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  • uploads///Distillate inventories
    Energy & Utilities

    US Distillate Inventories Fell for the Fourth Straight Week

    The EIA (U.S. Energy Information Administration) reported that US distillate inventories fell by 1.72 MMbbls to 147.7 MMbbls on July 28–August 4, 2017.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///forecast June
    Miscellaneous

    Analyzing Hedge Funds’ Net Long Position on US Crude Oil

    Hedge funds increased their net long positions in US crude oil futures and options by 16,345 contracts to 149,951 contracts on June 27–July 4, 2017.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///monthly US crude oil production
    Miscellaneous

    How Monthly US Crude Oil Production Has Supported Crude Prices

    The U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that monthly US crude oil production fell 24,000 bpd (barrels per day) to 9.1 MMbpd (million barrels per day) in April 2017.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///part
    Real Insights

    Significance of the US Dollar in Driving Oil and Energy Prices

    ETF Securities Changing Dollar Dynamic The rule of thumb known to many investors is that the US dollar has an inverse relationship with oil and energy prices. This negative relationship was most prominent from 2003 to 2014 (see “Oil’s inverse relationship to the dollar was most prominent from 2003 through 2014” chart below). During this […]

    By Maxwell Gold
  • uploads///distillate inventories
    Miscellaneous

    US Distillate Inventories Rose for the First Time in 5 Weeks

    US distillate inventories rose by 0.4 MMbbls to 146.7 MMbbls on May 19–26, 2017. Distillate inventories rose 0.3% week-over-week but fell 1.9% YoY.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///gasolien inven
    Miscellaneous

    US Gasoline Inventories Fell Less, Pressured Gasoline Prices

    The EIA released its weekly crude oil report on May 24, 2017. US gasoline inventories fell by 0.8 MMbbls to 239.9 MMbbls on May 12–19, 2017.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///libya
    Miscellaneous

    Analyzing Libya and Nigeria’s Crude Oil Production

    Libya’s crude oil production hit ~814,000 bpd in early May 2017. Bloomberg estimates that production is at the highest level since October 2014.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///gasoline prices
    Miscellaneous

    WTI Crude Oil and Gasoline Futures Diverge

    US gasoline futures contracts for June delivery fell 0.1% to $1.60 per gallon on May 17, 2017. Prices fell due to a lower fall in US gasoline inventories.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///ref demand
    Miscellaneous

    US Refinery Demand Impacts Crude Oil Inventories

    US refineries operated at 93.4% of their operable capacity in the week ending May 5, 2017. The rise in refinery demand is bullish for crude oil prices.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///gasoline prices
    Miscellaneous

    US Crude Oil and Gasoline Futures Rose

    June gasoline futures contracts rose 4% to $1.54 per gallon on May 10, 2017. Prices rose due to the fall in US gasoline inventories.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///US crude oil production
    Miscellaneous

    US Crude Oil Production: A Thorn for Crude Oil Bulls?

    US crude oil production rose by 21,000 bpd to 9,314,000 bpd between April 28, 2017, and May 5, 2017. Production rose 0.2% week-over-week and 5.8% YoY.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///cush
    Miscellaneous

    Cushing Crude Oil Inventories Fell for the Second Straight Week

    Market surveys estimate that Cushing crude oil inventories rose on April 21–28. A rise in crude oil inventories could pressure US crude oil prices.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///image
    Miscellaneous

    Crude Oil Prices Fell below 200-Day Moving Average

    So far, crude oil prices and broader markets such as the S&P 500 (SPY) (SPX-INDEX) are diverging in 2017. SPY has risen 4.9% YTD (year-to-date).

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///gasoline inventory
    Miscellaneous

    US Distillate Inventories Fell for the Tenth Straight Week

    The EIA (U.S. Energy Information Administration) reported that US distillate inventories fell by 2 MMbbls to 148.3 MMbbls on April 7–14, 2017.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///gas inventory
    Miscellaneous

    US Gasoline Inventories Fell for 8th Straight Week

    The EIA (U.S. Energy Information Administration) reported that US gasoline inventories fell 2.9 MMbbls (million barrels) to 236.1 MMbbls between March 31, 2017, and April 7, 2017.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///dxy
    Miscellaneous

    Will the US Dollar Support Crude Oil Prices This Week?

