# What Does National Oilwell Varco’s Implied Volatility Mean?

By Alex ChamberlinUpdated

## National Oilwell Varco’s implied volatility

On January 20, 2017, National Oilwell Varco (NOV) had an implied volatility of 34%. Since NOV’s 3Q16 financial results were announced on October 26, 2016, its implied volatility has fallen from 35% to its current level. NOV makes up 3.5% of the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF (XES).

## Implied volatilities of NOV’s peers

## What does NOV’s implied volatility mean?

Implied volatility reflects investors’ views of a stock’s potential movements. However, it doesn’t forecast the direction of these movements. Implied volatility is derived from an option pricing model. Investors should note that the correctness of suggested implied volatility prices can be uncertain.

Based on National Oilwell Varco’s implied volatility and assuming a normal distribution of stock prices and a standard deviation of one, there’s a 68.2% probability that NOV’s stock will close between $40.92 and $37.24 in the next seven days. NOV’s stock price was $39.08 on January 20, 2017.

Next, let’s discuss investors’ short interests in NOV.