prices By Region
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Are Gasoline Prices So High in the West Coast Region?

    Gasoline prices in the West Coast region were at $2.45 per gallon on January 25, 2016—around $0.60 per gallon higher than the average US gasoline prices.

    By Manu Milan
  • uploads///downstream
    Miscellaneous

    Downstream Companies: Moving Averages and Analysts’ Estimates

    As of January 15, refining companies Delek US Holdings and Alon USA Energy were trading 31% and 27.5%, respectively, below their 100-day moving averages.

    By Rabindra Samanta
  • uploads///downstream
    Miscellaneous

    Moving Averages and Analysts’ Estimates for Refiners

    Analysts’ estimate that the ten large-cap refiners could return 25% on average in the next 12 months. Refineries could rise above their current levels.

    By Rabindra Samanta
  • uploads///US crude oil import
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Weekly US Crude Oil Imports Fall 12% from 2014 Levels

    The EIA reported that weekly US crude oil imports fell by 986,000 bpd (barrels per day) to 7.3 MMbpd (million barrels per day) for the week ending December 18, 2015.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///US change in production
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    US Increases Crude Oil Production in 2015 after Record in 2014

    US annual crude oil production increased by 1.3 MMbpd (million barrels per day) to 8.7 MMbpd in 2014. The increase in production was the highest in the last 100 years.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///moving average
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Moving Averages and Analyst Estimates for Refiners

    Alon USA Energy was moving in a narrow range of $16 to $18 since October, but after the Fed’s decision, it traded below $16. This was as of December 18.

    By Rabindra Samanta
  • uploads///moving averegs us export ban
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Independent Refiners Gained from US Crude Oil Export Ban

    The latest news from the US government suggests that the US crude oil export ban could be lifted. The lifting of the ban opens a window for US oil producers.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///article
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    A Look at Current and Future Scenarios of the Energy Sector

    The monthly and quarterly returns of the S&P energy sector index fell by 6.7% and 17.4%, respectively, for the period ending September 2015.

    By Seth Bennett
  • uploads///crude  day chart apr
    Company & Industry Overviews

    Surging OPEC Production: Crude Oil Prices Could Test $52 per Barrel

    OPEC’s monthly oil market report showed that crude oil production increased by 810,000 bpd to 30.79 MMbpd. The increased production was led by Saudi Arabia.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///P RefCo
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Calumet Specialty and PBF Energy: Top Refining Movers Last Week

    The biggest refining gainer in the week ended April 10 was Calumet Specialty Products Partners (CLMT). It gained ~8%.

    By Manas Chowgule, CFA
  • uploads///P RefCo
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Alon USA Up almost a Fifth as HollyFrontier Dropped in March

    The biggest refining gainer in March was Alon USA Energy (ALJ). It gained almost a fifth during the month.

    By Manas Chowgule, CFA
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