    The US dollar and crude oil (USO) (UCO) are usually inversely related. A fall in the US dollar makes crude oil more economical for oil importers.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///gas prices
    Miscellaneous

    Gasoline and Crude Oil Futures Move in the Opposite Direction

    Gasoline futures contracts for May delivery fell 0.4% to $1.71 per gallon on April 5, 2017. Prices fell despite the fall in US gasoline inventories.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///gasoline demand
    Miscellaneous

    US Gasoline Demand: Key Crude Oil Driver in 2017

    The EIA estimated that four-week average US gasoline demand rose by 210,000 bpd (barrels per day) to 9,312,000 bpd from March 17–24, 2017.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///gas inventory
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Will Gasoline Inventories Help Crude Oil Prices Recover?

    The API estimated that US gasoline inventories fell by 1.1 MMbbls from March 17–24, 2017. US distillate inventories fell by 2 MMbbls during the same period.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///image
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    EIA Reported a Surprise Draw in US Gasoline Inventories

    The EIA reported that US gasoline inventories fell by 0.9 MMbbls (million barrels) to 256.2 MMbbls between January 27, 2017, and February 3, 2017.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///image
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Crude Oil Prices Fell from 18-Month High: What’s Next?

    As of January 9, crude oil prices were up 98.2% from their 2016 lows. Higher crude oil and natural gas prices have a positive impact on producers’ earnings.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///distillate prices
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Did Crude Oil and US Diesel Futures Diverge?

    The EIA reported that US on-highway diesel fuel prices rose 0.8% to $2.54 per gallon for the week ending December 26, 2016—compared to the previous week.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///cushing
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How Cushing Inventories Could Affect Crude Oil Prices in 2017

    Market surveys suggest that Cushing crude oil inventories rose between December 16 and December 23, 2016.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///US weekly gasoline inventories
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Gasoline Inventories Pressure Gasoline and Crude Oil Prices

    For the week ending December 9, 2016, US gasoline inventories were 5% higher than they were in the same period in 2015.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///wti chart dec
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Crude Oil Prices Hit 16-Month High: What’s Next?

    WTI crude oil futures contracts for January delivery rose 1.0% and were trading at $52.20 per barrel in electronic trade at 4:50 AM EST on December 5, 2016.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///Crude oil highs and lows nov
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Crude Oil Prices Recover from a 2-Month Low: What’s Next?

    NYMEX crude oil was at $26.21 per barrel on February 11—the lowest level since 2003. As of November 18, crude oil prices were up 77% from their 2016 lows.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///US cushing crude oil stocks
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Cushing Crude Oil Inventories Are near November 2015 Levels

    Cushing crude oil inventories fell by 650,000 barrels from October 21–28, 2016. A fall in crude oil inventories at Cushing could support crude oil prices.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG inventory
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Important Events on the Energy Calendar: October 10–14

    The events on the energy calendar influence crude oil and natural gas prices. The fluctuation in crude oil prices impacts oil and gas producers’ earnings.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///NG inventory
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    This Week’s Energy Calendar for the Crude Oil and Gas Market

    Volatility in crude oil prices impacts the earnings of oil and gas producers such as Northern Oil & Gas (NOG), Comstock Resources (CRK), Swift Energy (SFY), and Triangle Petroleum (TPLM).

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///us crude oil stocks
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How Will API Crude Oil Inventories Impact Crude Oil Prices?

    On August 9, the API will release its weekly crude oil inventories report. US crude oil inventories fell by 1 MMbbls between July 29 and August 5, 2016.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///us crude oil stocks
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Crude Oil Prices Rebound Due to a Draw in US Gasoline Inventories

    September WTI crude oil futures contracts rose and closed at $40.83 per barrel on August 3. Prices rose due to an unexpected draw in US gasoline inventories.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///us crude oil stocks
    Energy & Utilities

    EIA and API Crude Oil Inventories Will Benefit Crude Oil Prices

    The API released its weekly crude oil inventories report on July 6. US crude oil inventories fell by 6.7 MMbbls for the week ending July 1, 2016.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///API crude oil inventories
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    API and EIA’s Crude Oil Inventories: Will They Mirror Each Other?

    The API released its weekly crude oil inventories report on June 21, 2016. It stated that US crude oil inventories fell by 5.2 MMbbls between June 10 and June 17.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///OPEC crude oil production may
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    OPEC Failed to Set an Output Ceiling but Crude Oil Rose

    July WTI crude oil futures contracts trading on NYMEX rose by 0.33% to settle at $49.17 per barrel on June 2, 2016.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///api crude oil stocks
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    API Data and the EIA’s Crude Oil Inventory Expectations Diverge

    The API released its weekly crude oil inventory report on June 1. US crude oil inventories rose by 2.4 MMbbls for the week ending May 27, 2016.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///us crude oil stocks
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Crude Oil Inventories Decline, Crude Oil Prices Near $50

    WTI and Brent crude oil prices settled below $50 per barrel due to profit booking. Oil traders were booking profit ahead of the US Memorial Day holiday on Monday, May 30, 2016.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///India demand
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Demand Side of the Crude Oil Market: India Is a Bright Spot

    OPEC’s monthly report highlighted that India’s crude oil demand rose by 0.6 MMbpd in March 2016, 15% higher than in the corresponding period in 2015.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///Gasoline stocks
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    US Gasoline Inventories Resume Their Downward Trend

    The EIA released its weekly petroleum report on May 11, 2016. It reported that US gasoline inventories fell by 1.2 MMbbls to 240.6 MMbbls between April 29–May 6, 2016.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///api crude oil
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Will API and EIA US Crude Oil Inventories Mirror Each Other?

    The API (American Petroleum Institute) released its weekly crude oil inventory report on May 3.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///api gasoline
    Energy & Utilities

    Will Gasoline and Distillate Inventories Support Crude Oil Prices?

    On May 2, the API (American Petroleum Institute) released its weekly crude oil inventory report.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///us retail gasoline prices
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Gasoline Prices Followed the Momentum of Crude Oil Prices

    On April 27, 2016, the EIA released its “This Week in Petroleum” report. It reported that average US retail gasoline prices rose by 1.7% week-over-week.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///gasoline api
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Will US Gasoline and Distillate Inventories Help Crude Oil Rally?

    For the week ended April 22, 2016, distillate inventories are expected to fall. The estimates of falling gasoline and distillate inventories could benefit crude oil prices.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///Crude oil price movement
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    US Dollar Hits Lowest in 8 Months and Supports Crude Oil Prices

    Crude oil prices have been on a roller coaster ride. WTI oil prices have rallied 52% since their lows from February 2016.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///diesel
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Diesel Fuel Prices Fell Marginally for the Week Ending April 4

    The EIA reported that US on-highway diesel fuel prices fell marginally by 0.3% to $2.1 per gallon on April 4, 2016—compared to the previous week.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///US crude oil prodcution apr
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    How Long Will US Crude Oil Production Support Crude Oil Prices?

    Monthly US crude oil production peaked at 9.7 MMbpd in April 2015, which was the highest level since the 1970s.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///gasoline and distillate
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    US Gasoline and Distillate Inventories Could Benefit Crude Prices

    The API reported that US gasoline inventories fell by 1.9 MMbbls (million barrels) for the week ending March 25, 2016—compared to the previous week.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///diesel
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Heating Oil and Diesel Fuel Prices Rose for 4th Straight Week

    On March 23, 2016, the EIA reported that US on-highway diesel fuel prices increased by 1% to $2.1 per gallon on March 21 compared with the previous week.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///ababbcdbbeaba
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Will the US Dollar and Crude Oil Producers’ Meeting Influence Prices?

    The US Dollar Index (DXY) depreciated against global currencies. It hit a two-week low. The US dollar fell by 0.2% on March 7, 2016.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///aeafbbeebeafdad
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    WTI and Brent Crude Oil Prices Hit 2016 High

    Crude oil prices rose by ~42% since the lows in February 2016. The major reasons were the slowing US production and the new crude oil production deal.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///bbaccdddbaabdebb
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Why Did Crude Oil Prices Rise 37% since the Lows in February?

    Supply stripping demand caused crude oil prices to fall by almost 66% since June 2014. However, oil prices rose almost 37% from the lows in February 2016.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///crude oil market crashes statistices
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    What Were OPEC Policies during Previous Crude Oil Crashes?

    During the 1985-86 crude oil crash, OPEC (Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries) decided to defend its market share by pumping more oil.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///bankrupties
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    US Oil and Gas Companies’ Debt Exceeds $200 Billion

    US oil and gas exploration and production companies are under severe pressure.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///ccecafedaacfccfdd
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Crude Oil Prices Have Fallen 11% since October 9

    December WTI crude oil futures contracts trading in NYMEX fell by 1.4% on Monday, October 26, 2015. Crude oil prices fell for the second day.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///US crude oil chart
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Crude Oil Futures Prices Are Trading Close to the Key Support

    December WTI crude oil futures fell for the fourth time in the last five trading sessions. Prices are moving towards the nearest support level within the price channel.

    By Gordon Kristopher
  • uploads///debt service
    Macroeconomic Analysis

    Commodity Meltdown: 19 Oil and Gas Companies in Bankruptcy

    The net debt of US oil and gas exploration and production companies increased from $81 billion in 2010 to $169 billion by 1H15. The main reason is the catastrophic fall in crude oil prices.

    By Gordon Kristopher
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